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Harris County officials spent a little over four hours on Monday discussing the County budget for next year. The proposed budget would increase County spending by about $327 million (12%).1 For some context, Harris County’s population grew by just under 1% last year, and the inflation rate for our region for the last 12 months has also been in the 1-3% range. So, a 12% increase in County spending is, at least three times the sum of inflation and population growth.
According to the County Budget Office, if the County does not raise its tax rate, it will have $109 million to cover increased expenses.2 However, if it does not raise the tax rate, it will be $218 million short of covering all the increased spending planned in the proposed budget. $109 million in increased spending would represent about a 4% increase over last year — roughly in line with the increase in inflation and population growth last year.
But that is not what the County has in mind. Instead, the draft budget proposes that the Commissioners increase the tax rate to just below what would require voter approval — the “Voter Approval Rate” (VAR). The meeting included little discussion of the impact of this on homeowners. However, buried on page 40, the proposed budget lays out the sobering reality — the average homeowner will see a 12.3% increase in County property taxes.
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