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Greetings!
The total home supply in Metro Vancouver in October is up 13.2% year over year and that is 35.9% above the 10 year seasonal average while sales were down 14.3% from October 2024 and that is down 14.5% below the 10 year seasonal average.
These Metro Vancouver stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside home sales, when compared to the 10-year averages, are down by 19% for detached homes, down 15% for apartments and up by 22% for townhomes.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 16% for Westside detached homes, while apartment supply is up 25%, and townhomes are up 60%.
We had 66 Westside Detached home sales in October, up 22%, compared to 54 sales last month.
We had 272 Westside Apartment sales in October, up 20% compared to 226 sales last month.
We had 65 Westside Attached home sales in October, up 91% compared to 34 sales last month.
In October the Westside Detached Home average price was $3.583M, down 25% from $4.744M, the peak, in August 2023.
The Attached home average price was $1.49M, down 21% from $1.885M, the peak, in Dec 2024.
The Apartment average price was $980K, down 18% from $1.199M, the peak, in January 2018.
The Sales to Active Listings ratio (SALR) is a key indicator of market balance and it helps determine whether the market favours Buyers or Sellers. The range between 12% and 20% is considered a balanced market and prices are sustained.
Generally, downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12% for a period of time. Upward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio surpasses 20% over several months.
Market conditions are dynamic and can change rapidly due to various economic factors & the ratio can vary significantly depending on the property type.
Currently the SALR for Westside detached homes is 8.5%, attached is 14.6% and apartments is 15%.
On a month to month basis, demand is up slightly from last month for detached homes, it is down for apartments and is down for townhomes. Westside median prices in October are up for detached homes & apartments but down for townhomes. Lower prices are the result of a decreasing SALR creating downward pressure. In October the SALR is on the upswing because the supply is flat and demand has increased across all property types.
October is usually the last month of the year that we see a sales upswing and the recent interest rate drop and the fact that sellers are accepting market value offers after a long year of sub par sales activity should help that. However, despite lower borrowing costs, lower prices and more supply, buyers still remain hesitant to enter the market as evidenced by lower than the 10 year average sales and higher than 10 year average supply on the Westside.
November, December & January are often the slowest months in real estate so we will see if the rate drop, soft prices and good supply overcome market uncertainty and the sense that prices could be cheaper in the future. There are buying opportunities particularly for detached & town homes and if the market really turns up, buyers will rush in, so now is a good time to buy while we have a good supply.
Sellers need to be the best value in their cohort to attract a buyer so strategic pricing is the key to achieving a sale.
Thinking of Selling? Letβs Talk!
π Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Honouring all who served and continue to do so. πΉπ¨π¦π
Best regards
Stuart β³ πΎ
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