Our Response to COVID-19: Information
Good evening,

November 13, 2020 -- The covid-19 virus is deadly. It has killed 1,308,565 people globally. Today, the virus killed 9,999 more of our brothers and sisters. Although the week started with promising reports of an effective and safe vaccine, it will take the better part of a year to get everyone on earth vaccinated, to achieve the holy grail of herd immunity. There is no other way to reach that point. In the last 24 hours, the US confirmed a baffling number of new cases, a number so high it was unimaginable only a month ago, yet, 183,620 Americans were confirmed infected today (over one million in the last week). Today's US number boosted the global explosion of viral transmissions to a new record of 658,658 new cases, bringing the daily average of new cases in the last week to 583,673 and killing an average of 8,656 people every day in the last seven days. The world has confirmed over 4 million new cases and mourns the deaths of over 60,000 deaths, all since last Friday's report.

COVID-19 in the world today:

  • COVID-19 Global cases: 53,732,209 (+658,658)
  • COVID-19 Global deaths: 1,308,565 (+9,999)
  • COVID-19 Global death rate: 2.44%
  • COVID-19 Global testing*: 901,349,129 confirmed tests (+6,444,936)
  • COVID-19 Global positivity rate: 5.96%
  • COVID-19 Global single-day positivity rate: 10.18%

*: incomplete data set.
Tip: click on any of the graphs for larger and clearer images and click on READ MORE to view the complete articles. Also, please forgive the occasional typos.
Researchers: Covid-19 death toll could double this winter to World War 2 levels | nbcnew.com
Covid-19 could kill as many Americans this winter as the Germans and Japanese did during World War 2, a research outfit that the Trump administration once relied on warned Friday.

The death toll in the United States, currently at 244,250, could nearly double by March 1 to 438,971, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IMHE) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine forecasted in its latest projection.

Add Europe, which is in the midst of a second wave of infections, and the rest of the world, and the global death toll could reach a staggering 2.8 million by March 1, the IMHE projected.

“When you see that Europe is already up to 4,000-plus deaths a day, and it just keeps growing. We’re on a similar trajectory,” Dr. Christopher Murray, a professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington and director of the IHME, told NBC News. “We’re just about four weeks behind."

Coronavirus deaths in the U.S. had slowed compared to the rate of new infections in the summer and through fall, but Murray said he expects that will change in the coming months.

“Eventually deaths come up,” he said. “We see transmission first in younger people and then it spreads into older people and people with comorbidities. There’s a natural lag, which means deaths don’t start to tick up at the same rate, but then they do.”

Italy COVID-19 data

  • global rank: 10
  • 1,107,303 cases (+40,902) peak
  • 44,139 deaths (+550)
  • 18,455,416 tests (+254,908)
  • positivity rate 6.00%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 16.05%
Austria COVID-19 data

  • global rank: 36
  • 191,228 cases (+9,586) peak
  • 1,714 deaths (+53)
  • 2,607,733 tests (+32,328)
  • positivity rate 7.61%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 29.65%
Indonesia COVID-19 data

  • global rank: 21
  • 457,735 cases (+5,444) peak
  • 15,037 deaths (+104)
  • 4,981,291 tests (+84,498)
  • positivity rate 9.19%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 6.44%

Ukraine COVID-19 data

  • global rank: 20
  • 512,652 cases (+11,787) peak
  • 9,317 deaths (+172)
  • 3,782,099 tests
  • positivity rate 13.55%
  • 24hr positivity rate: N/A

Scientists mobilize against herd immunity approach

An international group of scientists has written a response to a push for a "herd immunity" approach to managing the pandemic, which would involve letting the virus spread.

The WHO last week denounced the herd approach—a term used for vaccines—as "scientifically and ethically problematic," because it could greatly boost deaths and expose more people to a virus that may have long-term health consequences. However, a document, known as the Great Barrington declaration, with a list of supporters of the approach was reportedly embraced by the White House.

The Infectious Diseases Society of America has denounced the document, and pushback gained more steam today with the publication in The Lancet of the John Snow Memorandum, which includes scientific references and has now been signed by more than 2,000 scientists, researchers, and health professionals.
In the US
Today, 41 states reported at least 1,000 new COVID-19 infections. For a third time this week, the US broke its daily record of new confirmed virus transmissions with 183,620 new positive tests as of 6:00pm PST. The novel coronavirus killed 1,394 more Americans in the last 24 hours and 7,749 of our brothers and sisters in the last seven days (1,107 daily national 7-day average). In only one week, the US has confirmed over 1 million new cases: 1,000,454 infections, which represents a 142,922 daily national average over the last week. Ohio is now ranked 10th nationally, ahead of New Jersey. The current White House and US Senate are doing nothing to help Americans weather this storm; they have rejected proposed bills to temporarily alleviate the unbearable economic loses of many, and have consistently ignored cries for help from a sacrificially battered nation.
Wisconsin COVID-19 data

  • national rank: 8
  • 301,165 cases (+7,777) peak
  • 2,573 deaths (+58)
  • 2,276,677 tests (+18,510)
  • positivity rate 13.23%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 42.02%
Illinois COVID-19 data

  • national rank: 5
  • 551,957 cases (+15,415) peak
  • 10,891 deaths (+45)
  • 8,871,640 tests (+106,540)
  • positivity rate 6.22%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 14.47%
Maryland COVID-19 data

  • national rank: 24
  • 161,769 cases (+1,869) peak
  • 4,273 deaths (+19)
  • 3,793,111 tests (+31,598)
  • positivity rate 4.26%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 5.91%
Ohio COVID-19 data

  • national rank: 10
  • 282,528 cases (+8,071) peak
  • 5,736 deaths (+44)
  • 5,117,591 tests (+66,052)
  • positivity rate 5.52%
  • 24hr positivity rate: 12.22%
COVID-19 in the USA

  • Cases: 11,064,156 (+183,620) PEAK
  • Deaths: 249,974 (+1,394)
  • Death rate: 2.26%
  • Testing: 165,133,405 individual tests (+1,678,700)
  • Positivity rate: 6.70%
  • Single-day positivity date: 10.94%
US top 5 infected states:

  1. Texas: 1,078,194 COVID-19 cases, 19,946 deaths
  2. California: 1,017,123 COVID-19 cases, 18,221 deaths
  3. Florida: 870,552 COVID-19 cases, 17,450 deaths
  4. New York: 588,957 COVID-19 cases, 33,955 deaths
  5. Illinois: 551,957 COVID-19 cases, 10,891 deaths
In California
California sees fastest growth in new daily coronavirus cases | cnn.com
California, which this week announced its 1 millionth Covid-19 case, is seeing the fastest rate of increase in the number of daily reported infections since the start of the pandemic, public health officials said Friday.

There has been a 47.1% increase in the number of new cases in a one-week period since the beginning of this month, according to Dr. Erica Pan, who is currently serving as the state's acting public health officer.

"This is almost a 20% faster rate of rise and the fastest rate of rise we have seen in California," Pan said. "When cases are increasing at this pace, it is really important for us to act quickly."

The state reported 6,893 additional cases of Covid-19 on Friday, a higher number of new infections than the state's seven-day average of 6,773 cases. The two-week test positivity rate has also increased from 3% to 4%, according to Pan.

A statewide travel advisory was implemented Friday along with Oregon and Washington, asking residents to refrain from any non-essential travel.

"Cases are on the rise here in California and we are concerned," California Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly said. "As I say to my patients often, 'When I'm worried, I'll tell you so you can worry with me,' and we're there."

Ghaly expressed his concerns over the increase of cases leading to hospitalizations.
"About two weeks after a set of cases is reported, we see about 12% of those cases end up in the hospital," he said.

Hospitalizations in the state have increased more than 30% in the past two weeks.
"This isn't the time to put our guard down," Ghaly said.

California is once again reporting over 10,000 new daily cases, numbers unseen in three months. Today's daily case report is the highest since August 14.

  • COVID-19 California cases: 1,017,122 (+10,066)
  • COVID-19 California deaths: 18,221 (+79)
  • COVID-19 California death rate: 1.79%
  • COVID-19 California testing: 20,478,500 individual tests (+136,428)
  • COVID-19 California positivity rate: 4.97%
  • COVID-19 California single-day positivity rate: 7.38%
In the Central Valley
The Madera County Department of Public Health COVID-19 Update:

11/13/2020 COVID-19 UPDATE: Reporting 37 cases from the public and 28 from Valley State Prison (total 65 cases) bringing the total number of reported cases to 5,426. 
Of the 5,426:
  • 460 active case (including 8 Madera County residents hospitalized in Madera County)  
  • 4,890 recovered (5 released from isolation) 
  • 76 deceased
Madera County is averaging 23.71 new cases per day (15 per 100K), with 332 new cases revealed over the last 14 days. We need to get down to an average of 11 cases per day or 154 cases over 14 days to switch from purple to red (from "widespread" to "substantial" contagion risk).

Today, the seven local counties together reported 744 new infections and 10 new coronavirus deaths. In the combined 7 counties, COVID-19 has infected 114,193 people and has killed 1,526 residents of our region since it claimed its first central valley victim, in Madera, on March 26, 2020. Our friends and neighbors are needlessly dying, many families are suffering. Science and the courage to follow its logic will solve this pandemic, any other discourse is inadequate.
COVID-19 in Madera + 6 local counties (+% is the positivity rate)

  • Mariposa: 89 cases (+1), 2 deaths, 7,852 tests, 1.13 +%
  • Merced: 10,193 cases (+61), 169 deaths (+3), 68,554 tests, 15.13+%
  • Madera: 5,426 cases (+65), 76 deaths, 84,317 tests, 6.44+%
  • Fresno: 33,809 cases (209), 460 deaths (+4), 399,428 tests, 8.46+%
  • Tulare: 18,610 cases (+155), 300 deaths (+1), est. 188,960 tests, 10.00+%
  • Kings: 9,108 cases (+95), 87 deaths, 131,277 tests, 7.14+%
  • Kern: 35,610 cases (+158), 432 deaths (+2), 232,675 tests, 15.30+%

COVID-19 in the 7 counties together

  • 7 counties cases: 114,193 (+744)
  • 7 counties deaths: 1,526 (+10)
  • 7 counties death rate: 1.34%
  • 7 Counties tests: 1,114,291 (est.)
  • 7 Counties positivity rate: 10.25%
7 counties weekly report -- The trend observed in the last three weeks has been confirmed with a steep climb of cases throughout the valley this week, bringing our combined totals to levels unseen since the last week of August, erasing all the progress we had all worked so hard to achieve. This week's 4,058 new cases confirm 1,102 more infections than last week and 2,175 more than our lowest weekly report in months (1,883 cases), since the summer peak, a short month ago. Thankfully, the weekly death report is the lowest in many months (in early May!), but, as we have learned, the covid-19 related deaths will lag the cases rise by two to four weeks, and will inevitably and sadly grow in the last weeks of November and early December.
Keep observing the simple yet proven safety habits of physical-distancing, mask-wearing, and frequent hand-washing, that will help drive down new infections and new deaths numbers, to a level low enough so as to give us a chance to reopen our schools for onsite education and thus, reopen our economy. Nothing else will work until we have a safe and effective COVID-19 vaccine.
From our hearts to yours,

Fredo and Renee Martin
Workingarts Marketing, inc.

PS: We welcome comments and questions. If you wish to review previous reports, we now host past issues here.