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PDF | Research | Week of May 6 2024

Quote of the Week

“Powell can say whatever he wants, but ultimately the inflation numbers

will dictate what happens.”

– Neil Dutta, head of economic research, Renaissance Macro Research.

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Best Practices in Private Credit (Third of a Series)

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Best Practices in Private Credit (Sixth of a Series)

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No one loves physicals. The battery of tests, poking and prodding, with routine check-ups are low on our bucket list. We therefore approached last month’s visit to the cardiologist with trepidation. Things got interesting when he spotted on the MRI what appeared to be a widening of the aorta: “Aneurysm.”


A hasty Google search uncovered scary stories of ruptured arteries and sudden death. But we had grown to respect our doctor’s measured, thorough routine over the years. “Sometimes CT scans give us a better view,” he said. “Let’s see what that shows.” Turns out the scan recorded a narrower diameter, below the worrisome range. “We’ll just keep an eye on it.” 


Our medical moment recalled the importance of how experienced private credit managers keep watchful eyes on portfolio companies. Their practices aren’t flashy but rely on methodical monitoring and reporting beginning with some version of credit surveillance reports (CSRs)...

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Private Capital Call Podcast



Episode 6: Jack Ablin, Cresset Capital.

Private credit is a great hedge against the higher-for-longer scenario. - Jack Ablin

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Chart of the Week

Returns Department

Global private fund returns of capital has begun to improve since early 2023.

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Source: MSCI – Private Assets in Focus


(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Ryan Brown / PitchBook LCD

PDI Picks

Fundraising falls flat

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There’s been talk of a modest revival in capital raising this year, but the first quarter may have lowered expectations. 

After a difficult time on the fundraising trail in 2023 as limited partners suffered from the denominator effect and lack of distributions, private debt managers were looking forward to a more benign climate in 2024...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

Daily Analytic: US downward price flexes

continue in 2Q24

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After a record first quarter, the number of downward price flexes on first-lien institutional loans continues to be strong through early May...

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Contact: Alp Zavaro / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

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It was another stellar quarter for floating-rate loans to private company borrowers, which represent the bulk of private debt fund holdings. A good proxy for how these loans performed, the US Morningstar LSTA Index gained 2.5% in Q1 2024...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Privately Monitored Middle Market Portfolio Overview, 1Q24

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In the chart above, Fitch presents aggregate data for MM companies, defined as in the area of $500 million of debt or $100 million of EBITDA or below, that it privately rates for asset managers...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Distribution of Accordion F&C Tranche EBITDA Grower Caps (L3M)

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Since 1Q23, the number of bankruptcy applications from TMT firms has been relatively moderate. However, according to Likely-To-Distress (LTD) rankings powered by Debtwire’s NextGen data, there are currently 23 companies in distress and some 57 more in the stressed universe, all facing issues with liquidity, revenue and/or debt servicing...

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Contact: Suneet Chandvani / Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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Direct lending dominates first quarter fundraising

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Demand for direct lending strategies has increased consistently over the past 15 years, as private credit has evolved from niche products such as mezzanine and distressed debt to a mainstream source of finance for deals and companies...

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Contact: William Bennett-Lynch Preqin

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.