WEEKLY UPDATE

September 2, 2025

The Week Ahead

Congress returns from its month-long summer recess this week, facing a packed agenda and the threat of a government shutdown less than a month away. The FY26 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) is set for floor action in both chambers this month. The Senate will move first, with a cloture vote scheduled for this evening to begin debate. The House will follow next week, when the Rules Committee meets to decide which amendments receive floor votes. Both chambers are expected to work through hundreds of amendments before passing their respective bills and launching the formal NDAA conference process. (More on that below).


With several hundred of President Trump’s nominees still pending before the Senate amid a Democratic blockade of confirmations by voice vote or unanimous consent, Republicans are considering changing Senate rules. In a recent op-ed, Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso (R-WY) suggested altering Senate procedure to bypass these tactics, potentially clearing the way for the confirmation of the nearly 40 pending Pentagon civilian nominees.


With less than four weeks until the end of FY25, Congress must negotiate a short-term continuing resolution (CR) to avoid a shutdown. Passage of full-year appropriations bills before the October 1 deadline is highly unlikely, leaving lawmakers to focus on extending current funding levels. Even that may prove difficult. Democrats are furious with the administration's push for recessions. In addition to the $9B recissions package Republicans passed earlier this year, the White House has cut an additional $5B from the federal budget through pocket recissions, a process that allows the administration to bypass Congressional approval usually required for any funding decisions. Democrats have questioned the legality of the move and are considering legal action.


The partisan standoff has been inflamed further by recent White House actions. President Trump deployed the National Guard to Washington, D.C., and has threatened similar deployments to other major cities to address crime and illegal immigration. He also dismissed CDC Director Susan Monarez and is seeking to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over allegations of mortgage fraud. These moves have created an environment in which Democrats may be inclined to buck bipartisanship and shut down the federal government instead of agreeing to a clean CR that would extend government funding. The White House is already messaging that they want Congress to pass a “clean” CR and would blame Democrats for any opposition to this plan.


If the government shuts down, it would cause roughly 700,000 civilian Pentagon employees to be furloughed. While all military personnel would remain working, they would not be paid until Congress provides funding. Training for reservists would also be curtailed. The U.S. military would, however, continue ongoing operations and other operations necessary for the safety of human life or the protection of property. Civilian employees who support these operations will also continue to work without pay. Activities that are not “excepted” would be shut down, including the cessation of temporary duty travel, with exceptions.


The House will vote this week on several bills affecting foreign military sales (FMS) and arms transfers. H.R. 4233, the AUKUS Reform for Military Optimization and Review (ARMOR) Act, would strengthen the expedited review process for AUKUS-related transfers, exports, and activities involving advanced technologies. H.R. 4216, the FMS-Only List Review Act, requires the State Department, in coordination with DoD, to review annually which defense articles must be transferred under FMS rather than through direct commercial sales. The review must compare processing times, assess workload impacts on State and DoD, and evaluate national security benefits, with consultation from industry groups and a report to Congress. H.R. 4215, the ITAR Licensing Reform Act, directs the Secretary of State to establish expedited timelines for export license decisions, 45 days for priority countries and end-users identified as vital to U.S. national security, and 60 days for all others. Exceptions would apply in cases requiring technology security reviews or congressional intervention, with semi-annual reporting on delays. These bills will be considered under suspension of rules.

Upcoming Hearings of Note

Senate Foreign Relations Committee

  • 09/03/25 - Full Committee: Nominations
  • Bill Bazzi to be Ambassador to the Republic of Tunisia
  • Melinda Hildebrand to be Ambassador to the Republic of Costa Rica
  • Todd Wilcox to be an Assistant Secretary of State (Diplomatic Security)

House Homeland Security Committee

  • 09/03/25 – Full Committee: Business Meeting to consider:
  • H.R. 1736, (Mr. Pfluger) the “Generative AI Terrorism Risk Assessment Act”
  • H.R. 2212, (Mr. Mackenzie) the “DHS Intelligence Rotational Assignment Program and Law Enforcement Support Act”
  • H.R. 2259, (Mr. Tony Gonzales of Texas) the “National Strategy for School Security Act of 2025”
  • H.R. 2261, (Mr. Hernández) the “Strengthening Oversight of DHS Intelligence Act”
  • H.R. 5062, (Ms. Johnson of Texas) the “Pipeline Security Act”
  • H.R. ____, (Mr. Garbarino) the “Widespread Information Management for the Welfare of Infrastructure and Government Act”
  • H.R. ____, (Mr. Ogles) the “Protecting Information by Local Leaders for Agency Resilience Act” or “PILLAR Act”
  • 09/03/25 – Subcommittee on Counterterrorism and Intelligence: “Threats on the Horizon: Closing the C-UAS Authority Gap for State and Local Responders” 

Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee

  • 09/03/25 – Full Committee: “There’s a Bad Moon on the Rise: Why Congress and NASA Must Thwart China in the Space Race”


Please let us know if you would like to receive a summary of these hearings.

Congress Begins Floor Debate on the FY26 NDAA

The Senate will vote this evening to begin debate on the Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). Senators have filed 649 amendments to the bill. Chairman Roger Wicker (R-MS) and Ranking Member Jack Reed (D-RI) are expected to work with leadership to assemble a manager’s package of amendments that are likely to be adopted. Many amendments fall outside the Senate Armed Services Committee’s jurisdiction, and it remains unclear whether Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) will allow them to move forward. In cases where amendments touch on other committees’ jurisdictions, they would still require approval from the chair and ranking member of the relevant committee.


On the House side, the Rules Committee will meet next week to consider H.R. 3838, the Streamlining Procurement for Effective Execution and Delivery and National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026. More than 1,000 amendments have already been filed. Rules will work closely with the House Armed Services Committee to determine which amendments receive floor consideration, with most expected to advance in en bloc packages. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) is aiming for a final House vote on the measure by the end of next week. Proposed amendments in both chambers cover a wide range of issues, from cracking down on Chinese companies operating in the U.S. and sanctioning adversaries like Iran to blocking certain foreign military sales and extending the Defense Production Act. The Coast Guard Authorization Act of 2025 has been offered as an amendment in both chambers, while the Intelligence Authorization Act for FY26 has been filed as an amendment to the Senate bill.


Once both chambers pass their versions of the NDAA, they will reconcile differences through a formal conference process. While much of this work occurs at the staff level, larger disagreements are elevated to committee leadership. The two versions diverge on several fronts, including competing acquisition reform provisions and topline funding levels. The House bill authorizes $882.6 billion in defense spending, including $848.3 billion for the Department of Defense. The Senate bill is more expansive, authorizing $913.9 billion overall, with $878.7 billion directed to DoD, a $32 billion increase over the President’s budget request.



The conference process will likely stretch through most of the fall, with a final compromise expected in early December. Once the conference report is released, the House and Senate must vote on the final package without amendments before sending it to the President for signature into law.

Department of Defense Nomination Tracker

Recommended Defense Articles

Phelan establishes new Naval Rapid Capabilities Office (Defense News 8/26)

“The civilian head of the U.S. Navy announced the service will consolidate several wings and create a new office focused on development and problem-solving. Navy Secretary John Phelan said the Navy established the Naval Rapid Capabilities Office, which will dismantle and absorb the Maritime Accelerated Response Capability Cell, Disruptive Capabilities Office, NavalX and the Navy’s execution of the Defense Department’s Replicator activities, according to an Aug. 19 memo obtained by Military Times. ‘The NRCO will serve as the single accountable organization spanning all naval warfare domains, responsible for the rapid assessment, execution, fielding and transition of urgent solutions within a three-year timeframe to ensure U.S. maritime supremacy,’ the memo said.”


Pentagon CTO to oversee Defense Innovation Unit following Beck’s exit (Defense News 8/26)

“Undersecretary of Defense for Research and Engineering Emil Michael will lead the Defense Innovation Unit in an acting capacity following former director Doug Beck’s resignation Monday. The Pentagon confirmed the personnel change in a statement to Defense News, adding that Michael Dodd, the incoming assistant secretary of defense for critical technologies, will be the acting deputy director of the commercial innovation hub. ‘Together, both are laser-focused on driving innovation and enhancing the department’s ability to deliver groundbreaking commercial technologies to empower the American warfighter,’ the spokesperson said.”


DoD R&E chief says Pentagon will trim ‘critical technology’ list (Breaking Defense 8/27)

“The Defense Department is planning to cut its number of ‘critical technology’ areas down from its current list of more than a dozen, Emil Michael, the Pentagon’s undersecretary for research and engineering, said today. ‘The critical technology areas that my component has published, historically, are statements to the world of what we think the most important things are. And so when you have a situation where everyone who comes to this job and just adds more, but they don’t take away, well, then the criticality gets diluted,’ Michael told reporters today at the NDIA Emerging Technologies Conference.”


Experts: Government stake in defense firms could harm industry (Defense News 8/28)

“Defense industry experts are warning that a potential government stake in major firms such as Lockheed Martin or Boeing could stifle innovation, create conflicts of interest, and lead to more contract award protests, following comments from a top administration official considering the move. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on Tuesday sparked discussion of whether the Trump administration could broaden the government’s efforts to take slices of vital private firms into the defense world. Speaking with CNBC about the government’s recent acquisition of a stake in Intel, Lutnick indicated that Pentagon leaders could be looking at similar arrangements with other companies.”


Pentagon Cuts Set Back Critical AI Data Platform (Defense One 8/20)

“Personnel cuts are crippling progress on Advana, a Pentagon data platform that has been widely used in recent years to accelerate functions from logistics to finance to readiness—and which is key to the department’s AI plans, current and former defense and military officials say. ‘You tell this organization to do ‘A.’ Then you cut contracted staff by 80 percent and you have a turnover of close to what, 60 percent? Things are going to break. Things are going to get delayed. We’re in both places,’ said one defense official who asked for anonymity to speak freely.”


Allvin’s Surprise Exit Signals a Pivot for the Air Force, Not Hegseth Pressure (Defense One 8/21)

“Air Force Chief Gen. David Allvin’s abrupt retirement wasn’t driven by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, but by growing frustration with the service’s priorities, according to multiple people familiar with the decision. On Monday, Allvin announced his plans to retire after serving just two years as the service’s highest-ranking officer, typically a four-year job. No reason was given in the Air Force press release that contained his announcement. The first months of the second Trump administration have seen an unprecedented purge of senior military officers. In February, Hegseth fired the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff; Allvin’s vice chief, Gen. James Slife; the chief of naval operations; and the judge advocates general of the Army, Navy, and Air Force. Others removed later include the commandant of the U.S. Coast Guard, the commander of NSA/U.S. Cyber Command, and the Pentagon’s representative to the NATO Military Committee.”


Hegseth Fires Defense Intelligence Agency Chief After Iran Report (Wall Street Journal 8/22)

“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth fired the Defense Intelligence Agency director Friday, according to a senior defense official and another person familiar with the move, the latest in a slew of senior national-security officials dismissed by the Trump administration. Air Force Lt. Gen. Jeffrey A. Kruse was leading the Pentagon agency in June when it issued an evaluation of U.S. military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities that concluded the attack had set back Tehran’s nuclear program only by a few months. The assessment contradicted President Trump’s assertion that the bombings had obliterated the Iranian sites.”


Trump Turns to Small Group of Advisers, Shrinks National Security Council (Wall Street Journal 8/30)

“When President Trump ordered airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities in June, U.S. diplomats who would normally be told of the decision were left in the dark. After the attack, officials from Middle East countries pressed officials in Washington and at U.S. embassies in the region for information about whether the attack signaled Trump was launching a broader regime-change campaign, officials involved in those conversations said. Almost no one had an answer, other than to refer them to Trump’s public announcement of the bombings. They hadn’t received talking points on what to tell other governments.”


Pentagon moves AI office under R&D, raising fears it’s ‘demoting AI’ (Breaking Defense 8/18)

“Deputy Secretary of Defense Steve Feinberg has ordered a major overhaul of the military’s artificial intelligence efforts, including a reorganization that some former officials worry could be seen as a demotion for the Pentagon’s main AI office. Feinberg’s Aug. 14 memo launches three major reviews over the next 60 to 120 days and subordinates the Chief Digital & AI Office (CDAO) — which had reported directly to Feinberg — to the Pentagon’s new R&D chief, Emil Michael, ‘effective immediately.’ ‘This realignment will not create additional review layers or bureaucratic processes,’ a defense official told Breaking Defense after confirming the change. ‘CDAO will continue to execute all current statutory responsibilities without interruption during this transition.’”


Pentagon terminating JCIDS process as part of larger acquisition reform: Memo (Breaking Defense 8/22)

“As part of Pentagon leaders’ quest to rapidly field new weapons, they are revamping how requirements are validated and bidding adieu to the controversial Joint Capabilities Integration and Development System (JCIDS) process. In an Aug. 20 memo titled ‘Reforming the Joint Requirements Process to Accelerate Fielding of Warfighting Capabilities,’ Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and his deputy, Steve Feinberg, lay out a roadmap aimed at fielding ‘new technology and capabilities faster.’ The objective, they note, is threefold: to streamline and accelerate the joint force needs, work with industry earlier in the process, and better integrate requirements determination and resource prioritization to make better budgeting decisions. While the memo lays out multiple changes, a key provision is the ‘disestablishment’ of JCIDS — a joint staff process for pinpointing gaps in military capabilities, and identifying and validating joint requirements. In turn, the Joint Requirements Oversight Council (JROC), which oversees that process, will stop validating component-level requirement documents. The JROC comprises the vice chiefs of each military service, and is chaired by the vice chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.”


Pentagon forms new task force to fast-track counter-drone capabilities (Defense News 8/28)

“The Pentagon is scrapping its old playbook for defending against small drones, moving beyond years of evaluations and studies toward a model that comes with new money and authority geared to field capability faster, according to a Thursday memo from the defense secretary. The directive from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced the formation of the Joint Interagency Task Force 401 (JIATF 401) to ‘better align authorities and resources to rapidly deliver [joint counter-small unmanned aircraft system] capabilities to America’s warfighters, defeat adversary threats and promote sovereignty over national airspace,’ the memo states.”


NATO says all allies to meet 2% defense-spending target this year (Defense News 8/29)

“NATO said all alliance members will spend at least 2% of their GDP on defense this year, the first time for that to happen since the spending target was set more than a decade ago. Three countries – Poland, Lithuania and Latvia – are on track to meet a more ambitious target for 3.5% spending, set at a meeting just over two months ago, according to data on allied defense spending published by NATO on Thursday. European NATO countries have raised their defense budgets following Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, and also in response to criticism by U.S. President Donald Trump that allies weren’t spending enough. NATO members agreed at a June summit in the Netherlands to channel 5% of GDP into defense, including 3.5% on core defense.”



The Business of American Military Deterrence (Wall Street Journal 8/29)

“You’ve heard the problems. A $2 million interceptor to shoot down a $2,000 drone. Ukraine consuming more artillery shells in two months than the U.S. produces in a year. U.S. antiship missiles expected to run out on day eight of any war over Taiwan. A single Chinese shipyard churns out more tonnage in a year than the U.S. has since World War II. On the advice of Wall Street sharpie Bernard Baruch, who ran U.S. war production in 1917-18, President Franklin D. Roosevelt raided General Motors in late 1939 for its production genius. For nearly a year before Pearl Harbor, and before Germany’s subsequent declaration of war against the U.S., William Knudsen was already on the job, organizing U.S. defense production.”