In a recent study from The Lancet, researchers analyzed fertility, migration, and mortality rates to predict population growth scenarios from 2017 to 2100. According to their findings, the world’s population is expected to peak in 2064 with 9.73 billion people before declining to 8.79 billion in 2100. 

By the end of the century, the most populous countries in the world are predicted to be India (1.09 billion), Nigeria (791 million), China (732 million), the USA (336 million), and Pakistan (248 million). Researchers also estimate there will be dramatic shifts in age demographics. In 2100, an estimated 1.70 billion individuals will be below 20 years of age. A variety of factors influence such population changes, but researchers suggest that increased educational attainment for women and access to contraception will contribute to declining fertility rates throughout the century, resulting in a decreased global population. If many countries experience sustained lower total fertility rates, the economic, social, environmental, and geopolitical landscapes will be drastically altered.

These changing demographics are a useful framework for understanding DKT's work and goals for the future. We are proud to have delivered over 47 million CYPs in 2019 and aim to reach 60 million CYPs in the next few years. DKT is committed to providing safe and accessible sexual and reproductive health services and products in our ever-changing world.