October 4,   2017
WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE
PERSONAL SPENDING BARELY IMPROVES
Consumer spending increased by only a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in August, while consumer incomes rose 0.2%. Those gains precisely matched the projections of economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal. Factoring in inflation, household spending actually retreated 0.1% during August. Hurricane Harvey may be partly to blame for these numbers.1
ROUNDING UP REAL ESTATE INDICATORS
Census Bureau data shows new home buying down 3.4% in August; this dip comes on the heels of a (revised) 5.5% fall in July. Pending home sales, as measured by a National Association of Realtors index, slipped 2.6% in August after retreating 0.8% a month earlier. The 12-month gain for the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index improved 0.2% to 5.8% in the July edition (released last week).2
CONSUMER OUTLOOK WEATHERS STORMS
The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index and the Conference Board's consumer confidence index both declined for September, but not drastically. The university's gauge fell 1.7 points to a reading of 95.1, right where analysts polled by MarketWatch thought it would land; that left it 4.3 points above where it was in September 2016. At a mark of 119.8, the CB index was just 0.6 points lower than its August reading .2,3
WALL STREET WRAPS UP A GOOD WEEK & MONTH
The three major indices all advanced last week. Taking the lead, the Nasdaq Composite posted a 5-day gain of 1.07% on the way to a Friday close of 6,495.96. In the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average improved 0.25% to 22,405.09; the S&P 500, 0.68% to 2,519.36. At the close on September 29, the Nasdaq had added 0.94% month-over-month; the Dow, 1.90%; the S&P, 1.73%; the Russell 2000, an impressive 5.47%. The CBOE VIX ended the month at just 9.51.4
THIS WEEK
Monday sees the release of ISM's September manufacturing PMI. Tuesday, Lennar and Paychex announce quarterly earnings. ISM's September service sector PMI and ADP's latest payrolls snapshot arrive Wednesday, plus Q3 earnings from Monsanto and PepsiCo; in addition, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen will speak briefly at the St. Louis Fed's community banking conference. Thursday offers new initial claims numbers, the September Challenger job-cut report, and Q3 results from Constellation Brands and Costco. On Friday, the Department of Labor issues its September jobs report.
 
% CHANGE
Y-T-D
1-YR CHG
5-YR AVG
10-YR AVG
DJIA
+13.37
+23.49
+13.35
+6.12
NASDAQ
+20.67
+23.28
+21.69
+14.05
S&P 500
+12.53
+17.12
+14.97
+6.50
REAL YIELD
9/29 RATE
1 YR AGO
5 YRS AGO
10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS
0.49%
0.02%
-0.77%
2.27%
 

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 9/29/174,5,6,7
Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.
Phil Guerrero, CFP®
President
Wealth Advisor

Ryan Heybeck
Wealth Advisor

Terry Maziarka
Operations Manager

847.550.6100
WEEKLY QUOTE
"A man's silence is wonderful to listen to."
    
- Thomas Hardy
WEEKLY TIP
When a grandparent, relative or friend of the family pays for a child's medical expenses that are not covered by insurance, direct payments to doctors for such costs are not considered gifts to the child and do not count against the annual gift tax exclusion amount (currently $14,000).
WEEKLY RIDDLE
Michael is asked to use only the numeral 4, four times, to make an equation that equals 17. How does he do it?
LAST WEEK'S RIDDLE:
A 6-foot chain is suspended with its ends nailed to a wall, with the nails parallel to the floor. The chain sags and hangs down between the nails; the height of the hanging chain is therefore 3 feet from top to bottom. What is the distance in between the nails?  
  
Last week's answer:
No distance at all, they are next to each other.