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Bank mortgage originations surge in Q4 2025 ahead of expected tailwinds
US banks' mortgage origination activity surged year over year in the 2025 fourth quarter, ahead of a culmination of factors expected to further boost home lending activity.
Industrywide, total one- to four-family mortgage originations jumped 26.6% year over year, with retail originations up 14.4% and wholesale originations climbing 38.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025. Quarter over quarter, retail originations stayed relatively steady, rising to $50.37 billion from $46.38 billion, but wholesale originations jumped to $64.27 billion from $50.13 billion. The surge in activity made the 2025 fourth quarter the biggest quarter for originations in over three years, since the second quarter of 2022.
US banks' mortgage activity is expected to get a boost on the heels of upcoming regulatory proposals that are expected to ease mortgage capital requirements, according to Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman.
Banks' mortgage lending activity is expected to be further boosted by the administration's focus on home affordability, including a March 13 executive order instructing federal regulators to reduce regulatory burden on banks with below $100 billion in assets so they can engage in mortgage lending. Banks also hope that falling interest rates could help revive mortgage lending.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
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