More Election Speculation and Gossip
The PCs in Durham have chosen lawyer and former partner of the late federal and provincial Finance Minister Jim Flaherty and his widow Ontario Minister of Health Christine Elliott, Todd McCarthy, to carry their banner into the June 2022 Ontario general election. This is McCarthy’s third kick at the can having lost to incumbent Liberal MPP Joe Dickson in the Ajax riding in 2011 and 2014.
Durham is currently held by former PC and current Independent MPP Lindsey Park who was ejected from the party’s caucus because of uncertainties about her vaccination status and has indicated that she will not seek re-election. McCarthy stands a pretty good chance in this one.
The PCs in Oshawa have selected real estate agent and communications specialist Alex Down as their candidate for the upcoming June 2022 provincial general election. She will square off against the NDP incumbent MPP Jennifer French who was first elected in 2014 and elected again in 2018.
Prior to French’s election, the riding was Tory blue dating back to 1995 and NDP orange prior to that. It will be an uphill battle for the Liberal standard-bearer, former vice president of compliance of large financial institution, Catherine Mosca, in a riding where the Girts have never fared well. Could be an NDP hold but the campaign will determine the victor.
To the surprise of almost everyone, on January 7, 2022 PC MPP for the riding of Elgin-Middlesex-London, Jeff Yurek, announced that he will be resigning his seat in the Ontario legislature in February. The 50-year-old pharmacist from St Thomas, first elected in 2011 and re-elected handily in 2014 and 2018, held several ministerial positions following the election of the Doug Ford government before being shuffled out of cabinet in June 2021.
From 1999 to 2011 the riding was held by popular Liberal MPP and former Speaker Steve Peters so this one could be a toss-up depending upon the candidates the Grits and the Tories present to the voters and their strength of the campaigns.
Former police officer current municipal councillor Trevor Jones is the PC candidate in Chatham—Kent—Leamington, currently held by former Tory and current Independent Rick Nicholls. Nicholls was expelled from the party caucus over COVID vaccination issues. First elected in 2011, Nichols had previously stated that he would not seek re-election but is currently believed to be reconsidering another run under the banner of the Ontario Party. We think Jones stands a pretty good chance in June.
Former public servant Tom Dawson is the Liberal candidate in the solidly PC riding of Carleton. The incumbent is PC MPP Goldie Ghamari who despite her questionable history in her prior practice as a lawyer, won the riding handily in 2018.
The Liberals will attempt to win back the riding of York Centre with retired human rights lawyer Shelly Brown as their standard-bearer. Brown will face off against incumbent Roman Baber who was first elected in 2018 as a PC but who was removed from the Tory caucus in January 2021 because of his opposition to the public health restrictions that the Ford government imposed at the time.
From 1985 to 2018 the riding was represented by Liberal MPP Monte Quinter so the Grits may stand a chance in York Centre.
Hastings-Lennox and Addington
Former hospital executive and current part-time professor at St Lawrence College in Kingston, Ted Darby, will go to battle on behalf of the Liberals in Hastings-Lennox and Addington against incumbent PC MPP Darryl Kramp. Kramp served in Parliament from 2004 until he was defeated in 2015 and then was elected to Queen’s Park in the 2018 election.
The Liberal candidate in Lanark-Frontenac-Kingston is elementary school teacher and former Missippi Mills town councillor Amanda Pulker-Mok. The Tories are yet to name their standard-bearer in this traditionally conservative riding. The incumbent is the independent and rebellious Randy Hillier.
Hillier was first elected in 2007 and re-elected with wide margins of victory in 2011, 2014 and 2018 as a PC. Often mixed up in controversy, Hillier was excised from caucus for making disrespectful comments about parents of children with autism. It will be interesting to see where this riding falls in the June 2022 contest.
Our guess at this point in time, likely a toss-up between Hillier and the yet-to-be-named Tory candidate.
Human rights and environmental activist Nicki Ward will carry the Green Party banner into the June 2022 Ontario general election. Her chances however appear to be slim. The seat is currently held by NDP MPP Suze Morrison who won her place in the Ontario legislature in 2018 when the Liberals were thrown out of power.
The seat had previously been held by Liberals Glen Murray and before him George Smitherman. The Liberal candidate is David Morris, a member of the LGBTQ community and a community activist with a background in the Ontario public service. The question that will be answered in June is, “Can the Libs win this one back?” We think it’s a long shot.
First time Scarborough Centre PC MPP Christina Mitas recently announced that she will not be seeking re-election in June 2022. The independent thinking Mitas, although a strong backer of Premier Ford, has broken ranks with her party on a number of issues in her time at Queen’s Park. She remains the only unvaccinated PC Member in the legislature, is pregnant with her third child and wants to spend more time attending to the needs of her young family.
A little more than a month before the June 2018 election she was appointed by Ford as the Tory candidate in Scarborough Centre and was able to wrestle the riding out of Liberal hands by a thin majority. The Tories new candidate has not yet been selected.
From 2003 to 2018 Scarborough Centre was Liberal red, represented by popular former cabinet minister Brad Duguid who did not compete in the 2018 contest. Prior to Duguid, the riding was held by Tories’ Marilyn Mushinski and Dan Newman. The riding has a history of going with the tide and was even in NDP hands during the time of the Bob Rae government.
The Liberal candidate is Mazhar, a former engineer and political staffer who ran against Mitas and ended up in third place in 2018. The NDP candidate is also a repeater from the 2018 contest, Zeyd Bismilla who was about 2,000 votes behind Mitas.
This should be an interesting one to keep an eye on.