April 22, 2021
Yesterday county officials held their weekly news conference, which covered a wide variety of topics. Here are some highlights:
 
  • San Diego is not currently at risk of going back to the red tier. Overall case numbers and testing positivity are remaining stable, and ICU admissions and hospitalizations have decreased over the last 30 days.
  • Vaccine supply is increasing. This week San Diego County received 100,000 more vaccine doses than last week (300,000+ received this week).
  • The county is not aware of anyone in this region having an adverse reaction to the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. A group of national health experts is meeting tomorrow to determine next steps for allowing continued use of that vaccine.
 
  • The county will not require returning college students in the fall to be vaccinated. Those decisions will be up to individual colleges and universities. County health officials are working with all of the universities to develop health recommendations. 
 
  • The return of school sports has resulted in some outbreaks, but few cases overall. 
 
Infection after vaccination
The county’s medical director shared yesterday that of the over 757,355 people vaccinated here, 203 have contracted COVID-19, a rate of 0.027%. This is a little higher than the national average. There have been no hospitalizations and no deaths among those who have been vaccinated.
 
Even though the risk of serious illness is greatly diminished following vaccination, wearing a mask and taking other precautions are still important. The goal is to contain the spread in the community overall. An added advantage of fewer cases is fewer opportunities for the virus to mutate into potentially worse versions.
 
Beginning of the end of the tier system
The colored tier system is still in effect, but the updated “blueprint” from the state included additional criteria that make it very unlikely San Diego County will fall into a more restrictive tier by the time the system is officially retired June 15, according to county officials. 

The California Department of Public Health indicates that unless there are extenuating circumstances, such as low rate of vaccine uptake, a county will only move to a more restrictive tier if hospitalizations are increasing significantly among vulnerable individuals, especially among vaccinated individuals, and both testing positivity and adjusted case rates show a concerning increase in transmission. This is currently not the case in our region.
 
Losses of life continue
I am always trying to balance the tone of these updates. I want to provide encouragement and recognize the ongoing efforts our community has taken to slow the spread. I tell you every week how proud I am that Carlsbad has the lowest case rate in our region among cities with 50,000 people or more. Now I just told you that we are not likely to see more restrictions.
 
We still report on deaths in our regular dashboards, but I haven’t been sharing more detailed information lately. Today, I am going to because I think it’s important to remember that even as things are getting better, families are still losing loved ones almost every day.
  • Seven new COVID-19 deaths were reported April 20. The region’s total is 3,681.
  • Four women and three men died between April 4 and April 19.
  • They ranged in age from the 40s to the 80s. 
 
I don’t know more about these people, but someone does. They were known and loved, and now they are gone. It’s no less tragic because things are getting better overall.
 
What do vaccine reactions mean?
As vaccinations become more common, I often hear questions about why people seem to have such different reactions following shots. I am no public health expert, but I happened to see this article and thought I’d share it in case you have that question too. Here is a more technical source from the CDC. 
The main takeaway is that the type of response you have to the vaccine is not an indication of how well it is working or how much protection you have. Instead, a wide variety of variables contribute to each individual’s experience with vaccine side effects.
 
Vaccination progress
  • Over 2.58 million COVID-19 vaccine doses have been delivered to the region, and more than to 2.35 million have been administered. This number includes both county residents and those who work in San Diego County.
  • Overall, close to 1.32 million county residents have received at least one shot of the two-dose vaccine. That’s 49% of those eligible.
  • Of those vaccinated to date, nearly 847,000 county residents, or 31.5% of San Diegans 16 and older, are fully immunized.
  • The goal is to fully vaccinate 75% of San Diego County residents 16 and older or 2,017,011 people. To date, 65.3% of the goal population has received at least one vaccine and 42% are fully vaccinated.
 
Updated metrics
I want to call your attention to the number of active cases in Carlsbad. The chart below shows a steady increase in the past 30 days. This was expected as more things reopen, but it also shows that we cannot let our guards down. Please heed this warning that we still need to follow health precautions, and when we begin to relax, case numbers go up. Eventually, we will get enough people vaccinated to combat this, but we’re not there yet.
Additional stats are linked below:
County charts and graphs updated yesterday
 
TGIF in Your Backyard
I have been so impressed with our team here at the city for developing creative new ways to provide services and programs during the pandemic. And I am so happy that we are now able to provide more and more services in person.
 
One of the most popular events, TGIF Concerts in the Parks, unfortunately, has one of the longest lead times of any city event. This means that we had to make the call several months ago to cancel once again this year. Only this time, because staff in our Cultural Arts Office have more time to plan, they’ve come up with yet another creative alternative.
 
I am pleased to announce TGIF in Your Backyard, a summer series that has all the important elements:
  • Get together with friends and family.
  • We’ll record band performances and stream them on four Fridays over the summer, from 6 to 8 p.m., just like our regular concerts.
  • Have a picnic and get out your dancing shoes.
 
We are still putting the finishing touches on the program, so keep an eye out for more details soon.
 
I will be back next Tuesday with more updates. We have a special City Council meeting next Tuesday, starting at 10 a.m. We’ll be presenting our work plans based on the City Council’s goals and giving an economic update. It will be live streamed and available for play back later. This is one of the final steps before presenting the city budget to the City Council in May.
 
Take care and enjoy your weekend.

Scott Chadwick
City Manager
City of Carlsbad | Website