Newsletter - February 2023

Attention US Clients - 1099 Information

1099 forms will be generated for all futures trading accounts held by US clients that placed any trades during the 2022 calendar year. Traders should expect to receive their 1099 forms via mail, email or through their portal in early February. 


1099 forms will be provided directly from the FCM to the client.


Click Here for Additional Details from each of the FCMs

The Global Update Blog

Analyzing the Oil Industry

If you’re a day trader looking to take advantage of the crude oil market, it might have been advantageous for you to monitor the oil market from all major angles viewed by the industry. Utilizing both a technical analysis approach as well as monitoring fundamentals...


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MACD Strategies for Day Traders & Scalpers

The MACD wasn’t originally designed for day trading or scalping. It was intended for longer-term traders and investors. The MACD indicator can also be used for developing ultra-short term strategies...


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MACD Strategies for Swing Traders

The MACD indicator is one of the most well-known and used oscillators in technical analysis, especially for swing traders... We will go over the  MACD Divergence Strategy & MACD Crossovers...


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MACD: The Moving Average Convergence-Divergence –

An Explainer

The MACD is one of the most known and widely used technical analysis indicators... The indicator is based on 2 components: the relationship between two exponential moving averages and a histogram.


View Full Article

Algo System of the Month: NightT Rider M1C CL v1

Many traders choose to diversify their portfolios with algorithmic trading systems. The following system has been selected as the broker's choice for this month.

REQUIRED CAPITAL: $3,100*

PRODUCT: Crude Oil future

SYSTEM TYPE: Intraday

COST: $50 / month

COMMISSION: $12.50 per side  

The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data.   

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CONSTRUCTION SPENDING REPORT

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES & ORDERS - FULL REPORT

EMPLOYMENT SITUATION REPORT

US INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS & SERVICES

MONTHLY WHOLESALE TRADE: SALES & INVENTORIES

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CONSUMER PRICE INDEX REPORT

ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL & FOOD SERVICES REPORT

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PRELIMINARY US IMPORTS FOR CONSUMPTION OF STEEL PRODUCTS

ADVANCE REPORT ON DURABLE GOODS - MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS...

ADVANCE ECONOMIC INDICATORS REPORT

Key Events That Moved the Market in Jan. 2023

The following is a review of US and world events from the last month. Please be advised that this content is based upon the opinions and research of GFF Brokers and its staff and should not be treated as trade recommendations.


S&P 500 Index (SPX) - Daily Chart - Jan 3-31, 2023 (Source: Tradingview)


January 3


  • Stocks started the year diving into the red then climbing back above session lows. 
  • The Dow dipped a minuscule 11 points while the S&P sunk 0.40% and the Nasdaq suffered a 0.70% decline. 
  • Large tech industries such as Apple and Tesla weighed down stocks with the tech giant’s market cap falling just below two trillion dollars. 

January 4


  • Wall Street ended the session in green territory after a choppy trading day. 
  • The Dow ended at a 133-point gain after a 270-point high, the Nasdaq gained 0.48%, and the S&P went up 0.75%.
  • The seasonal “Santa Claus Rally” has come to town with the S&P rising 8% over the last five days of 2022 and the first two days in 2023. 

January 5


  • The Market declined for the day but managed to veer from session lows. 
  • The Dow drifted 340 points lower while the S&P and Nasdaq fell 1.17% and 1.59%, respectively. 
  • A higher-than-expected ADP private payrolls report started an early sell-off fueled by consumer fears that the jobs market may be too hot and that the Federal Reserve will take action against it. 

January 6


  • Stocks managed to wipe out losses, bringing Wall Street back into the green this week. 
  • The Dow soared 700 points and the Nasdaq rose 2.78% while the S&P broke a 4-day losing streak with a 2.28% gain. 
  • While the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, Wage growth was below expected at 4.6%, a key factor to this positive trading session.

January 9 


  • Losing steam after a strong rally, markets were mixed while heading into the session close. 
  • The S&P slid 0.08%, the Dow fell 113 points after a 300-point high, but the Nasdaq was 0.63% in the green.
  • An early morning rally caused by the previous week’s most successful run since November turned sour when Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said that the Fed is willing to overshoot while raising interest rates this coming year. 

January 10 


  • Wall Street closed at session highs, persevering through a choppy trading day. 
  • The Dow traded 186 points up and S&P stocks gained 0.70% while the Nasdaq rose 0.88%.
  • Optimism over cooling inflation fuels a tech-heavy Nasdaq rally; meanwhile, market bulls celebrate as billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones soundly told CNBC that the Federal Reserve knows when to hit the brakes in regards to keeping the economy stabilized. 

January 11


  • Modestly rebounding, major averages managed to close near session highs with the Dow 269 points in the green, the S&P up 1.28%, and the Nasdaq 1.76% higher. 
  • Investors look forward to an upcoming CPI reading which many people hope will show further signs of easing. 

January 12


  • Stocks ticked higher this trading session with CPI readings falling right in with positive expectations.
  • Dow stocks were up 217 points while both the S&P (+0.34%) and Nasdaq (+0.50%) were dealt modest raises.
  • A positive CPI reading paints the story of cooling inflation in the market, strengthening a case of lower interest rates by the Federal Reserve.


January 13


  • Stocks drift higher into the week’s close, setting a second positive week for the market. 
  • The Dow rose by 112 points and the S&P gained 0.40% while Nasdaq stocks went up 0.71%. 
  • Due to loan loss provisions slightly easing, a significant reversal in bank stocks helped the broader market come back from a lackluster start to the day’s trading session

January 17


  • Stocks traded tightly after a holiday weekend with Dow stocks falling 391 points and S&P stocks slipping 0.20% while Nasdaq stocks were able to eke out a slight winning of 0.14%.
  • Banking giant Goldman Sachs posted a big earnings miss, which weighed the Dow down for the day. 

January 18


  • Ending off on a low note for the day, stocks sold off, continuing a negative streak for the S&P and the Dow. 
  • Dow stocks lost 614 points and the S&P sold 1.56% lower while the Nasdaq fell 1.27%. 
  • A hopeful belief among investors that the economy will slow down at a moderate pace is threatened by retail sales and industrial production reports falling well below expectations.

January 19


  • Stocks continue to be pressured by continuing unease of economic expansion under rising interest rates. 
  • The Dow pulled back 252 points, the S&P fell 0.76%, and the Nasdaq was 1% in the red.
  • A disappointing housing starts report paired with more Federal Reserve officials saying that they are still planning to raise rates to bring even more unease into the markets and its investors.

January 20


  • Despite a positive end to the week, the Dow and S&P faced their first negative week for the month. 
  • Dow stocks rose 331 points and S&P went up 1.89% while the Nasdaq increased an impressive 2.89% to wrap up the week.  

January 23


  • A joyous jump for Wall Street starts the last week of January with the Dow rising 254 points, the S&P up 1.19%, and the Nasdaq 2.18% in the green. 
  • Investors continue to pump money into the market in hopes that interest rates might be peaking despite signs that the economy is more perseverent than people thought it would be.

January 24


  • The week continues as the market gets mixed into the close of today’s trading session. 
  • The Nasdaq fell 0.22% and the S&P slid 0.07% while the Dow eked out a 104-point gain for the day. 
  • The New York Stock Exchange faced some technical difficulties at the opening which in turn affected some big names in the market. 

January 25


  • Wall Street manages to rebound from a weak start from a considerably tight point to the session close.
  • The Dow was able to rebound from a 461-point loss and end 9 points in the green and the S&P lost merely 0.02% while Nasdaq stocks were down 0.27%.
  • Microsoft heavily weighed on the markets as it beat both revenue and earnings estimates but shared a gloomy revenue forecast.

January 26


  • Thursday continues a green streak for stocks as the Dow continues a five-day streak and the Nasdaq approaches a positive fourth week in a row.
  • The Dow rose 205 points while the S&P and Nasdaq gained 1.10% and 2% respectively. 
  • The culprit for the prosperity of tech stocks for the session was a big Tesla rally that sparked due to beating both profit and revenue forecasts despite mixed analyst sentiments concerning profit margins for the future. 

January 27


  • A powerful rally wrapped up Wall Street’s week as the Dow drifted 28 points higher, the S&P rose 0.25%, and the Nasdaq sold 0.96% higher. 
  • A reasonably tamed inflation print soothed the minds of investors as PCE reports seemed in line with the estimates which paints a picture of easing inflation. 

January 30


  • Markets rallied to kick of the week and to end the best January performance since 2019.
  • The big story for this week is the FOMC announcement.
  • Wall Street is expecting the Fed to continue slowing the rate of its rate hikes as inflation appears to be easing.
  • Fourth quarter GDP came in stronger than analysts had expected, lending to the narrative of a strong market and possibly “rolling recession” which impacts sectors on an incremental basis versus plunging all sectors at once. This could be the “soft landing” that the Fed had initially set out to do.

January 31


  • Markets build on strong January gains with the Dow jumping over 200 points, the S&P advancing nearly 1%, and the Nasdaq adding just over 1%.
  • Corporate earnings season continued on Wall Street and investors are closely watching company guidance for indications on consumer spending expectations in the coming quarter.
  • Wall Street awaits tomorrow’s Fed interest rate decision due. Most investors expect a 25 basis point increase, and they’ll be sure to monitor Fed comments for clues into how much further the Fed may hike, or if and when it plans to cut rates.

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*Details regarding NightT Rider M1C CL v1:

Please be aware that the suggested capital to trade this system is $25,000. Please speak to your broker for more information about this trading system. The returns for the systems listed are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data.

 

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.


There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures, options and forex. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Margins are subject to change at anytime without notice. All material herein was compiled from sources considered reliable. However, there is no expressed or implied warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of this material.