Fed weighs risk of over-tightening that hits vulnerable workers
At least some Federal Reserve officials are growing concerned about disproportionate damage to some US communities as policymakers continue with their most aggressive monetary-tightening campaign in decades. “Many” policymakers at the Fed’s December meeting highlighted that the central bank needed to balance two separate risks. One danger is not doing enough to quell inflation, something that could entrench expectations for big price gains over the longer haul. The other risk, however, is ending up doing more than was needed, leading to “an unnecessary reduction in economic activity, potentially placing the largest burdens on the most vulnerable groups of the population,” minutes of the gathering showed Wednesday. (Bloomberg Government | Jan 4)
Asset managers brace for tough year of cost-cutting in 2023
Global asset managers are facing a long-delayed reckoning in 2023 as falling assets force them to cut costs and make tough decisions about where to invest for growth. Revenues were down across the industry last year, after a record 2021, as falling markets across almost all asset classes hit both management and performance fees. (Financial Times | Jan 3)
For battered bonds, threats of further losses linger
The year 2022 marked a truly historic bust for the US bond market. The question now is whether 2023 will produce any kind of meaningful rebound. Investors were forced to repeatedly lift their expectations for how high the Federal Reserve would raise short-term interest rates to combat the worst inflation in decades. The sharp drop in bond prices was in many ways the dominant force in financial markets, driving borrowing costs higher and contributing to double-digit losses for stocks. (The Wall Street Journal | Jan 2)
European asset managers use ‘subadvisory’ to crack the US market
Asset managers scrambling to boost assets and enter new markets while keeping costs down are turning to partnerships that split responsibility for sales and clients from the actual investing. Enthusiasm for so-called “subadvisory” contracts is especially high among European money managers looking to break into the US market and institutional managers hoping to tap individual investors. (Financial Times | Jan 1)
Pension funds must take ‘extreme care’ with liquidity risks, OECD warns
Pension funds should be “extremely careful” when investing in illiquid assets, as rising interest rates and falling stock markets increase the likelihood of their having to access cash quickly, the OECD has warned. In the recent era of low interest rates, pension funds poured money into alternative investments, such as infrastructure projects and private equity, in an effort to escape the low yields available on government bonds. (Financial Times | Jan 1)
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