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Clean energy investment in Nevada has seen a substantial uptick since congressional Democrats passed the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in 2022 — the state has so far received the most money in federal investments per capita, and between September 2023 and 2024 Nevada made the second-most clean energy investments as a percent of state GDP, according to the Rhodium Group and MIT’s Clean Investment Monitor.
That momentum may slow if a Republican-proposed rollback of key IRA tax credits makes it to President Trumps’s desk. In its present form, the measure would, among other things:
- Cut the consumer subsidy for rooftop solar
- Cut the tax credit for the purchase of American-made electric vehicles (at present, individuals or businesses can get a tax credit of up to $7,500)
- Phase down investment and clean energy production tax credits starting in 2029
- End the transferability of clean-energy corporate tax credits after 2027
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Phase out the manufacturing tax credit between passage and 2031 2029 —meaning companies such as Panasonic that produce battery cells will lose a credit worth $35 per kilowatt-hour produced)
- Create new “foreign entity of concern” provisions that would limit the ability of U.S. companies’ to source parts from or work with Chinese-owned companies
- Change the eligibility requirements for tax credits from when construction of a facility begins to when the facility is operational
Congressional Republicans argue that to hit the goal of $1.5 trillion in spending cuts, phasing down or eliminating IRA tax credits is necessary — in part because initial projections for the cost of IRA tax credits for some sectors and projects have more than doubled (estimates for the overall overage range from $700 billion to $1 trillion, depending on the source).
If passed, the cuts and curtailments would likely slow or stall wind farm, solar factory, and lithium mine expansion in Nevada and other states. Since the IRA passed, U.S. companies have spent about $321 billion in federal money with many projects still in the planning phases, according to data made public by the Clean Investment Monitor (CIM).
Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District — represented by Rep. Mark Amodei (R) — ranks fifth among all congressional districts in the amount privately invested between the IRA’s passage and the end of 2024: $6.6 billion in investment. Projects announced but not yet completed amount to an estimated $11.2 billion.
Expected effects of the tax credit cutbacks in Nevada include the possible slowdown of Thacker Pass, a decline in the availability of financing for other planned clean energy projects, and the scuttling of projects dependent on parts presently made only in China.
As the state with the only operating lithium mine in the U.S., Nevada has benefited from sizable federal loans for the build out and stands to gain by way of supply agreements with several large EV automakers. To what extent battery and car makers have been pursuing Nevada-mined lithium because of IRA tax credits is unknown, but clean energy trade groups fear a higher price point for domestic lithium may prompt manufacturers to seek the mineral from foreign sources.
Additionally, the Panasonic facility at the Tahoe-Reno Industrial Complex produces 40 gigawatt-hours’ worth of advanced lithium-ion batteries per year — the value of those IRA tax credits are estimated at $1.4 billion annually.
Also, according to a study by NERA Economic Consulting conducted for the Clean Energy Buyers Association, the repeal of IRA consumer tax credits would lead to higher electricity prices, estimating an increase of about 7 percent for Nevada households from 2026 to 2032.
Lithium Primer
Lithium reserves around the world come in a variety of forms, the largest of which are closed-basin brines (58 percent) represented by the green circles on the map below, pegmatites and granites (26 percent), and clay (7 percent), according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data collected by UFine.
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