Debt Drama

January 17, 2023


Enjoy this week's "Investor Insights," a weekly newsletter that highlights the financial news you need to know and provides tips and tricks to help you make better investment decisions. 

 
  • The US may hit its debt ceiling this Thursday if Congress does not act. The national debt has grown substantially and is 120% of GDP today compared to 106% in 2019. The last time Congress did not raise the debt ceiling in 2011, the S&P 500 dropped 6.6%. 1


  • At the height of the tech bubble in the early 2000s, the technology sector never generated more than 14% of the S&P 500’s total earnings. Today, however, technology accounts for 21% of S&P 500 earnings. 2


  • Although the economy is slowing, social security payments may decrease the pain for everyday Americans. Social Security payments, which go out to nearly 30% of the adult population, will rise by close to 9% this year as they are indexed to inflation. 3


  • Europe's STOXX 600 index has gained 17% since the end of the third quarter in 2022, versus only an 11% gain for the U.S. S&P 500. This is partially because the tech sector amounts to 26% of the S&P 500, while tech is only about 7% of the STOXX 600. 4


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  1. Barron's - "Government Debt Could Be a Big Problem for the Stock Market"
  2. The Irrelevant Investor - "Animal Spirits: What's the Negative Catalyst?"
  3. Barron's - "The Age of Free Money Is Over. But There Are Still Opportunities, Investing Pros Say."
  4. Reuters - "Wall St Week Ahead: U.S. Investors Hunt for Gains in Foreign Stocks"


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Disclosure: This information is furnished for the use of Glen Eagle Advisors, LLC, Glen Eagle Wealth, LLC, and their clients and/or contacts. It does not constitute the provision of investment advice to any person. It is not prepared with respect to the specific objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific person. Investors reading this commentary should consult with their Glen Eagle representative/financial advisor regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or adapting any investment strategies discussed or recommended in this newsletter.

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