Newsletter            Author, Larry McDonald
Book Shelf                     September 2012
     
  At the Intersection of                                Wall Street and Politics
 
 
Lawrence G. McDonald  
New York Times Bestselling Author
 
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 Recently Booked 
Speaking Engagements
February: South Africa, Rand Merchant Bank

 
June: New York,
 
October: UMass Dartmouth
 
Recent Media Appearances

9/26/12 BNN: Newedge Strategist Larry McDonald; Will Spain Slam US Stocks?

 

9/25/12 Bloomberg TV: Newedge Strategist Larry McDonald; Are Dividends the 1st Trade to go off the Fiscal Cliff?

 

9/17/12 CNBC: Newedge Strategist Larry McDonald; Has the Fed become the Biggest Hedge Fund in the World? 

 

9/15/12 Fox Business: Newedge Strategist Larry McDonald; Four Years after Lehman, We're All Still at Risk

 

Last week I gave the keynote speech at the World Alternative Investment Summit.  Special thanks to Radius Financial Education for hosting me.

  

 

 

"Risk on, Risk off? Getting in Front of the Next Move in Risk Assets"


- Lehman Like Systemic Risk in Spain?
- Trading the Fiscal Cliff
- The $11 billion problem in Greece
- The best systemic risk off indicators to follow today

 

Valuable highlights of my presentation are here

 

The Fiscal Cliff and Spain's impact on US equity and commodity prices were the focus of the presentation.  I also presented a short Euro call in recent weeks as a result of the possible secession of Catalonia in Spain.  I covered the high likelihood of social unrest challenging commitments Spain's President, Mariano Rajoy recently offered to Mario Draghi and Angela Merkel.

 

On September 15th, I said on Fox Business,

"the market is about a week away from a rollover becuase of events in Spain and Europe."  The point, rising Lehman like systemic risk in Spain is the biggest near term threat to cheap US equities, it must be meticulously tracked in today's investing landscape.

 

ACG Analytics and I provide hedge funds, asset managers and family offices with bespoke risk policy analysis coming out of Europe and Washington.  

 

Do I Add Value?

 

This will be my last regular update, please email me at lgm@lawrencegmcdonald.com to subscribe to our trading ideas and commentary.

 

 

HOT NEW TOPICS: What to Watch For?
  
How To Play The U.S. Fiscal Cliff, And It's Impact On The Markets
 
The 17 Lehman Risk Indicators, Getting Out in front of the Next Risk Off Trade

Global Economic Outlook: 2012 and Beyond
 
What the European Debt Crisis means for Global Markets, And Is Spain The Next Lehman Brothers?

The Rise of Emerging Market Economies
Investment Risk Management

The Latest out of Washington on Financial Reform, Corporate Governance, And The 2012 Election

QE3, Federal Reserve Policy, and How It Will Affect Global Markets, the Bond Bubble Unwind

 

Interested in booking a speaking engagement?
Call 917-355-8913 or by email at kristin@lawrencegmcdonald.com, for more information.

 

Click here to view the latest videos and testimonials from my speaking tour.
Important EU Crisis Key Dates to Watch For

Courtesy of ACG Analytics

 

 

 

28th September:  Indicative deadline for Greece to present budget-cutting plan

 

28th September:  Bank of Spain July Deposit Figures

 

Late September:  Complete stress tests for all Spanish banks

 

Early October:  Banks develop recapitalization plans and Plan to restructure or liquidate banks in a second group

 

4th October:  ECB Governing Council

 

8th October: Bank of Italy Releases August Deposit Figures

 

8th October:  Inaugural Meeting of ESM Board of Governors

 

8th & 9th October: Eurogroup & ECOFIN

 

18th October:  ECB Governing Council (No Press Conference)

 

18th- 19th October:  EU Summit

 

19th/29th/31st October:  €9.1, €5.3 & €15 billion Spanish maturities

 

21st October:  Election in Spain's Basque Region

 

24th October:  European Court of Justice oral hearing on Irish ESM case

 

31st October:  Bank of Spain August Deposit Figures

 

October/December Banks with capital shortages to apportion losses to shareholders, preferred shareholders and holders of subordinated debt.

 

8th November:  ECB Governing Council

 

8th November:  Bank of Italy Releases September Deposit Figures

 

9th November:  ECOFIN

 

11th/12th November:  Eurogroup & ECOFIN

 

22nd November:  ECB Governing Council (No Press Conference)

 

23rd November:  3.7 billion Spanish maturity

 

30th November:  Bank of Spain September Deposit Figures

 

4th December:  ECOFIN

 

6th December:  ECB Governing Council

 

10th December:  Bank of Italy Releases October Deposit Figures

 

13th/14th December:  EU Summit. Probable date for adoption of Commission proposals on ECB as single European supervisor

 

14th December:  €7.5 billion Spanish maturity

 

20th December:   ECB Governing Council (No Press Conference)  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 


  


 


 
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