Illinois is home to a well-documented people problem. The state's population has been shrinking for four consecutive years, and its labor force is declining as well. At the same time, Illinois' economy is lagging the nation in terms of growth.
Analyzing the component parts of economic growth shows how these two unfortunate realities are connected. And how state and local tax hikes in Illinois are making things worse.
Illinois' slow growth
Analyzing economic growth in Illinois requires deconstructing the state's growth in real gross domestic product into its primary contributions: labor inputs and labor productivity. The production process transforms labor, capital and technology into output (real GDP). That means if Illinoisans work fewer hours, or more Illinoisans leave the state or retire earlier over time, labor input in the production process will grow more slowly or even shrink. Declining labor input can easily cancel out any improvement in productivity growth...