AJA Weekly Recap
2022 | August 15
UPCOMING FIRM EVENTS
AJ Advisors Open House
Date Coming Soon!

We are bringing it back! After several years off due to COVID, we plan to host our annual Open House at the office this year! Join us for good food, music and fellowship. More details to come soon.
Medicare Seminar with Margaret Smith
October 27th 4:00-5:30 pm | In Person and Via Zoom

Have questions about signing up or reviewing your Medicare coverage during open enrollment? Margaret Smith with Medical Accounts Management will be joining us again for a discussion on what you need to know!
THE MARKETS
Four Weeks in a Row

The major U.S. stock indexes each posted returns exceeding 3% as investors welcomed indications of a modest easing in inflation. For the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, it was the fourth positive result in a row – the longest string of weekly gains since November 2021. The S&P 500 closed on Friday at 4,280.2 for a gain of 3.3% on the year.

Although U.S. inflation remains near its highest level since the early 1980s, the latest monthly Consumer Price Index report brought some relief, which triggered a stock market rally on Wednesday. Inflation rose at an annual 8.5% rate in July, marking a slowdown from the previous month’s 9.1% figure. Falling gasoline prices were largely responsible for the decline.

Excluding the energy sector, S&P 500 companies would be posting an overall earnings decline rather than an increase for the quarterly season that’s now wrapping up. The average 299% year-over-year surge reported by energy companies made the sector the biggest earnings growth contributor among all 11 sectors, according to FactSet. Including energy, the S&P 500 was expected to record an average 6.7% earnings increase as of August 11; without that sector, earnings would shrink –3.7%.

The 8% drop in an index that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility marked the index’s eighth weekly decline in a row. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) on Friday closed about 43% below a recent peak set in mid-June. 

The day after the U.S. government reported a modest slowdown in consumer price inflation, a separate report showed a similar easing in suppliers’ wholesale prices. The Producer Price Index rose at a 9.8% annual rate in July – the slowest pace since October 2021, and down from 11.3% in June of this year. 

A benchmark of U.S. small-cap stocks outperformed by a sizable margin for the week, moving ahead of a large-cap peer on a year-to-date basis. The Russell 2000 Index added around 5% for the week, despite pulling back sharply on Tuesday. 

The price of U.S. crude oil rose, eclipsing the $90-per-barrel threshold that it had fallen below the previous week for the first time in more than five months. On Friday, oil was trading around $92 as traders weighed the prospects of higher demand this winter.

A monthly gauge of U.S. consumer sentiment rose, marking the second monthly gain since it fell in June to the lowest level in records dating to 1952. Friday’s preliminary report from the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index also indicated that consumers’ future inflation expectations improved but remained elevated.

Source: John Hancock Investment Management
TD Alerts Re: Disbursement
You may have received an alert in TD Advisor Client regarding a recent transaction in your account. This is in reference to the ETF conversions we emailed about a few weeks ago.

Here is an example of the alert:
To clarify, there have been no “disbursements” as it relates to this fund. This is TD’s characterization of the conversion we are making in some of our Vanguard funds, as we switch from mutual funds to ETFs in client accounts.

On Friday, we converted our Vanguard US Small Cap fund from mutual fund to ETF. The “disbursement” is really just an internal conversion of the fund from mutual fund to ETF, with no change in value or positioning.

You may receive similar alerts this week as we convert 3 other Vanguard funds from the mutual fund to ETF share class.

As always, please do not hesitate to call us if you have any questions.
Where are the Best Places to Live in North America?
This year, the Economist Intelligence Unit conducted a “liveability” study to evaluate which cities around the world had the most to offer residents. They analyzed 30 quantitative and qualitative factors across five categories – stability, healthcare, culture and environment, education, and infrastructure – in 172 cities.

As it turns out North America is the second most livable region of the world, trailing just behind Western Europe. Every North American city in the survey received a score of at least 80 out of 100. The top cities in North America included:

  1. Calgary
  2. Vancouver
  3. Toronto
  4. Montreal
  5. Atlanta
  6. Washington, D.C.
  7. Honolulu
  8. Pittsburgh
  9. Los Angeles
  10. Seattle

The desirability of North American cities may explain why more people are moving to the continent. “Over 630,000 people moved to North America from other parts of the world in the first half of 2022, a rise of 51% from the same period a year earlier,” reported The Economist.

In case you’re wondering, the least livable cities in North America – and no place had a low score – were Lexington, Detroit, Houston, Cleveland and New York.

Where would you live if you could choose anywhere in the world?
John Stauffer, CFP®
Partner

Andrew Quinn, CFP®
Partner

Emily Triano
Operation Associate

Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this newsletter (article) (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended or undertaken by AJ Advisors), will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions. Moreover, you should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this newsletter (article) serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from AJ Advisors. Please remember to contact AJ Advisors, in writing, if there are any changes in your personal/financial situation or investment objectives for the purpose of reviewing/evaluating/revising our previous recommendations and/or services, or if you want to impose, add, to modify any reasonable restrictions to our investment advisory services, or if you wish to direct that AJ Advisors to effect any specific transactions for your account. A copy of our current written disclosure statement discussing our advisory services and fees continues to remain available for your review upon request.