Dear Stuart,
Supply in Metro Vancouver continued its upward trend in April, 29.7% above April 2024 and 47.6% above the 10 year seasonal average. Demand in April, on the other hand, was down 23.6% below April 2024 and is 28.2% below the 10 year seasonal average. These stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside detached home sales, when compared to the 10-year averages, are down by 53% for detached homes, down 11% for apartments and down by 13% for townhomes.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 17% for Westside detached homes, while apartment supply is up 59%, and townhomes are up 83%.
We had 51 Westside Detached home sales in April, compared to 49 sales last month.
We had 324 Westside Apartment sales in April, compared to 292 sales last month.
We had 51 Westside Attached home sales in April, compared to 48 sales last month.
In April, the westside Detached Home average price was down 24% from the peak in August 2023.
The Attached home average price was down 12% from the peak in Dec 2024.
The Apartment average price was down 13% from the peak in January 2018.
The Sales to Active Listings ratio (SAL) is a key indicator of market balance and it serves the same purpose as months of supply (MOS) that I have been using to date. I am shifting to SAL because that is the stat used by the Real Estate Board to describe the market activity in Metro Vancouver. It helps determine whether the market favours Buyers or Sellers.
Generally, downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12% for a period of time. Upward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio surpasses 20% over several months. The range between 12% and 20% is considered a balanced market.
Market conditions are dynamic and can change rapidly due to various economic factors & the ratio can vary significantly depending on the property type.
Currently the SAL for Westside detached is 7%, attached is 11% and apartments is 16%.
Increasing inventory levels and lower demand has been softening prices. The uncertainty in the world economy has been dampening the positive effect of the declining interest rates and while more sellers are coming into the market the buyers are still sitting on their hands. Economic uncertainty is still clouding the waters and reducing demand & prices.
There seems to be a high level of dissatisfaction with all levels of government and policies that ignore the wishes of the constituents in a “we know what is best for you” kind of governance. These policies include zoning encouraging highrise density and bylaws with punitive taxation for owners of multiple properties. One beneficial piece of legislation encourages owners to rent or sell properties rather than leaving them vacant which has resulted in more available accommodation and a revitalization of some neighbourhoods.
On the other hand policies banning foreign buyers has had a hugely chilling effect on the resale and development of expensive homes and is discouraging construction and investment in many new multifamily projects. Large developments are in planning and permit stages for years and banning the end users for these projects in mid stream is bankrupting some developers and is still not creating affordable housing for our young working professionals, firemen, police, teachers nurses and service industry workers.
Unique and well priced homes under $3M are still getting multiple offers. With the increases in supply there are buying opportunities and rates have been coming down.
February to June is prime time and strategic pricing will be key to achieving best results.
Thinking of Selling? Let’s Talk!
📞 Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Happy Mother's Day!
Best regards
Stuart 💝 💐❤️
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