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Wall Street trading desks face sweeping changes from Basel rules
Top banking regulators are plotting changes to the way banks account for the risk tied to everything from credit-default swaps to corporate bonds, part of a sweeping set of proposals that will force large lenders to boost the capital cushions they use to absorb unexpected losses. Examples in the 1,000-plus-page plans included changes to how lenders will calculate the risk tied to trading certain types of derivatives, repos, commodities, investment-grade corporate bonds, and option contracts. (Bloomberg Law | Jul 27) see also Big banks will need to hold more capital to guard against risk under new Fed proposal (Associated Press | Jul 27)
Fed staff no longer predict recession as inflation cools
After a year’s worth of warnings around a nationwide economic downturn, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday said the central bank’s staff is no longer forecasting a recession, as the Fed aims to stem inflation by raising interest rates without causing an economic downturn. (Forbes | Jul 26)
Wall Street's use of AI and data analytics faces new SEC rules
The US Securities and Exchange Commission approved a plan on Wednesday to root out what Chair Gary Gensler has said are conflicts of interest that can arise when financial firms adopt the technologies. The agency also adopted final rules requiring companies to disclose serious cybersecurity incidents within four business days after they’re deemed significant. (Bloomberg Markets | Jul 26)
Economists counter market bets of soft landing
Economists are at odds with markets over investors’ optimistic bets that the global economy is set for a soft landing and interest rates are close to their peak. Markets have rallied on both sides of the Atlantic in recent weeks, as the UK followed the US and eurozone in showing headline inflation is declining at a sharper-than-expected pace. (Financial Times | Jul 24)
Bond traders bet on 'nirvana' in new decoding of yield curve
Listen to Wall Street’s top economists and you’ll hear the same message again and again: The risk of a recession is fading fast. And yet, in the bond market, the traditional warning that a downturn is near — an inversion of the yield curve — keeps getting louder. (Bloomberg Markets | Jul 24)
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