Market Report:  
Southwest Riverside County, CA
1st Quarter 2014 


We are pleased to present our 1st Quarter, 2014 Market Report. Once you've finished reviewing the report, we encourage you to Visit Our Website.



TEMECULA, CA
Low Vacancy, Solid Absorption

T
he Temecula industrial sub market experienced positive absorption of 247,610 square feet during the 1st Quarter of 2014.  Net absorption YTD was positive at 207,618 square feet.  The total market vacancy rate was 4.8%, the lowest vacancy rate recorded since the 2nd quarter of 2006.   

 

Vacancy rates in multi-tenant segments were mixed, but the overall multi-tenant vacancy rate decreased nearly 180 basis points to 12.1%.  Rental rates on multi-tenant suites remained stable and averaged $0.60 per square foot, on a Modified Gross basis.

 

There were seven (7) sales of industrial properties during the 1st quarter, 2014.  Most notable were several larger facilities, all of which sold after sitting on the market for more than two years.  As a result, average prices decreased to $68.00 per square foot for industrial sales in Temecula.  The city's unemployment rate decreased from the prior quarter to +/- 6.4%.   

MURRIETA, CA 
Low Vacancy, Rising Values

The Murrieta industrial sub market experienced positive absorption of 11,110 square feet during the 1st Quarter of 2014, a more than five-fold decrease from the previous quarter absorption reading.  The Murrieta sub market experienced YTD positive Net Absorption of 106,119 square feet.

 

The total vacancy rate in the 1st Quarter decreased to 3.8%, the city's lowest vacancy rate on record.  Vacancy rates decreased slightly in the multi-tenant market segments, with a total vacancy rate of 5.2%As a result, multi-tenant rental rates remained stable and averaged$0.60 per square foot, on a Modified Gross basis.

 

There were five (5) sales of industrial property during the 1st quarter, 2014.  Sale prices for industrial real estate increased to an average of $92.00 per square foot.  The city's unemployment rate decreased to +/- 6.2%.


LAKE ELSINORE, CA
 Low Vacancy, Stable Values

The Lake Elsinore industrial sub market experienced  negative absorption of 14,290 square feet during the 1st Quarter of 2014, with positive YTD Net Absorption of 30,813 square feet.

 

The total vacancy rate rose slightly to 4.8%, increasing slightly from the prior quarter. Multi-tenant segments of the market experienced mixed vacancy rates, with a total multi-tenant vacancy rate of 7.3%.  Rental rates remained at an average of $0.50 per square foot, on a Modified Gross basis.

 

There was one (1) sale of industrial property completed during the 1st quarter of 2014.  Pricing in the city dipped to an average value of $62.00 per square foot for industrial sales. The city's unemployment rate remained unchanged at +/- 9.2%.


2014 MARKET FORECAST
Strong Fundamentals Signal Stability

The local industrial market is off to a great start in 2014.  Industrial market fundamentals are very strong, putting upward pressure on property values.  During the past 12 months, the local market experienced sharp increases in both rental rates and property values.  Expect historically low vacancy rates to provide the basis for approximately 8% appreciation in rental rates during 2014.  Property values for industrial buildings should achieve a median price of $100.00 per square foot by the end of 2014.  Also, given the limited supply of industrial facilities, expect land values to rise in 2014 as some businesses acquire land for future industrial development and business expansion.          

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unemployment rates will serve as a leading indicator of future property absorption.  Regional unemployment remained unchanged within the region as compared with 12 months ago, suggesting stagnation in the local labor market.  If businesses have greater confidence in economic growth, expect regional employment opportunities to expand during 2014.   

 

       

    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sources: Masino Industrial Consulting, Inc., Costar, California EDD 

Masino Industrial Consulting, Inc.
31805 Temecula Parkway, Suite 210 
Temecula, CA 92592  
(951) 795 4550
BRE License: 01909860
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