Northeast Drought Early Warning Update
Drought Early Warning Update for the
Northeast


November 13, 2020


No changes to drought status, despite below normal precipitation last week.
This Drought Early Warning Update is issued in partnership between the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Geological Survey, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to communicate concern for drought expansion and intensification within the Northeast U.S. based on recent conditions and the forecasts and outlooks. NIDIS and its partners will issue future Drought Early Warning Updates as conditions evolve.

This covers the following states in the Northeast U.S.: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New York.

Key Points

  • Extreme Drought (D3) remained limited to southwest Maine and southeast New Hampshire.
  • Severe Drought (D2) remained in coastal Maine, southeast New Hampshire, southeast Massachusetts, southeast Rhode Island and small portions of western and northern New York.
  • Moderate Drought (D1) and Abnormally Dry (D0) areas saw little change.
  • From Nov. 4-10 there was little to no precipitation across the Northeast resulting in no changes in the drought status for the region.
State Reported Impacts
Drought Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (National Drought Mitigation Center)

Connecticut

5 November - Hartford County:
“I have three wells, and the water table has fallen below even my deepest well (600 feet), I no longer have any household water. They are empty and no longer recovering. Due to soft bedrock in my area, hydrofracking is considered too risky (well collapse) and it is uncertain whether drilling a fourth well will produce any additional benefit. I have very few long-term options for obtaining water.”

New York

12 November - Wayne County:
“Rains are not yet recharging wells.”

Additional Reports can be found on:
Drought Tweets (National Drought Mitigation Center)
Current Conditions
U.S. Drought Monitor Conditions


  • Extreme drought (D3) conditions exist in 1% of the Northeast.
  • Severe drought (D2) conditions exist in 7% of the Northeast.
  • Moderate drought (D1) conditions exist in 42% of the region.
  • Abnormally dry (D0) conditions exist in 29% of the region.
November 10, 2020, U.S. Drought Monitor Map: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
Accumulated Precipitation Departure From Normal (includes precipitation for Nov 5)

  • October rainfall had reversed the downward trend of precipitation departure from normal, but the dry trend resumed in November.
Total Precipitation From November 4-10, 2020

  • Little to no precipitation fell on the Northeast in the last week.
Outlooks

  • The 8-14 day maps indicate below- or near-normal temperatures are favored for most areas, except western, central, and far southeastern New York where above-normal temperatures are favored. Below- or near-normal precipitation is predicted for the entire region.
  • The 3-4 week outlook favors above-normal temperatures and equal chances for above- or below-normal precipitation for the Northeast.

Temperature Outlook 8-14 Day
Precipitation Outlook 8-14 Day
Temperature Outlook Week 3-4
Precipitation Outlook Week 3-4
Current CPC Outlooks: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
Additional Resources






Contacts for More Information


Regional Drought Information Coordinator (Northeast DEWS)
NOAA/CIRES/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

Ellen L. Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region
NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
Prepared By
 
Sylvia Reeves
NOAA/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

Samantha Borisoff, Jessica Spaccio, Keith Eggleston, Art DeGaetano
Northeast Regional Climate Center

Ellen Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region, NOAA

David Hollinger and Maria Janowiak
USDA Climate Hubs

Gardner Bent
USGS/New England Water Science Center

In partnership with National Weather Service Offices of the Northeast and State Climate Offices of the Northeast.