Clean Economy Bulletin

June 2013

 Salem Solar Capitol  

 

May 2013 Issue
Cylvia Hayes, Governor O'Malley and Jeffrey Sachs discuss Economic Progress
Genuine Progress in States Growing Movement
Forbes on GDP vs GPI
US Ag Secretary Outlines Vision for Environmental Solutions

Cylvia Hayes, Governor Martin O'Malley and Jeffrey Sachs discuss a More Prosperous and Beneficial Economy

 

 

A few days ago I had the honor of moderating a keynote briefing by Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley and Professor Jeffrey Sachs.   We discussed the problems with the current economic system and opportunities for creating a better one. 

 

I set the context with the following:

 

It is clear that America is facing serious economic challenges.  Too many people are out of work, struggling just to feed and shelter their families.  Too many of our young people, even those with college degrees, are unable to put their educations and talents to full use. 

 

It is easy to blame this on the Great Recession.  But even before 2008 America reached a dubious tipping point: for the first time in our nation's history increases in average life expectancy stagnated and even slipped downward for under-educated women.  Meanwhile our young people became the first American generation not expected to be as well off as their parents. 

 

And then the Great Recession plowed across our nation and massive numbers of us lost our jobs, our homes and sometimes even hope. 

 

And of course, the Recession didn't stop here.  Much of the Industrialized world has been experiencing record unemployment and economic volatility. 

 

Along with tremendous challenges and hardship, the recession provides an important opportunity.   There is growing recognition that our economic problems probably go much deeper than just a temporary downturn in growth -- there may be some significant structural problems in the economic system itself. 

 

One of biggest problems with our current system is that we are measuring the wrong things.  Our measurement tool is the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).  We judge the economy to be doing well if the GDP, or the Gross State Product, is going up and doing poorly when it is not.  But here's the problem.  Gross Domestic or Gross State Product simply measures the number of dollars flowing through the economy, not whether those dollars are improving the quality of our lives. 

 

Under GDP the money spent to keep a child in juvenile jail is equal to the money spent to give a child a good education.   The GDP registered the clean up costs of the BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill catastrophe as a net gain, completely ignoring the environmental and social impacts to Gulf Coast communities. 

 

Even before the recession, as the GDP was growing consistently, poverty, income inequality and carbon emissions were growing relentlessly. 

 

We tend to manage what we measure.  The primary problem with using the GDP metric is that we are managing for constant economic growth, without measuring the true costs of that growth. 

 

In 1962 Simon Kuznets, the man who created the GDP, warned, "Distinctions must be kept in mind between quantity and quality of growth, between costs and returns, and between the short and long run. Goals for more growth should specify more growth of what and for what." 

 

It's been said that if you ask the wrong questions, the answers don't really matter.  Ever since the onset of the Great Recession the question has been "How do we achieve economic recovery?"  I think that's the wrong question.  Recovery has a sense of returning, of going back to the way things were.   But things really weren't working all that well.  We don't need to go back.  We don't need recovery.  We need Economic Reinvention.

 

There is a lot of momentum in that direction, momentum toward reinventing our economic system.   A burgeoning global movement of leaders from civil society, government, and academia is moving ahead to develop and apply new economic indicators that go beyond GDP.

 

One example of Beyond GDP metrics is the Genuine Progress Indicator.   The goal of the Genuine Progress Indicator is to measure the actual societal wellbeing and health generated by economic activity.  The Genuine Progress Indicator uses 26 metrics and consolidates critical economic, environmental and social factors into a single framework in order to give a more accurate picture of the progress - and the setbacks - resulting from our economic activities. 

 

From the costs of crime, pollution, commuting and inequality to the value of education, volunteer work, leisure time and infrastructure, the GPI helps us understand the true impacts of our policies and could be an important tool for creating an economy that increases prosperity and restores natural resources. 

Maryland is the very first state in the U.S. to develop a statewide Genuine Progress Indicator.  This reflects important leadership on Governor O'Malley's part and Governor Kitzhaber and I appreciate his team's help in developing a new Genuine Progress Initiative in Oregon. 

Governor O'Malley gave a substantive, visionary and inspirational speech.  Below are some excerpts: 

 

... Our country's GDP has doubled over the last three decades.  Yet, things like income inequality,... middle class opportunity,... the amount of poisonous carbon pumped into our atmosphere: these graphs simply aren't moving in the right direction.

 

What does GDP tell us about pollution being pumped into our air or flushed into our waters?

 

What does it tell us about how many little boys are dealing drugs on street corners?  Or how many little girls have to dodge hypodermic needles in their playgrounds?

 

What does it tell us about how much harder moms and dads are working, only to bring less home in their paychecks?

 

What does it tell us about the time we lose with our families, stuck in traffic?

What does it tell us about the quality of our poetry?  The sounds of our music?  The grace of our art?

 

What does it tell us about the progress we are - or are not - making in confronting the greatest challenge to human existence on this planet since the threat of nuclear annihilation?

 

GDP tells us what we are producing.  But it totally neglects what we are using up.  There is a difference between income - which is fleeting - and wealth, which is lasting.

 

To make genuine progress, we must be willing to adopt a more holistic definition of progress itself.  To seek an honest assessment of whether our graphs are moving in the right direction - or in the wrong one.

 

I especially appreciated his thoughtful comments about the type of growth that really matters.

 

In many ways, we Marylanders, think of ourselves as pro-growth Americans - and before you get "wiggy" about that term, let me explain:  Like you, we believe in growing jobs and growing opportunity.  

 

Like you, we believe in children growing healthy, growing educated, and growing strong.  

 

We believe in grandparents growing old with dignity and with love.  

 

We believe in growing trees, growing sustainable Bay fisheries, growing food locally to feed our citizens.  

 

And we believe in growing prosperity for every generation.

 

But not all growth is good.

 

If we are going to solve the great engineering challenges to humankind,......if we are going to move from economies of global depletion to economies of local regeneration, we must be willing to make better choices.  And we must embrace a new, more entrepreneurial, more collaborative, more performance-driven style of leadership.

 

Professor Sachs gave a lot of information about the urgency of the problems and the need to make an economic shift in very short order.  He ended by saying that he believed "genuine progress was genuinely possible." 

 

The full audio of this event can be found here:  https://www.dropbox.com/sh/1xt1dbh0xfcjw9j/av6n3mVCkA.

 

Governor Martin O'Malley has served as the Governor of Maryland since 2006.  Prior to being elected governor, he served as the Mayor of Baltimore from 1999 to 2007 and as a Baltimore City Councilor from 1991 to 1999.  He has a proven track record of developing and implementing measurement tools that lead to concrete, effective and efficient outcomes. 

Jeffrey Sachs is the Director of The Earth Institute at Columbia University and the Quetelet Professor of Sustainable Development at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs as well as a Professor of Health Policy and Management at Columbia's School of Public Health.  Time magazine called him one of the most influential leaders in the world.

This keynote briefing was part of the second Genuine Progress Indicators in the States event conducted by 3EStrategies' client, Demos.  More information on that initiative can be found in the next article in this bulletin. 

 Genuine Progress in the States Grows by Leaps and Bounds!

Eight months ago Demos' Beyond GDP initiative convened the first meeting of states that were working on Genuine Progress Indicators.  Four states attended - Maryland, Oregon, Vermont and Utah. 

 

Last week we convened the second GPI in the States event, with representatives from twenty states.  This is an exciting development in the quest for a more resilient, prosperous and sustainable economic system. 

 

The goal of the Genuine Progress Indicator is to measure the actual societal wellbeing and health generated by economic activity.  The Genuine Progress Indicator uses 26 metrics and consolidates critical economic, environmental and social factors into a single framework in order to give a more accurate picture of the progress - and the setbacks - resulting from our economic activities. 

 

For more information go to www.genuineprogress.net.  

 Forbes Writes about GDP vs GPI

 

From:  http://www.forbes.com/sites/investopedia/2013/06/11/does-high-gdp-mean-economic-prosperity/

 

Economists traditionally use Gross Domestic Product to measure economic progress. If GDP is rising, the economy is good and the nation is moving forward. If GDP is falling, the economy is in trouble and the nation is losing ground. From a strictly numerical perspective, GDP provides an easy-to-follow indicator of economic health. From the perspective of a citizen living with the day-to-day realities of life, GDP can be rather misleading.

 

This is why the Genuine Progress Indicator was created in 1995 by a socially responsible think tank called Redefining Progress. It was developed as an alternative to the traditional GDP measure of a nation's economic and social health. Read on to find out what GDP fails to reveal about a country's economic prosperity and how the genuine progress indicator works to make up this gap.

GPI Variables

Although GPI and GDP calculations are based on the same personal consumption data, GPI provides adjustment factors - variables designed to apply monetary values to non-monetary aspects of the economy. The variables fall into the following general categories:

  

             Personal Consumption

- As mentioned, this is the exact same data used to calculate GDP.

Income Distribution

- GPI is adjusted upward when a greater percentage of the nation's income goes to the poor because an income increase provides a tangible benefit to the poor. GPI is adjusted downward when the majority of a nation's increased income goes to the rich.

Housework, Volunteering, Higher Education

- GPI factors in the value of the labor that goes into housework and volunteering. It also factors in the benefit of an increasingly educated populace.

Service of Consumer Durables and Infrastructure

- Money spent on durable goods is treated as a cost, while the value the purchases provide is treated as a benefit. Long-lasting goods that provide benefits without having to be frequently repurchased are viewed positively. Goods that wear out quickly and drain consumers' wallets when they must be replaced are viewed negatively. GDP, on the other hand, views all expenditures as good news. Infrastructure spending by the government is treated in a similar manner - if spending provides a long-lasting benefit, GPI views it as a positive; if spending drains the government's coffers, GPI views it as a negative. Again, GDP views all spending as positive.

Crime

- Rising crime costs money in legal fees, medical bills, replacement costs, and other outlays. GDP views this spending as a positive development. GPI views it as a negative.

Resource Depletion

- When wetlands or forests are destroyed by economic activity, GDP views the events as good news for the economy; GPI views these events as bad news for future generations.

Pollution

- Pollution is good news for GDP. Industry gets paid once for the economic activity that creates pollution and again when money is spent to mitigate the pollution. GPI views pollution as a negative.

Long-Term Environmental Damage

- Global warming, nuclear waste storage and other long-term consequences of economic activity are factored into GPI as negatives.

Changes in Leisure Time

- Prosperity should lead to an increase in leisure time. Most modern workers would disagree with this theory. GPI views an increase in leisure as a positive and a decrease in leisure as a negative.

Defensive Expenditures

- Defensive expenditures refer to medical insurance, auto insurance, healthcare bills and other expenses that are required to maintain quality of life. GPI views these as a negative. GDP views them positively.
 

Dependence on Foreign Assets

- When a nation is forced to borrow from other nations in order to finance consumption, GPI factors in the result as a negative. If the borrowed money is used for investments and benefits the country, it is viewed as a positive. 

 

The Calculations

 

GPI calculations take all of these variables into consideration, using economic statistics and mathematical formulas to place value on them. That value is then added to or deleted from the GDP figure. For example, expenditures on consumer durables are a negative adjustment. Data from the National Income and Products Accounts are used to estimate the cost of consumer durables and the figure is subtracted from GDP.

The amount of money that foreigners invest in the United States is subtracted from the amount Americans invest overseas. A five-year rolling average is used to determine whether the U.S. is becoming a lender or a borrower. If our economy is healthy enough that we are a net lender, the resulting number is added to GDP. If we are borrowing to sustain our economy, the resulting number is subtracted.

GPI Is Not Yet Mainstream

While GPI factors in many of the variables that have direct impact on peoples' quality of life, capitalist economies tend to focus strictly on making money. Because of this, GPI has not yet been widely adopted in such economies, although its proponents note that it has been reviewed by the scientific community and recognized for its validity. GPI-type measures are in use in Canada and in some of Europe's small and more progressive nations. Over time, other nations might slowly adopt the concept as environmental concerns move into the public's consciousness.

 

US Agriculture Secretary Outlines Vision for Agricultural Solutions to Environmental Challenges

 

 

 Video: USDA -- Modern Solutions for Environmental Challenges

WASHINGTON, June 5, 2013-Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack today said that the Federal government must increase collaboration with producers, researchers and industry to develop the next generation of solutions that will help agriculture mitigate and adapt to modern climate challenges.

"Our farmers, ranchers and forest landowners are the most innovative on earth, and they're up to the task of meeting environmental challenges that lay ahead," Vilsack said. "We know what we're seeing on the ground - more intense weather events, and a greater number of them. USDA will be there to support the efforts of our farmers and ranchers to adapt to these new challenges, just as we have been for decades."

Vilsack noted that under the Obama Administration, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has taken a wide variety of proactive steps to prepare for climate challenges projected in the years ahead. This includes the development of Climate Adaptation Plans by USDA agencies to continue delivering quality service in the years and decades to come. Additionally, earlier this year, USDA released two Climate Assessments - one focused on the climate impacts to agriculture in the coming years, and a second focused on U.S. forests.

Vilsack stressed the need to work closely with farmers and ranchers who stand "on the front line" of risk adaptation - and he pledged that USDA will take steps to help producers adapt to new threats. He announced a number of new measures that USDA will take to help producers create new climate solutions:

Regional Climate Hubs: USDA will establish seven "Regional Climate Hubs" to work in partnership with producers and foresters. The Secretary called them "Service centers for science-based risk management." Working with other agencies, the hubs will serve as a source of regional data and information for hazard and adaptation planning in the agriculture and forest sectors. The hubs will provide outreach and extension to farmers, ranchers, and forest landowners on science-based risk management and will seek to partner with the land grant universities, Extension, and the private sector.

The seven regional hubs will be established for the Northeast, Midwest, Southeast, Northern Plains, Southern Plains, Pacific Northwest, and Southwest. Each hub will be the center of a network of connected activities and services and will be located in a USDA facility within its region.

Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) Tools Customized for Producers: NRCS will leverage technology and provide technical assistance to agriculture - both by providing new technical tools for researchers, and new tools for farmers and ranchers themselves.

*    Vilsack announced the release of the "Carbon Management and Evaluation Tool," also known as COMET-FARM, a free online tool that will help producers calculate how much carbon their conservation actions can remove from the atmosphere. Created by USDA's Natural Resources Conservation Service and Colorado State University, in cooperation with USDA's Climate Change Program Office, COMET-FARM will also help producers calculate and understand how land management decisions impact energy use and carbon emissions. COMET-FARM allows producers to input information about their land using a secure online interface - including location, soil characteristics, tillage and nutrient use. The tool then estimates carbon sequestration and greenhouse gas emission reductions associated with conservation practices for cropland, pasture, rangeland, livestock operations and energy. COMET-FARM is applicable to all agricultural lands in the lower 48 states. The tool is available for use at http://www.comet-farm.com/.

*    The Secretary also announced the online release of data collected under the Rapid Carbon Assessment, which will be especially useful for technical experts. This assessment was carried out by NRCS beginning in 2010 to develop statistically reliable quantitative estimates of amounts and distribution of carbon stocks for U.S. soils under various land covers and, to the extent possible, differing agricultural management. Over the course of three years, NRCS collected almost 145,000 samples from 6,000 randomly selected locations.

 

Uniform, Science-Based Cover Crop Guidelines: USDA agencies have worked together to provide new cover cropping guidelines. In the past, some producers have encountered conflicting cover crop management issues when working with multiple USDA agencies. NRCS, Risk Management Agency (RMA) and Farm Service Agency (FSA) worked together this spring to establish common, science-based guidance on when cover crops should be terminated. The agencies engaged stakeholders, partner universities, and the crop insurance industry to figure out how to make cover crop guidelines straightforward and sensible. Secretary Vilsack announced new guidance for USDA Agencies dealing with cover crops, using a new model based on local climate data, tillage management and soil information to account for daily crop growth and use of soil moisture. With this information, experts determined the latest possible time to terminate a cover crop to minimize risk to the cash crop yield. RMA, NRCS and FSA will all uniformly refer producers to these guidelines, and will use them to administer programs.

Vilsack noted that the steps being announced today build on previous Obama Administration efforts, including an agreement with the U.S. dairy industry to create anaerobic digesters to create energy and reduce greenhouse gases and pollution, promotion of advanced biofuels development, and projects to increase renewable energy and energy efficiency across rural America.

"By taking collaborative, regionally-appropriate steps today to adapt to threats, USDA can help American agriculture continue its tremendous productivity in the years to come," he said. "We've already worked hard to be proactive and ensure that USDA is prepared for modern environmental challenges - but we can't let up in our efforts."

 

 
 

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  Cylvia Hayes is founder and CEO of 3EStrategies   cylvia@3estrategies.org 
   

  

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