THE TTALK QUOTES


On Global Trade & Investment
Published Three Times a Week (with occasional bonus quotes) by
The Global Business Dialogue, Inc.
Washington, DC  20006
No.58 of 2020
WEDNESDAY, JULY 29, 2020

Click HERE for Monday's China quote from French economist Jacques Crémer.


TOWARD RESILIANT MEDICAL SUPPLY CHAINS

"I think having exclusive domestic sourcing is both unrealistic and counterproductive."  

Rep. Stephanie Murphy
July 23, 2020
CONTEXT
Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D OR) is the chairman of the Trade Subcommittee of the House Committee on Ways and Means, and last week he convened a hearing on “Trade, Manufacturing, and Critical Supply Chains: Lessons from COVID-19” It was hardly exhaustive. No hearing could have been, but it was a useful introduction to an important set of issues, issues on which the landscape is changing daily. 

In his opening statement Chairman Blumenauer said: 

The COVID-19 pandemic highlights the impact of globalized supply chains designed to pursue the lowest price whatever the true costs without appropriately accounting for the possible risks, such as unanticipated disruptions to sourcing, relying on complicated and multi-tiered supply networks, and losing key manufacturing
flexibilities in United States. We fail to appreciate our vulnerabilities.
 
In his opening statement, the Ranking Member of the Subcommittee, Rep. Vern Buchanan (R-FL) said: 

This pandemic has shown us how important it is for us to be medically independent and to have supply chains that are reliable and flexible, no matter how they are structured. If we want stronger and more resilient supply chains here, then this must be the best place in the world to do business. 

Leaving aside the specific legislation he endorsed, there is a sense in which Rep. Buchanan’s opening statement was a logical bookend to Chairman Blumenauer’s.  

As one would have expected, however, the hearing itself, the give-and-take between the panelists and the members, broadened the discussion. Certainly, that was the case when Rep. Stephanie Murphy , a Florida Democrat and the first Vietnamese American woman to serve in Congress, got her chance to speak and ask questions. Today’s featured quote was part of the set-up for her question to Dr. Prashant Yadav, an expert on medical supply chains and one of the four witnesses at the July 23 hearing. Here is a more extended version of her question. Rep. Murphy: 

I am concerned that some people who are already skeptical of global trade are using this crisis to advance long-held protectionist goals. And I think it’s important that, while we address the issues at hand, we don’t overcorrect in response to this pandemic and assume that all answers lead to tax cuts for businesses to increase domestic capacity. And I think having exclusive domestic sourcing is both unrealistic and counterproductive. It would just leave us as vulnerable to shocks here at home as to ones abroad.  And so, Dr. Yadav, your testimony rings true to me, and I share a lot of your views. I agree that the goal should be diversification, not domestication of supply chains, not complete domestication of supply chains. So, yeah, so in some instances diversification will include increasing domestic capacity – what you call reactive capacity – but it should not be the only solution to build our resilience.  

In his written testimony, Dr. Yadav had talked about where America gets its medical supplies, from personal protective equipment (PPE) – mainly from China – to imported pharmaceuticals from the EU, Switzerland, and India. In addition, he had pointed out that domestic production is no guarantee against disruptions. “We experienced some of the consequences of this approach when hurricane Maria hit Puerto Rico [in 2017],” he said. “There was a concentration of manufacturing in Puerto Rico, especially saline bags, which led to shortages in hospitals across the US.” 

Dr. Yadav and Rep. Murphy were clearly on the same page. After thanking her for her question – and noting that he agreed with her about “diversification” rather than “domestication,” Dr. Yadav added:  

If our PPE supplies, instead of coming largely from China, let’s imagine they came from a number of manufacturing sites in the U.S. but, in addition, from manufacturers that were in Latin America, in Southeast Asia, in countries in East Africa, perhaps. That would have helped us be more resilient and not have so much reliance on one particular region.
COMMENT
We said at the outset that the landscape on this issue changes daily. Nothing makes that point more emphatically than this current Wall Street Journal Headline: “Kodak Shifts Into Drug Production With Help of $765 Million Loan.”  That loan – which has sent Kodak stock soaring – was authorized under the Defense Production Act.  
It is not our intention here to pick a side in any debate that may emerge about on-shoring or reshoring of U.S. supply chains. Our goal is simply to highlight a discussion we found useful, namely the one conducted by Chairman Blumenauer at the Trade Subcommittee hearing on July 23. We do, however, wish to make two ancillary points.  

Not Just COVID.  That’s the first point. Put differently, global supply-chain vulnerabilities were emerging for various reasons before the world knew anything about COVID-19. Last year, for example, these pages took an interest in Japan’s actions to limit supplies of key chemicals that Korean manufacturers rely on in making semiconductors. The origins of that trade friction, those supply chain disruptions, lie in grievances that stem from the years of Japanese occupation of the Korean peninsula, 1910 to 1945. In this setting however, the particular dispute is not important. The point is that international disagreements can lead to supply chain disruptions that threaten global supplies of critical products.  

A Trade Irony.  Our second and final point is only an impression but a positive one. We did not watch the July 23 virtual hearing of the Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee on July 23. With the help of YouTube, we watched it instead on July 28. We were impressed by the tone of the hearing as well as it substance. The atmosphere was congenial, courteous, and productive. 

As such, it reinforced our impression that, yes, House Democrats and House Republican can work together, as they did last year in approving USMCA as a replacement for NAFTA. In another room, however, the television was bringing us another hearing: Attorney General Barr testifying before the House Judiciary Committee. But in that hearing the partisan divisions seemed beyond insurmountable. The pull of party on both sides is strong, and we don’t know whether the members of Congress will be able to continue to work cooperatively on trade through this year and on into next. We believe it’s possible. In part that is because the divisions on the trade issues cut across party lines. In any event, this is a critical period for global trade, and we very much hope that a bipartisan spirit of cooperation will continue to prevail. We think it can. We’ll keep our fingers crossed.      
SOURCES AND LINKS
COVID-19 and Supply Chains is a link to the video of this hearing. The exchange between Rep. Murphy and Dr. Yadav begin at the link below. (At about 1 hr, 37 minutes in.) This was the source of today’s featured quote. 

Hearing Documents takes to you to the page of the Ways and Means Committee site with links to the Chairman’s opening statement and the testimonies of the four witnesses.
 
A Loan for Kodak is a link to the Wall Street Journal story cited above. 

Chemicals for Korean Semiconductors is the TTALK Quote for November 13, 2019, which dealt with this issue.  

Rep. Stephanie Murphy takes you to the Wikipedia entry for this Member of Congress. 
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