Northeast Drought Early Warning Update
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Drought Early Warning Update for the

August 27, 2021

Rainfall from Fred and Henri missed most of Cape Cod and northern and western Maine while providing ample tropical rainfall for much of New York and New England
This Drought Early Warning Update is issued in partnership between the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Geological Survey, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to communicate concern for drought expansion and intensification within the Northeast U.S. based on recent conditions and the forecasts and outlooks. NIDIS and its partners will issue future Drought Early Warning Updates as conditions evolve.

This covers the following states in the Northeast U.S.: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New York.

Key Points

  • Severe drought (D2) persisted in western Maine and a small portion of neighboring northeast New Hampshire.
  • Severe drought (D2) was introduced to Cape Cod.
  • Moderate drought (D1) and Abnormally Dry conditions (D0) persisted around these pockets of D2 and extended into northern Vermont and New Hampshire, and northeastern New York.
Current Conditions
U.S. Drought Monitor Conditions

  • Severe drought (D2) exists in 2.7% of the region.
  • Moderate drought (D1) conditions exist in 13.3% of the region.
  • Abnormally dry (D0) conditions exist in 14.5% of the region.
August 24, 2021, U.S. Drought Monitor Map:
7-Day Percent Precipitation

  • This 7-day percent precipitation map highlights how Cape Cod has missed out on tropical moisture.
Annual Precipitation Departure from Normal
NIDIS Launches Interactive Maps on

  • The 8-14 day outlook indicates below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation for the region, except for northeastern Maine, where normal precipitation is favored.
  • The 3-4 week outlook favors above-normal temperatures across almost all of the Northeast and equal precipitation chances for the region.
Temperature Outlook 8-14 Day
Precipitation Outlook 8-14 Day
Temperature Outlook Week 3-4
Precipitation Outlook Week 3-4
Additional Resources

Contacts for More Information

Regional Drought Information Coordinator (Northeast DEWS)
NOAA/CIRES/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

Ellen L. Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region
NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
Prepared By
Sylvia Reeves
NOAA/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

Samantha Borisoff, Jessica Spaccio, Keith Eggleston, Art DeGaetano
Northeast Regional Climate Center

Ellen Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region, NOAA

David Hollinger and Maria Janowiak
USDA Climate Hubs

Gardner Bent
USGS/New England Water Science Center

In partnership with National Weather Service Offices of the Northeast and State Climate Offices of the Northeast.