July 24, 2025

This months issue is a 7 min read

The Lead Off


As summer heats up across Canada, so too does the economic conversation. Markets are navigating a season defined by trade friction, policy recalibration, sectoral divergence and artificial intelligence, with signals that are anything but static.


As AI adoption accelerates and tech platforms compete for computational scale, demand for the physical building blocks of these systems - lithium, cobalt, copper, graphite, rare earths and others - is intensifying. These are no longer just mining stories, they're infrastructure, supply chain and geopolitical stories unfolding in real time.


Last month, we featured Canadian issuers pivoting toward decentralized finance, blockchain, AI and digital currencies. This month, we take a deeper dive on the opportunities surrounding the convergence of critical minerals and the tech boom.



Market Watch

Index

Price

YTD

Previous YTD

TSX

27,416.41

10.46%

7.20%

TSXV

804.48

33.36%

17.81%

CSE

128.50

(7.97%)

(16.89%)

CBOE VIX

15.37

(10.69%)

5.17%

Commodity/ USD




Gold

3,388.110

29.08%

26.47%

Silver

39.28

32.82%

21.95%

CAD

0.7354

5.91%

4.96%

BTC

118,004.09

26.35%

12.79%

From TradingView

As of close on Wednesday July 23, 2025

On Our Radar


Employment figures from June showed the Canadian economy added a better-than-expected 83,000 jobs. The decline in the unemployment rate (and rise in the employment rate) bucks a 4-month trend and marks the first decline in unemployment this year. The news comes amidst improvement in the CFIB Business Barometer and an increase in the Ivey PMI.


The Canadian property market also showed signs of modest improvement with home sales up 2.8% in June. This happens along the backdrop of elevated June inflation numbers, reducing the chances of a BoC rate cute at the end of the month, keeping servicing costs higher for borrowers and forecasts in the property markets mixed.



The price of Bitcoin continues to hit all time highs as the cryptocurrency receives unprecedented institutional demand and regulatory recognition. Bank of America crowned it the best-performing currency of 2025 displaying mainstream financial acceptance. The US Congress discussed significant legislation last week to regulate stablecoins.


As the mainstream warms to cryptocurrencies and interest rates come down, the case for Bitcoin is bullish. Some analysts have the currency reaching $200,000 in a year, a 69% increase from its current price.



The Coming Metals Supercyle: AI Is the Catalyst


The AI Revolution is Fuelling a New Industrial Metals Supercycle


The rise of artificial intelligence is quietly triggering one of the most significant demand surges for industrial metals since the internet boom or global electrification.

Why? Because AI doesn't just run on code - it runs on copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, aluminum, rare earths and more.


Let's break down how these critical metals power the AI ecosystem:


Copper: The circulatory system of AI infrastructure


Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel: The battery triad energizing AI mobility


Aluminum and Steel: The structural backbone of smart machines


Rare Earth Elements: The Invisible enablers of precision, sensors, and performance



Bottom Line for Investors:


The AI-driven demand for metals is multi-dimensional:


  • Data infrastructure (servers, power, cooling systems)
  • Physical devices (robots, autonomous vehicles, factory automation)
  • Clean energy transitions (EVs, nuclear, solar, grid upgrades)


This is not a short-term trade. We're at the start of a decade-long structural super-cycle where hard assets are no longer cyclical - they're essential.


5 O'clock... almost boom time

1 minute video

Deep Dive: Why Copper Is the Cornerstone Metal of the AI Economy


As AI expands from cloud servers to physical automation, copper demand is accelerating - not just from legacy sectors like construction or telecoms, but from the electrified infrastructure required to power and mobilize AI systems.

A Structural Supply Crunch

  • New copper mines take 10-15 years from discovery to production
  • Ore grades are declining at many existing projects
  • Permitting delays and ESG hurdles are slowing development
  • Demand is rising - from AI, EVs, renewables, 5G, and grid modernization


Result: A structural supply deficit is forming


Investment Implication: A Generational Opportunity in Copper.

  • Copper is now a strategic enabler - not just a cyclical commodity
  • We are in the early innings of a copper bull market
  • High-quality copper developers and producers - especially in stable jurisdictions - are poised for massive re-ratings over the next decade

 

China's Dark Factories: So Automated, They Don't Need Lights | WSJ

China's Dark Factories; So Automated, They Don't Need Lights | WSJ

Additional Resources







Where insight meets opportunity - tailored solutions and strategic guidance to help you navigate the capital markets with confidence. Reply to this email or reach out to Nick at nick@grovecorp.ca to explore how Grove can help your business.


Around the market

Major Quebec aluminum smelter announces $1.5B investment with new electricity deal


The Canadian Press



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CoreWeave to buy Core Scientific in US$9 billion deal to meet AI power needs


BNN Bloomberg


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Couche-Tard end bid for 7-eleven parent company over 'lack of good faith engagement'


BNN Bloomberg


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Pittsburgh will be transformed into "AI hub of the world" with $75 billion investment


ZeroHedge


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Crypto market value tops $4 trillion as stablecoin bill passes


Bloomberg


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Apple in $500 million rare earth magnet deal with MP to expand US supply chain


Reuters


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