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                                                                                                                 October 5, 2016 Newsletter

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USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report - 10/03/16
 
Corn:
Illinois | 97% of corn has matured, compared to 93% last year | 82% is in good to excellent condition
Indiana | 87 % of corn has matured, which is 8 points higher than last year | 71 % is in good to excellent condition
Minnesota | 87% of corn has matured, which is 3 higher than last year | 85 % is in good to excellent condition
North Dakota | 77% of corn has matured, compared to 71% last year | 79% of corn is in good to excellent condition
South Dakota | 80 % of corn has matured, which is 5 points higher than last year | 54 % of corn is in good to excellent condition
Ohio | 71 % of corn has matured, compared to 79% last year | 44% of corn is in good to excellent condition
 
Soybeans:
Illinois | 80% of soybeans are dropping leaves, compared to 83% last year |  80% are in good to excellent condition
Indiana | 82% of soybeans are dropping leaves, which is 5 points lower than last year | 76% are in good to excellent condition
Minnesota | 96% of soybeans are dropping leaves, which is 1 point lower than last year | 82% are in good to excellent condition
North Dakota | 97% of soybeans are dropping leaves, which is 0 points lower than last year | 76% are in good to excellent condition
South Dakota | 95% of soybeans are dropping leaves, compared to 94% last year | 62% are in good to excellent condition
Ohio | 88% of soybeans are dropping leaves, which is 3 points lower than last year | 57% are in good to excellent condition
 
Winter Wheat:
Illinois | 6% of winter wheat has been planted, which 10 points lower than last year
Indiana| 12% of winter wheat has been planted, compared to 21% last year
South Dakota | 56% of winter wheat has been planted, which 24 points lower than last year
Montana | 70% of winter wheat has been planted, compared to 81% last year
Ohio | 10% of winter wheat has been planted, which 19 points lower than last year
 


U.S. Drought Monitor
  
For the USDM 7-day period ending on September 27, an inch of rainfall fell in the drought stricken areas of the High Plains in the middle of the period. Because of the recent rainfall the short term dryness was removed in northwest North Dakota and multiple levels of drought were contracted in western South Dakota. Drier-than-normal conditions existed for much of the country east of the Mississippi, especially for the Ohio Valley. Temperatures were as much as 10 degrees above normal for parts of the Midwest. Looking ahead, a low pressure system stalls out over the Ohio Valley providing a drought to the Mid-Atlantic region. As much as 3-6 inches of rain is forecasted.
    

 
Neogen Monday Mycotoxin and Crop Report
                              
Don levels for wheat are as shown above with North Dakota continuing to have a level of >10ppm, and Missouri at >2ppm. 
Don levels for barley are as shown above, with a level of >5ppm in North Dakota.

There are now new reports of Don in Corn as shown here in Indiana, with levels of >7ppm.
Diplodia, other corn rot diseases found in Missouri

  Diplodia ear rot is a common cord disease that occurs when there is excessive moisture during and immediately after corn silking and a dry period. Diplodia has been reported in parts of Missouri by agronomists at the University of Missouri Extension. Diplodia ear rot is easily recognizable by looking directly at the ear. The ears will appear rotted and show mold between the kernels. MU Extension Agronomist Greg Luce recommends rotating the infected field out of corn the next season to allow corn residue to degrade. It is important to choose a resistant seed hybrid in areas where the disease appears repeatedly, he says. Diplodia does not produce a mycotoxin, so the corn is not toxic, however buyers likely will discount the selling price. Other ear rots such as penicillium, gibberella and aspergillus species also have been found in Missouri fields in 2016.

Illinois: Soybean Rust Found in Southern Region
    
  Soybean rust has been found in southern Illinois. Samples were collected in Williamson county on September 11, 2016. While this is very late in the season, there are still many fields in southern Illinois that are green and producers should consider scouting for soybean rust. Any soybean leaves that are suspicious for soybean rust can be sent to the University of Illinois Plant Clinic for diagnosis.

NGFA Alert: Mycotoxins    
   
 The National Grain and Feed Association is reminding the idustry of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) current action levels for aflatoxin, fumonisn and vomitoxin levels. The FDA has issued regulatory guidance for these three mycotoxins, which may be present in raw grains, feed ingredients and finished feed.

-Advisory Levels:  Represent levels of a substance that, when present in food or feed, are believed by the agency to provide an adequate margin of safety to protect human and animal health.

-Action Levels: Specify a precise level of contamination at which the agency is prepared to take a regulatory action.

-Regulatory Limits: Create limits for the presence of toxins or contaminants that have been established after issuing valid regulations under the public notice-and-comment rulemaking procedures set forth in the Administrative Procedures Act. FDA currently has not established regulatory limits for mycotoxins found in food or feed, although it has stated its intent to eventually establish regulatory limits for aflatoxin.

To see specific limits, click on the link the below.

Too Much Wheat Impacting Markets    
   
 USDA reduced corn yield estimates one bushel and raised bean yield estimates two bushels. The market then reacted with corn prices decreasing 4 cents and bean prices 14 for the week. Prices typically trend lower from the report until right before harvest, it's happened 13 out of the last 15 years. More specifically the wheat market has too much wheat in the U.S. and globally. This keeps prices low enough to encourage its use as feed instead of corn. Wheat replacing corn for feed not only impacts the U.S. feed ration, it affects exports too. Some are debating how many corn acres will switch to beans next year. The bean demand domestically and internationally is relatively high. Export demand is 15% higher than 3 years ago and 50% higher than 10 years ago, while domestic bean demand has been steady the last 10 years.