"It never ceases to amaze me: we all love ourselves more than other people, but care more about their opinion than our own."
- Marcus Aurelius

"I begin to speak only when I'm certain what I'll say isn't better left unsaid." 
- Cato

"What man actually needs is not a tensionless state but rather the striving and struggling for some goal worthy of him."
 - Viktor Frankl

This is the problem with the our trilateral cooperation in Northeast Asia.  Not only is the north-South cooperation project at Kumgang likely to violate sanctions it will also provide funds directly to the Kim family regime as it did in the past: perhaps hundreds of millions if not billions of dollars over time.  I am all for targeted economic projects between the South and north but those projects, which may require sanctions waivers, need to be focused on the markets and the national economy and not provide support to the regime's royal court economy.  The irony is that the north does not seem to want South Korean engagement at Kumgangsan and has in fact called for the removal and or destruction of all South Korean facilities that were previously built there.  In addition, my recommendation for economic investment in market activity in the north will also not likely be accepted because the growth of markets in the north will become a threat to the regime.  This is why we should prevent any re-start of Kaesong or Kumgangsan because they only support the regime and not the Korean people in the north.  And re-starting these projects will provide further support to Kim's strategy or coercion and extortion otherwise known as blackmail diplomacy.  It will only embolden Kim to continue political warfare strategy in support of his long con.

Excerpts:

The problem is the dissonance between the stance of Tokyo and Washington, which are pursuing the implementation of thorough sanctions against the North, and Seoul, which is trying to promote economic cooperation with Pyongyang.
In his news conference on Tuesday (Jan 14), South Korean President Moon Jae-in showed strong interest in the resumption of a Mount Kumgang tourism project in North Korea, saying that utmost efforts must be made to promote North-South cooperation as much as possible, without merely watching developments in the Washington-Pyongyang dialogue.
South Korean Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha explained this policy stance to US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to obtain his understanding.
The North-South cooperation project, if carried out, is highly likely to violate the UN Security Council's sanctions resolutions, as it would bring a huge amount of foreign currency revenue to North Korea.

Seoul must fulfil its responsibility to implement sanctions on North Korea: Yomiuri Shimbun

straitstimes.com · January 20, 2020
TOKYO (THE YOMIURI SHIMBUN/ASIA NEWS NETWORK) - During talks in the suburbs of San Francisco, the foreign ministers of Japan, the United States and South Korea have confirmed a policy to seek the denuclearisation of North Korea through dialogue between Washington and Pyongyang.
Amid the stalled talks between the United States and North Korea, Pyongyang has been heightening its confrontational stance, warning that the country will possess "new strategic weapons."
The three countries had every reason to call for the North to restrain its provocations and to comply with US demands for denuclearisation talks.
The problem is the dissonance between the stance of Tokyo and Washington, which are pursuing the implementation of thorough sanctions against the North, and Seoul, which is trying to promote economic cooperation with Pyongyang.
In his news conference on Tuesday (Jan 14), South Korean President Moon Jae-in showed strong interest in the resumption of a Mount Kumgang tourism project in North Korea, saying that utmost efforts must be made to promote North-South cooperation as much as possible, without merely watching developments in the Washington-Pyongyang dialogue.
South Korean Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha explained this policy stance to US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to obtain his understanding.
The North-South cooperation project, if carried out, is highly likely to violate the UN Security Council's sanctions resolutions, as it would bring a huge amount of foreign currency revenue to North Korea.
President Moon also referred to the possibility of asking the Security Council to acknowledge the Kumgang project as an exception to the sanctions.
Pyongyang has engaged in repeated military provocations, including the firing of ballistic missiles, without displaying any intention to dismantle its nuclear weapons.
The time does not seem ripe for examining the easing of economic sanctions.
Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi emphasised that the three foreign ministers shared the view that "it is too early to relax the sanctions at this juncture." Motegi and Pompeo likely reminded South Korea of the need to take that stance during the trilateral meeting.
The Moon administration is inclined to proactively promote cooperation with the North likely because it wants to tout progress of the North-South relationship to its left-wing supporters ahead of a general election set for April.
China and Russia have not strictly fulfilled a Security Council resolution that calls for sending home North Korean workers.
Beijing and Moscow insist on abolishing a provision that bans North Koreans from working overseas.
It is imperative to avoid a situation in which South Korea also moves to ease sanctions against the North and the encirclement network of Pyongyang will be rendered toothless.
The United States, for its part, should not neglect its response to the North, even amid its serious confrontation with Iran.
Washington needs to tenaciously call on Pyongyang to move toward resuming working-level negotiations.
Bilateral talks on the expense of hosting US troops in South Korea have had rough going.
Washington is said to be demanding a drastic increase by pressing Seoul to bear financial burdens beyond the conventional framework, including the costs of moving US troops stationed in South Korea.
The US-South Korea alliance is a pillar of deterrence against the North's military provocations.
Washington is called on to give consideration to preventing the issue over hosting expenses from becoming entangled and ultimately undermining the credibility of the alliance.
The Yomiuri Shimbun is a member of The Straits Times media partner Asia News Network, an alliance of 24 news media organisations.

De Oppresso Liber,

David Maxwell
Senior Fellow
Foundation for Defense of Democracies
Personal Email: d[email protected]
Phone: 202-573-8647
Web Site:  www.fdd.org
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FDD is a Washington-based nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.


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