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PDF | Research | Week of April 29 2024

Quote of the Week

“It is very clear the narrative is changing.”

– Thorsten Slok, chief economist, Apollo.

 
 

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Best Practices in Private Credit (Second of a Series)

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Best Practices in Private Credit (Fifth of a Series)

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This week we continue our series on best practices of top private credit firms with a look at how underwriting teams partner closely with their internal colleagues to ensure the most favorable execution for their sponsor clients and investors. 


Clear communications with private equity partners at the deal screening stage is essential. Quick and decisive feedback (“a quick No is better than a delayed one”) allows them to make contingency plans if a lender group doesn’t materialize along expected lines. Good credit partners can also help structure financings to win deals in hypercompetitive situations. 


Consistent and thoughtful feedback over time is invaluable to our competitive position relative to other, less-predictable lenders. Helping to achieve this includes early signaling to sponsors of varying degrees of interest. “Green” (or similar indicator) where we want to proceed to an “early read” Investment Committee discussion. “Yellow” if there are key questions needing to be answered before moving forward. “Red” is a “thanks, but no thanks.” It’s essential all IC members be included in all discussions, otherwise, there’s a risk someone dings the deal unexpectedly at a later date...

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New: Private Capital Call Podcast



Episode 6: Jack Ablin, Cresset Capital.

Private credit is a great hedge against the higher-for-longer scenario. - Jack Ablin

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Chart of the Week

Common Ground

Higher for longer has compressed leverage for both cov-lite and cov-heavy loans.

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Source: LSEG LPC


(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Ryan Brown / PitchBook LCD

PDI Picks

Fundraising falls flat

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There’s been talk of a modest revival in capital raising this year, but the first quarter may have lowered expectations. 

After a difficult time on the fundraising trail in 2023 as limited partners suffered from the denominator effect and lack of distributions, private debt managers were looking forward to a more benign climate in 2024. While this brighter outlook may yet materialise, there were few signs of it in the first quarter...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

Leverage declined for both direct lending and syndicated deals in 1Q24

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Total leverage on sponsored middle market deals ticked down to 4.44x in 1Q24, driven by a drop in first lien leverage. First-lien leverage came in at 4.20x in 1Q24, down from 4.33x in 4Q23, while junior leverage in contrast increased modestly to 0.24x from 0.19x...

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Contact: CJ Doherty / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

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Unparalleled exit activity facilitated increases in 12-month distributions as a percentage of NAV for PE, culminating in a distribution rate of 33.7% in 2021, much higher than the historical average distribution of 24.4%...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Defaults in Fitch's PMR Portfolio

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Fitch tracks defaults in our portfolio of about 300 middle market loans that we rate privately for asset managers. The default rate in this portfolio was about 3.7% in 2023, up from under 3% in 2022, also primarily due to rates... 

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of Loans with F&C Tranche Growers

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

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The blue line in the chart is the current dividend yield of the *VanEck BDC Income ETF (currently at 10.7% as of 26 April, down from the highest level in last 12 months of 12.1% in May 2023) that tracks the overall performance of publicly traded business development companies (BDCs, lenders to privately held middle-market businesses that tend to be below investment grade or not rated, with most lending comprising of senior secured loans)...

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Contact: Suneet Chandvani / Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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The relative attractiveness of alternative asset classes has shifted significantly over the past few years as interest rates have risen and the economy become much less certain...

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Contact: William Bennett-Lynch / Preqin

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.