Debt ceiling doomsday scenario has Wall Street traders taking up hedges
In Washington debt-ceiling brinkmanship is threatening to push the US into default. And on Wall Street, traders are gaming out what could be a rare Black Swan event. Open interest for VIX calls reached the highest level in 5 years. Parallels with 2011 spur hedging for an extreme selloff. (Bloomberg Markets | May 11)
SEC's Gensler warns about 'last effects' of US debt default
The head of Wall Street’s main regulator says a US default could cause deep and lasting damage to markets. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler on Wednesday warned that a failure by Democrats and Republicans in Washington to reach a deal on raising the US debt ceiling would impact trading, the ability of businesses to raise money, and investors. A default would send markets on ‘roller-coaster,’ he said. (Bloomberg Markets | May 10)
Fed gets room to hold in June as inflation shows sign of cooling
Signs of moderating price pressures in April will give Federal Reserve officials room to pause their aggressive tightening campaign next month, though inflation is still running too hot for policymakers to consider cutting interest rates. (Bloomberg Markets | May 10)
US lenders warned that commercial property is ‘next shoe to drop’
Fund managers are warning of growing problems in the $5.6tn US commercial real estate industry that could prove painful for lenders already shaken by turmoil in the banking sector. Rising interest rates, falling prices, and waning demand for office space following the pandemic had strained the commercial property market. But these troubles intensified after this year’s failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic raised worries about other regional banks that account for the bulk of commercial real estate loans. (Financial Times | May 9)
White House debt-ceiling meeting fails to yield breakthrough as deadline nears
President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy remained at loggerheads after a meeting at the White House on Tuesday, making little progress in averting the first-ever default by the federal government but setting plans for a new round of talks. (The Wall Street Journal | May 9)
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