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PDF | Research | Week of Sept 16 2024

Quote of the Week

“I don’t see a lot of evidence that the economy is moving into a recession.”

– Rick Rieder, chief investment officer, fixed income, BlackRock. 

 
 
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2024 Private Debt Survey


Institutional investors, RIAs, and financial advisors: We want to hear from you! We invite you to share your views on private debt and today’s environment by completing a brief 2-minute survey. We look forward to sharing the results with you in an upcoming Lead Left issue.

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“That’s the 162”

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We admit to a weakness for sports metaphors, particularly baseball. Perhaps it’s how happenings in the national pastime so often mirror life. And the capital markets. 


Our latest pearl of wisdom comes from Carlos Mendoza. After his star shortstop Francisco Lindor ended a slump with a game-winning home run, the NY Mets manager was asked about other hitters’ struggles at the plate. “We’ve got a few guys going through it. That’s the 162.” 


That neatly captures the ups and downs of a 162-game season: the dog days of summer and the exhilaration of a September pennant race. It also mirrors 2024 in the deal making world. Everyone is running hard to manage a growing pipeline of promising investment and financing opportunities, while simultaneously preparing for whatever year-end surprises unfold...


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Chart of the Week

Asking for Directions

Since early July public equities have seesawed between recession worries and confidence.

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Source: FactSet


(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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PDI Picks

Fundraising down, but interest is maintained  

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While capital raising in North America struggled in the first six months of 2024, hopes are high of a strong finish to the year.  

North American fundraising during the first half of 2024 ran far behind the first half of 2023, according to the latest Private Debt Investor data. Roughly $46.2 billion was raised in North America through the first half of the year, less than 70 percent of the $66.7 billion raised during the first half of 2023...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

YTD 2024 US repricing volume at over US$300bn

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Nearly US$310bn of completed US loan volume represents repriced credits so far this year...

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Contact: Maria Dikeos / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

PE exit/investment ratio

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GPs that have held out for better exit conditions stretched out the median holding period of PE investments, which reached a record of 6.4 years for US PE middle-market assets in 2023...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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U.S. MM CLO Spotlight – August 2024

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Defaults and Deferring Marginally Down


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Fifteen CLOs had exposure to at least one defaulted or deferring issuer at the end of August 2024...

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Contact: Winnie Fong / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of First-Lien Loans Clearing with Key Covenant Terms by Quarter

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Download Data

Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

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The blue line in the chart is the current dividend yield of the *VanEck BDC Income ETF (currently at 11.2% as of 12 September, versus 11.7% as of 5 August, highest YTD) that tracks the overall performance of publicly traded business development companies (BDCs, are lenders to privately held middle-market businesses that tend to be below investment grade or not rated, with most lending comprising of senior secured loans)...

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Contact: Suneet Chandvani/ Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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Investor sentiment towards private debt

remains strong

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Read more in Preqin’s: Trending Data: Investor interest grows in private equity, real estate, and VC.


Private debt remains the most popular alternative asset class among investors, scoring 70.9% on Preqin’s Investor Sentiment Index...

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Contact: William Bennett-Lynch/ Preqin

September Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.