In total, 37 observers tracked 11 Pest Patrol species at 37 total sites this year through Nature's Notebook. You reported occurrences of eastern tent caterpillar, hemlock woolly adelgid, evergreen bagworm moth, emerald ash borer, pine needle scale, and spotted lanternfly.
How did the Pheno Forecasts match up to your observations this year?
The graph below shows the agreement between the Pheno Forecasts for each species and the data reported by Nature's Notebook observers. Overall there was great agreement between the forecasts and your observations, with 80-100% accuracy. There were very few instances where the forecast predicted the absence of the insect but you indicated the insect was present.
