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PDF | Research | Week of September 4, 2023

Quote of the Week

“I’m in the two-point-something camp. That sounds arbitrary, but some things in life are arbitrary.” – Richard Clarida, former vice-chair, Federal Reserve, on inflation levels. 

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November 15-17, 2023

JW Marriott Orlando, Grande Lakes in Orlando, FL

SFNet’s 79th Annual Convention

Build for the Moment

Agility. Patience. Opportunity.

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A Word About Bonds

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All About Secondaries (First of a Series)

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“The majority of GPs have observed some level of interest from their investors for continuation funds.” – Private Equity International Private Fund Leaders Survey 2023.


Besides the above survey, an article last month in Secondaries Investor cited Jefferies data showing 80% of LPs sought liquidity by selling into continuation vehicles. This is an extraordinary shift from investors getting realizations the old-fashioned way, i.e. private equity owners selling businesses to new strategic or sponsor buyers.


Of course, current market conditions are weighing on M&A activity. Higher rates make it tougher for buyers to achieve their desired equity returns through financing leverage. Credit providers are hampered by tight interest coverage at those debt-to-ebitda levels. And until recently, everyone worried about a potential recession in late 2023 or early 2024.


Continuation vehicles are but one of many innovations designed to provide investors in equity (and credit) funds with liquidity as other sources dried up...

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H2 2023 Private Equity Survey


In July 2023, Churchill conducted a survey of 95 senior leaders from PE funds we are invested in and partner with to better understand how they’re thinking about the current environment.

View survey results

Chart of the Week

Primacy of Secondaries

The popularity of secondary equity investments has risen markedly since 2016.

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Source: Evercore

(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Marina Lukatsky / S&P Global Market Intelligence

PDI Picks

Taking your PIK

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The influence of the payment-in-kind option in private debt transactions is on the rise...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

US yields decline across the board in 3Q23

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The US institutional loan market had a busy summer, with many issuers taking advantage of increased investor appetite...

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Contact: Diana Diquez/ Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

Fee structures leveling out

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For the better part of the last decade, private capital fee structures have been split between 2% and less than 2%...

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Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

DL Deals: News & Analysis

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Year-to-Date Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Private Middle Market, Model-Based Credit Opinion (MBCO) Portfolio, 2Q23

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Upgrades/downgrades within Fitch’s private MM portfolio are generally skewed toward downgrades, as issuer ratings can be constrained on the upside based on limited scale...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of Loans with Uncapped Synergies &

Cost Savings EBITDA Addbacks

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
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Private Debt Intelligence

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Canada-focused private debt

financing deal value on the upturn

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Canada-focused private debt deal activity and value have recently picked up. So far this year there have been 16 deals, with an aggregate value of $4.1bn...

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Contact: Thomas Marrs / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Source: VanEck BDC Income ETF, BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield

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Contact: Suneet Chandvani / Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

Select Deals in the Market

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.