Markets Rebound
The major U.S. stock indexes closed out a holiday-shortened week with solid gains, snapping a three-week losing streak that sent the S&P 500 down more than 8%. For the latest week, that index rose nearly 4%; the NASDAQ’s gain exceeded 4% and the Dow was up almost 3%. The S&P 500 closed on Friday at 4,067.4 for a gain of 3.7% on the week.
With further U.S. rate interest-rate hikes expected, the yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond climbed for the sixth week in a row, reaching around 3.32% on Friday. The yield is up from 2.64% at the end of July.
The European Central Bank approved its biggest-ever interest-rate increase by lifting its key lending rate from 0.00% to 0.75%. The move came in response to the recent jump in eurozone inflation to an annual rate of 9.1%, exceeding the current U.S. rate of 8.5%.
After tumbling 6% in the previous week, the price of U.S. crude oil fell modestly, despite rallying on Friday to more than $86 per barrel. On Thursday, oil sank below $82—the lowest in eight months. As recently as August 30, oil climbed as high as $97.
The British pound on Wednesday dropped to its lowest level against the U.S. dollar since 1985. The pound fell to around $1.14 as the United Kingdom’s economy faces spiking inflation and other economic challenges.
In the wake of the recent U.S. economic downturn, a growing number of U.S. corporate executives are talking about a recession. The research firm FactSet searched conference call transcripts from the recently concluded quarterly earnings season and found that nearly half of the companies in the S&P 500 mentioned the term “recession.” The total—240 companies—was the highest that FactSet has tracked in records going back to 2010.
After falling below $19,000 earlier in the week, the price of Bitcoin jumped almost 9% on Friday to more than $21,000. Despite that rise, the cryptocurrency remains far below the record high of more than $65,000 that it set last November.
A Consumer Price Index report scheduled to be released on Tuesday will show whether the recent moderation in inflation extended into August. In July, inflation rose at an annual 8.5% rate, marking a slowdown from the previous month’s 9.1% figure, largely due to falling gasoline prices.
Source: John Hancock Investment Management
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