"Just Thinking"

“Just Thinking"


I’ve got a couple of things to get fired up about this week and I had to share.


First things first, we’ve officially hit a major mortgage rate milestone: the 30-year fixed has fallen below 6%. After the rapid rise in rates over the past couple of years and all the uncertainty that followed, I’ve been saying that the housing market would be poised for a real comeback once we broke that 6% threshold. Well, this week, that moment finally arrived.


Mortgage rates just hit their lowest level since 2022, with the 30-year fixed averaging 5.98%. That’s not just a dip, it's a turning point for buyers, sellers, and the entire industry. Improved affordability has the potential to bring a surge of pent‑up demand back into the market.


Big things could be on the horizon, let’s be ready.


Secondly, I’m still fired up after the U.S. men’s hockey team’s gold medal victory on Sunday morning, especially when it is combined with the women’s team bringing home gold earlier in the week. The bragging rights alone are outstanding, but what’s really kept me engaged is all of the clips of the players celebrating, it’s been just a joy to watch.


This ride feels so different from the Miracle on Ice in 1980, when a young group of amateurs stunned the world by beating the Soviet powerhouse in the semifinals and then rallying again to beat Finland 4–2 in the gold‑medal game. The subsequent hype has had to hold us for the past 46 years, until this week when Team USA broke through to unify us all under 1 flag.


If you haven’t watched it yet, I highly recommend Miracle: The Boys of ’80 on Netflix. Released just ahead of the Olympics, the documentary was timed intentionally to remind audiences why that moment still resonates. With the Hockey Team back in the spotlight, the film is timely, connecting generations of fans and reigniting national pride.


One other moment that totally captivated me and had me reflecting on Olympics of old was the amazing victory in figure skating by Oakland Native Alysa Liu, who became the first American woman to win the event in 24 years.


We have been spending a lot of time lately cleaning out Mom and Dad’s house, getting it ready to sell. The project has taken much longer than expected because everything that we move or attempt to get rid of elicits a memory of days gone by. Having moved into the house in 1964, it is the only house that my siblings ever lived in, I lived with Mom and Dad in a set of flats off Army St. but only maintain a few memories of living there. All my growing up memories are from the house on Talbert St.


Talbert St., in the heart of Visitacion Valley and was a great place to grow up. Nestled in the shadows of San Bruno Mountain in the southeastern corner of San Francisco, on the boarder of Daly City and a couple of short miles from Brisbane.  When trying to explain where I lived to neophytes, I would say that we lived off Bayshore Blvd. between the Cow Palace and Candlestick Park. If you make it as far as the Geneva Towers, turn around fast, you have gone too far.

When we first moved to the neighborhood, many of the residents were old timers in the Valley, who would tell stories of how the neighborhood evolved from a rural part of the city to become more urban and family oriented.


The parish of Our Lady of the Visitacion has been the center of the neighborhood and was essential in developing a strong and lasting faith-based community. Our Lady of the Visitacion Church was established in 1907 as a small wooden structure on Cora Street. The new and current church was opened in 1952, which was followed by the opening of the parochial school in 1964.


Viz Valley has one of the city’s most documented origin stories, linking Indigenous history, Spanish colonization, Mexican-era ranchos, American annexation, agriculture, industrial development, and 20th‑century demographic change.


Have a great week, keep on pushin’


Let me know what you think.

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This Weeks Top Story

Four Years Into Higher Rates, the Housing Market Has New Rules

Realtor.com® reports inventory up 142.1% since 2022, rates peaked at 7.79%, yet median list prices remain 8.1% higher as delistings surge.


Higher mortgage rates have reshaped the housing market. 


That’s the headline from a new Realtor.com report looking back at four years of higher borrowing costs. 


Since January 2022, active inventory has climbed 142.1%. At the same time, the median list price is still 8.1% higher and price per square foot has risen 11.4%. Rates peaked at 7.79% and now sit near 6.10%. 


Buyers pulled back. Listings came back in many markets. Prices didn’t collapse.


More than 50% of homeowners are still locked into mortgage rates below 4%, which helps explain why so many sellers can afford to wait. Homes are sitting longer. And delistings have more than doubled as a share of active listings. 


The housing “reset” a lot of folks were waiting for never showed up.


What we’re left with is a market operating under a different set of rules. 


Here’s what the data say about how those rules are shaping inventory, pricing power, and seller behavior.


Rule #1: Inventory Can Rise Without Breaking Prices

 

Inventory has come back in a real way over the past four years. Active listings nationwide are up 142.1% since January 2022. 


That’s a dramatic shift from the historic lows that defined the early part of this cycle.


The rebound hasn’t happened evenly, though. Active listings are up 213.7% in the South and 180.0% in the West. In the Midwest, inventory is up 67.1%. In the Northeast, it’s up 22.4%. 


In high-growth metros like Dallas, Raleigh, Austin, Denver, Tampa, and Nashville, listings have surged more than 350%. Meanwhile, Chicago, Hartford, and New York have fewer active listings today than they did four years ago. 


Local supply conditions look very different depending on where you stand.


The structure of that inventory has also changed. In January 2022, new listings made up 85.9% of active listings. By January 2026, that number had dropped to 36.1%. 


And median days on market went up from 59 days to 78.


As Joel Berner explained in the report:

“This shift indicates that the rise in active inventory has been driven less by a steady stream of new sellers entering the market and more by homes remaining listed for longer periods. Sellers are patiently testing price levels and waiting for buyers, rather than pricing aggressively to move quickly.”

 

Inventory has grown, but a lot of that growth comes down to time. Homes aren’t flying off the market the way they were a few years ago. Sellers are listing, waiting, and seeing what happens. 


That slower pace changes how deals come together and how much patience everyone needs to get one across the finish line.


Rule #2: Higher Rates Don’t Automatically Mean Lower Prices


A lot of people expected prices to give back more ground over the past four years.

Finish - The Full Story


Housing Market

February 23, 2026

Sarah Lentz

Properties For Sale

Real Estate News Sites


Previous Newsletters

February 20th

U.S. Housing Now the Most Unaffordable in History?

https://conta.cc/3MUVnc1

February 13th

Ricky Carruth - Home Sales Crash - Here's What's Coming

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February 6th

Homebuyer Affordability Improved 7.5% in 2025 as Monthly Payments

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January 30th

Contract Cancellations Just Hit the Highest Level on Record

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January 23rd

Gen X, Millennials to Inherit $2.4T in U.S. Real Estate Wealth Over...

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January 16th

New Mortgage Data Signals a Turning Point in the Rate Lock-In...

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January 9th

New Data Shows Home Sellers Outnumber Buyers by 37%

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January 2nd

Zillow’s Latest Search Data Offers a Clear Signal Heading Into 2026

https://conta.cc/44QbflZ

December 19th

Realtor.com Economist: Why a Sub-6% Mortgage Rate Isn’t the...

https://conta.cc/4jrO2wF

December 12th

What Buyers and Sellers Really Expect From the 2026 Housing...

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December 5th

Realtor.com Says Relief Is Coming to the Housing Market...

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November 21st

What’s In, What’s Out: The Hottest Home Trends of 2025

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November 14th

The Typical Home Seller Is Now 64—And They’re Staying Put Longer

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November 7th

Investors Paying Up to 35% Above Median Home Price

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October 31st

52% of Buyers Would Live in a Haunted House if the Price...

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October 24th

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