ï»żOctober 31, 2025 🎃

This months issue is an 8 min read

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The Lead Off


Closing out the first month of Q4 has brought no shortage of market drama - from U.S. government shutdown scares, gold hitting all-time highs, broad-market corrections, and what increasingly looks like the early innings of a new mining supercycle. It’s shaping up to be a volatile and potentially transformative finish to 2025.


During a recent conversation with a friend of Grove and Head of Trading at Integral Wealth Securities Ltd., Taylor Davison, an interesting topic surfaced around anonymous trading activity - a subject that’s becoming increasingly relevant in today’s liquidity-rich environment.


As nano- and micro-cap companies begin to show renewed movement and volume, the question of who’s really behind the bids and offers takes on new significance. After some post-event reflection, we decided to take the conversation deeper. Grove sat down with Taylor to unpack the who, what, where, and why of anonymous trading - and what it means for issuers navigating today’s evolving capital markets.


Market Watch

Index

Price

YTD

Previous YTD

TSX

30,178.98

21.59%

19.89%

TSXV

953.32

58.03%

51.70%

CSE

171.26

22.65%

20.39%

CBOE VIX

16.91

(1.74%)

(5.98%)

Commodity/ USD




Gold

4,002.18

52.48%

42.19%

Silver

48.86

69.04%

48.61%

CAD

0.7145

2.90%

3.64%

BTC

109,833

17.64%

19.81%

From TradingView

ï»żAs of close on Thursday October 30, 2025

Market Confidential

Grove's Director of Capital Markets, Nicholas Konkin, sat down with Head of Trading at Integral Wealth Securities Ltd., Taylor Davison, to discuss broker attribution within the Canadian capital markets.



Origins & Context


Q. For those unfamiliar, what exactly is the “Anonymous (001)” marker in Canadian trading, and how did it come to play such a central role after the 2001 regulatory changes?


A. Prior to 2001, when entering an order, participating organizations were required to disclose their unique broker numbers.   Following a 2001 change to cross-marketplace regulations, broker attribution in Canada became optional.  This introduced the now-common “Anonymous” (001) identifier.  While useful for discretion, it adds a layer of opacity for market participants and issuers alike.  

 


ï»żTransparency vs. Discretion


Anonymous trading provides discretion for participants but also creates opacity for issuers. How do you see the trade-off between transparency and anonymity in today’s market?


In my view, only market participants, be they buyers or sellers, benefit from the optionality of anonymous - there is no benefit to issuers.  This benefit to market participants comes at the issuers’ expense. 

 


Issuer Challenges


You’ve said that “equity is your currency.” From an issuer’s perspective, what challenges does anonymous activity create for management teams trying to understand their shareholder base or plan financing strategies?


Yes, I believe it’s important for issuers to have a firm understanding of who their shareholders are AND where those shareholders hold their shares.  This is very much an ongoing process, not an event.  


More stock is sold anonymously every year than is bought.  This is telling.  As management teams know, shareholders often like to point out their activity on the buy-side, but they aren’t as forthcoming with their sell-side activity.  The optionality of anonymous facilitates this imbalance and obfuscates the actions of shareholders, making it difficult for issuers to see what’s really happening.  Knowing where the anonymous activity is coming from is especially important and actionable in the days and weeks leading up to and after a financing.  


 

 The Market Maker’s Role


Integral highlights the importance of building data sets over time to analyze anonymous flow. How do you use this process in practice, and how does it help support issuers and manage liquidity?


To accurately identify anonymous trading activity in a timely manner —by the next trading day — it’s essential to be the direct counterparty to those anonymous trades. For instance, when an anonymous seller is active in your stock, we must be the buyer on the other side of that specific trade to determine which brokerage is executing the selling activity.  However, because anonymous trading frequently represents a substantial share of total daily volume, not every anonymous transaction we engage with will necessarily involve the same seller. Imagine a scenario where “Anonymous” sells 500,000 shares of a small-cap issuer in a single day. Even if we purchase a portion of those shares from the anonymous pool, it would be inaccurate to assume our specific counterparty accounted for all that volume.  That’s why our approach is based on consistent, repeat interactions â€” not one-off observations. By identifying anonymous counterparties across numerous transactions, we build a robust dataset that reveals genuine patterns and trading behaviours, rather than isolated events.  Our team provides these insights to management daily, with a comprehensive monthly summary highlighting trends, brokerage activity, and notable changes in trading dynamics. 

 

 

Future Outlook


As markets evolve with new technology and regulatory shifts, how do you see anonymous trading changing over the next 5–10 years? What role will market makers like Integral play in bringing context to issuers?


As markets evolve through new technology and regulation, one thing remains constant - the need for professional, informed market guidance. Small-cap issuers will always face liquidity challenges, and that’s where Integral adds real value. We don’t just provide liquidity — we deliver insight. By actively watching our issuers trade every day, we turn anonymous, complex activity into clear, actionable intelligence. In a market that’s increasingly automated and less transparent, clarity and accountability are competitive advantages — and that’s exactly what Integral provides.”

 

 

Closing Questions


What’s the biggest misconception you hear from issuers or investors about anonymous trading, and how would you set the record straight?


The most common misconception we hear is from issuers who believe they already have someone who can identify “anonymous” trading activity for them. In most cases, that identification is done on a one-off basis â€” a snapshot rather than a complete picture. As we touched on earlier, the reality is that accurate insight requires consistency and scale. Anonymous activity represents a large portion of total market volume, and drawing conclusions from isolated trades often leads to misinterpretation and false signals.


If you were advising a small-cap CEO or CFO watching their stock and seeing lots of anonymous activity, what’s the one thing you’d want them to keep in mind before jumping to conclusions?


First and foremost — anonymous trading is not a mystery. It’s complex, but it’s trackable with the right tools, consistency, and expertise. Understanding who’s behind the trading activity in your stock isn’t guesswork — it’s a process, and when done properly, it delivers real insight.

Second, don’t take everything at face value. In our experience, many shareholders are quick to claim credit for buying but far less forthcoming when it comes to selling. That’s why maintaining an accurate and current shareholder database, and cross-referencing it against verified anonymous trading data, is essential.  When you combine that discipline with professional market intelligence, patterns emerge and management gains a clearer understanding of what’s really happening in the market.  You might be surprised with what you find.  


You’ve been at the center of market making for a while — what first drew you into this space, and what keeps it interesting for you today?


I’ve been calling markets since 2009 and was first introduced to market making by a long-time friend and industry veteran, Charles Pollock. Early on, I was drawn to the energy and pace of the trading environment— the challenge of making real-time decisions in fast-moving, often volatile conditions. Over time, as markets and technology have evolved, so has my focus. Today, what keeps me most engaged is the ability to bring structure and insight to that complexity â€” helping issuers understand what’s really happening in their stock and why. Working closely with management teams to translate market behaviour into clear, actionable intelligence is, for me, the most rewarding part of the job. 



Taylor Davison

To continue the conversation and learn more about broker attribution within the Canadian capital markets, reach out to Taylor. His contact info is below.

Taylor Davison, CMT | Head of Trading

Integral Wealth Securities Limited

181 University Avenue, Suite 1600 | Toronto, ON, M5H 3M7

Direct: +1 (647) 500 9944 | taylor.davison@integralwealth.com  

www.integralwealth.com

ï»ż

Prediction Markets

  • Recent earnings season has come out better than expected: A large chunk of S&P 500 firms have beat earnings and revenue estimates so far this quarter (“87 % of firms exceeded profit forecasts, 82 % beat revenue”) which lends upside support to the index. 


  • Among them were the big names like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft & Alphabet. Given their dominance in the index, it will be interesting to see how continued tech-sector layoffs impact the overall index, and the overall market.


  • Given current market levels and modestly bullish sentiment (including expectations of Fed rate cuts seasonality tailwinds), a finish around the 7,000 mark appears plausible, implying modest upside from current levels rather than a major leap.




  • The (almost) even odds signal that investors expect heightened volatility, driven by shifting liquidity conditions and macro policy (Fed easing, ETF inflows). A brief wick below $100k is considered plausible even in a broader bullish cycle.


  • The drop in probability (and increase in BTC price) at the end of September/ start of October could be attributed to the US Government shutdown - reinforcing Bitcoin's role as a safe-haven asset, and increasing its prominence as a macroeconomic indicator.


  • Psychology within bitcoin trading is higher than in most commodities due to its speculative nature. The question then may not be when will the price dip below $100k, but how far will it dip below $100k?


  • The Los Angeles Dodgers opened as clear favourites to win the 2025 2025 World Series over the Toronto Blue Jays, thanks to their deep, star-loaded roster and their successful run to the World Series last year.


  • After the Blue Jays pulled off consecutive wins (including an upset on the road) and took a 3-2 series lead, their odds of winning the title shifted dramatically in their favour - from about +380 (≈ 20-25 %) after Game 3 to around -240 (≈ 70 %) before Game 6.

ï»ż

  • The changing odds reflect not just Toronto’s resurgence but also concern about the Dodgers’ bullpen fatigue and momentum swing - while the Dodgers remain dangerous, the market now sees the Blue Jays as having the clearer path to closing out the series, at home. 


Earnings

Interesting Reads

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