Roundup and analysis of the top headlines on health security, pandemic preparedness, COVID-19, and other news from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security


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August 8, 2024



TOP NEWS

WHO to convene panel of experts to determine whether expanding mpox outbreaks in Africa constitute global health emergency; US agencies respond with health alert, additional funding


WHO Director-General Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus will convene an emergency meeting of experts as soon as possible to advise him on whether the recent surge in mpox cases—particularly the spread of a novel and more deadly mpox clade outside the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)—constitutes a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC). The decision to gather experts comes after several neighboring nations, including Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, and Uganda, reported their first-ever cases of the virus. Those countries have reported at least 50 confirmed cases. Many of those cases were caused by the new clade Ib mpox virus, which could be more transmissible and severe, that was first identified earlier this year in DRC. Mpox clade Ia, which is endemic in some African countries, is also causing outbreaks in DRC, as well as in Central African Republic and Republic of Congo.


The decision to recommend a PHEIC depends on meeting some of several factors, including whether the threat is serious, unusual, or unexpected or if there is significant risk of international spread. WHO is particularly concerned about the potential for mpox to spread further due to limited access to vaccines and treatments in affected regions. Even if the committee recommends declaring a PHEIC, the final decision rests with Dr. Tedros, who said this week that stopping transmission of the virus “will require a comprehensive response, with communities at the center.” In 2022, WHO declared mpox to be a global emergency after it spread to more than 70 countries, mostly affecting men who have sex with men. That outbreak involved clade II, which is endemic in West Africa and causes less severe disease than clade I viruses. South Africa is experiencing a clade II mpox outbreak that has resulted in 24 cases and 3 deaths.


Last week, the Africa CDC reported that mpox has been detected in 10 countries on the continent this year; DRC has more than 96% of all cases and deaths. The virus is transmitted through household and sexual contact, fomites, and respiratory spread. While most affected patients are adults, children younger than 15 are more vulnerable to severe disease and death. Compared with the same period last year, Africa CDC said cases are up 160% and deaths have jumped by 19%. The agency last week announced the approval of US$10.4 million from existing COVID funds to support ongoing efforts to combat mpox outbreaks across the continent.


US agencies respond

In response to the evolving situation, the US CDC issued a health alert to healthcare providers, advising them to consider mpox as a possible diagnosis for patients presenting with symptoms such as fever, rash, and swollen lymph nodes, especially if they have a travel history to regions experiencing outbreaks. The alert notes the risk of clade I mpox importation to the US is very low at this time. The alert also provides information for clinicians on evaluation, testing and diagnosis, treatment, isolation of suspected and confirmed cases, and vaccination.


As part of US$424 million in humanitarian assistance to DRC, USAID announced US$10 million in health assistance for a range of vital public health interventions in response to the current mpox outbreak in DRC and other countries in the region. Additionally, the agency is donating 50,000 mpox vaccines to DRC. In related news, BARDA announced nearly US$157 million for Bavarian Nordic to “partly replenish” US government stocks of the company’s smallpox/mpox vaccine Jynneos. The vaccine became available on the US commercial market earlier this year.


MORE HEADLINES

WHO updates list of pathogens with pandemic potential, urges focus on viral, bacterial families

CIDRAP: Global leaders stress importance of broad-based, cooperative research to be ready for next pandemic

Salon: World Health Organization updates list of infectious pathogens with pandemic potential

Nature: The pathogens that could spark the next pandemic

See also: The Lancet: Understanding pandemic risks: the WHO Pandemic Hub


Check out the Center for Health Security’s Dissecting Pandemic-Prone Viral Families project, which delves into several key viral families that are most important for pandemic preparedness.


US government agencies focus on threat of bioweapons made with AI assistance

Bloomberg: AI-Made Bioweapons Are Washington’s Latest Security Obsession

Bloomberg: Big Take: The Threat of AI-Made Bioweapons


US, state agencies addressing bird flu outbreaks in 13 states; gaps remain in surveillance, federal oversight

USA Today: On front lines of bird flu: dead chickens, biohazard suits and shrugs

New Republic: Why Isn’t the Government Protecting Farm Workers From the Bird Flu?

Gavi VaccinesWork: Should we be worried about bird flu?

See also: CIDRAP: Cambodia reports second H5N1 case in less than a week


“To adeptly manage an emerging infectious disease outbreak, situational awareness is a prerequisite—and is precisely what is missing from this cattle-related outbreak.” – Center for Health Security Senior Scholar Dr. Amesh Adalja


Opinion pieces address various aspects of bird flu outbreak among dairy, poultry farms, farm workers

MedPage Today: Fighting Blind: There Remains Much We Don't Know About the H5N1 Outbreak (Dr. Adalja is the author)

New York Times: We’re Applying Lessons From Covid to Bird Flu. That’s Not Good. (opinion)

The Hill: Yes, you should be worried about bird flu (opinion)


Blowflies carry avian influenza, could be potential new route of transmission, study shows

Kyushu University: Tiny flyers with large impact: Blowflies carry bird flu virus

Newsweek: Bird Flu Warning as Blowflies Found Carrying the Virus


Summer COVID-19 waves hit at least 84 countries, including US

Washington Post: Summer covid surge hits at least 84 countries and continues to climb

UN News: COVID-19 making worrying comeback WHO warns, amid summertime surge

Newsweek: COVID Map Shows Highest Rates Across US As New Variant Rises

Ground Truths: The Indomitable Covid Virus


COVID-19 appears to have dual seasonality peaks unlike other respiratory viruses, providing more opportunities for development of new viral variants

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health: Why COVID Surges in the Summer

Health: The Science Behind Why COVID-19 Tends to Spike During Summer Months

See also: USA Today: COVID-19 variant KP.3.1.1 becomes dominant in US: See latest CDC data


Updated COVID vaccines expected soon but end of US CDC program means fewer free shots for people without insurance

New York Times: Free Covid Vaccines Will Soon Become Harder for Some to Find

MedPage Today: Docs Should Start Getting Ready For Upcoming Respiratory Virus Season

See also: US HHS Office of the Inspector General: CDC Provided Oversight and Assistance, but Recipients Faced Challenges in Implementing a COVID-19 Vaccine Confidence Strategy


With very different COVID-19 guidance in Paris versus Tokyo, several Olympic athletes test positive but still compete

Sydney Morning Herald: Tokyo was meant to be the COVID Games. It’s far, far worse in Paris.

Scientific American: COVID-Positive Olympic Athletes Are Still Competing

Time: Why Athletes Who Have COVID-19 Can Still Compete in the Paris Olympics

New York Times: No Hands, Please: We’re Dutch

See also: Bulletin of the World Health Organization: Risk-based management of international sporting events during the COVID-19 pandemic (Center for Health Security Associate Scholar Lucia Mullen, Senior Scholar Dr. Crystal Watson, and Managing Senior Analyst Amanda Kobokovich Mui are coauthors)


Specialized clinics, research, consensus definition contribute to better understanding of, treatment for long COVID

CBS Philadelphia: How special clinics in the US are treating patients with long covid (video)

Axios Columbus: The cure for long COVID may come from Ohio

New England Journal of Medicine: Long Covid Defined

See also: Healio: Almost 10% of women infected during pregnancy develop long COVID


Cognitive, psychiatric symptoms can persist, worsen up to 3 years after COVID hospitalization, study shows

News Medical: Study finds long-term cognitive and psychiatric issues persist in COVID-19 patients two to three years post-infection

MedPage Today: Three Years After COVID Hospitalization, Cognitive Problems Persist and Worsen


Immune system confusion could lead to MIS-C in some children with COVID-19, study suggests

New York Times: What Causes Dangerous Inflammation in Children With Covid?

CIDRAP: MIS-C tied to rare autoimmune overreaction in some children


US Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz’ COVID-19 pandemic mitigation directives garner praise, criticism

STAT: Why Tim Walz’ record on Covid-19 will be a hot-button issue in 2024

ABC News: Critics blast new VP nominee Tim Walz for 'massive' COVID-19 fraud 'under his watch'

Mother Jones: Tim Walz Is Leading the Way on Long Covid Funding

See also: Think Global Health: Young Americans Prioritize Health Care in 2024 Election


As number of US deaths from West Nile virus rise, health officials urge preventative measures, awareness of symptoms

USA Today: Mosquito season takes hold as seventh person dies of West Nile

New York Times: The Mosquitoes Are Out. Here’s What to Know About West Nile Virus.


PAHO raises alert over Oropouche virus cases in Latin America with at least 8,000 cases, 2 deaths in region

NBC News: Oropouche virus outbreak puts Latin America under alert

CIDRAP: PAHO upgrades Oropouche virus risk, probes more fetal deaths

The Guardian: Outbreak of Oropouche virus in Brazil should be a ‘wake-up call’, say experts


9 countries confirm polio cases during last week of July; effort to vaccinate people in Gaza faces challenges

Precision Vaccinations: Nine Countries Confirm Poliovirus Last Week

BBC News: Gaza to get 1.2m polio vaccines amid outbreak fears

Reuters: WHO says polio vaccine campaign hurt by lack of Gaza ceasefire

New York Times: An effort to vaccinate Gazans against polio faces hurdles, including the heat.

See also: UN News: Gaza: ‘Frightening increase’ in Hepatitis A cases


Australian health authorities identify likely source of Legionnaires’ disease in Melbourne after 78 cases, 2 deaths

The Guardian: Likely source of legionnaires’ disease outbreak identified after 78 cases and two deaths recorded in Melbourne

The Guardian: How office buildings, factories and shopping centres can cause legionnaires' outbreaks – video

See also: CBC: Legionnaires' outbreak grows in London with the source still a mystery


WHO policy brief calls for global coordination on antimicrobial development, including incentives, equitable access

WHO: Antibacterial pipeline trends and recommendations to enhance research and development: policy brief

CIDRAP: WHO calls for coordinated effort to boost antibiotic development


Families push for more awareness of personal stories of antimicrobial resistant infections, deaths ahead of UN high-level meeting

The Guardian: ‘It’s happening on the scale of a pandemic’: the drug-resistant infections killing African babies

The Guardian: ‘I lost my son to sepsis’: the fightback against the spread of superbugs

See also: Live Science: Dangerous strains of 'hypervirulent' superbug detected in US and 15 other countries 

Editor: Alyson Browett, MPH

Contributing Editor: Prarthana Vasudevan, MS, MSPH, DrPH (c)

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