Hotel Performance - First Half of 2022 compared to 2019
  • The State of Hawaii is down eight percentage points in occupancy but up 30% in rate resulting in an 18% increase in RevPAR.
  • Oahu occupancy is down 10 percentage points, rate up 8%, and RevPAR down 5%.
  • Maui had a nearly 10% drop in occupancy but ADR and RevPAR are up 50% and 32% respectively.
  • Hawaii island is up 52% in ADR and 50% in RevPAR.
  • Kauai is up 38% in ADR and 49% in RevPAR.

Visitor Arrivals and Outlook
Year-to-date arrivals for the state are down 14% from 2019 with Oahu declining 25%. The neighbor islands are only down around 7% but the length of stay and expenditures are up. Projected air seats are continuing their year-to-date trend and we don't anticipate many Japanese visitors until early 2023.
Tracking the Recovery
Erik Kloninger analyzed the recovery of Hawaii’s hotel industry from 2021 to June 2022 comparing monthly average daily rates (ADR) and room revenue per available room (RevPAR) as a percentage of the same month in 2019.
 
Statewide, ADR equaled or exceeded 2019 levels starting in March 2021; by June 2022 ADR was at 140% of the pre-pandemic level. Occupancy has recovered more slowly than room rates, as reflected in the slower RevPAR recovery.

The 2021/2022 recovery of Hawaii’s hotels has been uneven, with the neighbor islands out-performing Oahu by a wide margin. ADRs for the neighbor islands outperformed 2019 in early 2021 and continue to grow. With restrictions on international travel only easing in mid-2022, Oahu hotels have struggled to fill rooms typically occupied by Japanese visitors.
 
The story is largely the same with neighbor island RevPAR outpacing Oahu's. Kauai has been the strongest performer relative to 2019 experiencing both ADR and occupancy growth.
The strong demand for neighbor island hotels that drove the room rate growth starting in 2021 was initially viewed as the result of pent-up demand following the lockdowns of 2020. Demand from the US market has remained strong through mid-2022, fueling extraordinary gains on the neighbor islands and allowing Oahu hotels to achieve pre-pandemic revenues without most of the international demand. There are indications of a fall slowdown, as inflation and the threat of recession chill consumer sentiment. Looking ahead, hoteliers will attempt to hold on to the ADR gains they achieved during this post-pandemic period. 

In Memorium
Like so many in our industry, Powell & Aucello was saddened and shocked to learn of the passing of Corry Oakes, co-founder, and CEO of OTO Development. Corry was a personal friend whose integrity, genuineness, and astute business skills are attributes that made it easy for anyone who knew him to like him. He was also an early supporter of Powell & Aucello, as witnessed by his testimonial on our website. We will miss Corry and extend our condolences to his family and colleagues at OTO.
Data Source: Hawaii Tourism Authority
1189 Waimanu Street, Suite 2405
Honolulu, HI 96814
(808) 466-3401