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Investment Update
Recent economic data paints a picture of an economy with plenty of momentum heading into 2025. That said, with the new administration comes new policies which bring new sources of uncertainty. After considering the potential impacts of President Trump’s policy agenda, we have recently reduced our exposure to international stocks and increased our exposure to U.S. based stocks. The proposed trade tariffs are unlikely to be supportive of strong performance from international companies. When viewing President Trump's proposals in aggregate, it's difficult to see the net result they could have on our economy. Trade tariffs and immigration policy can be headwinds to the economy while deregulation and tax cuts are typically tailwinds. And, it wouldn't be a surprise if the proposals fade or build from their original intent. The net effect is unable to be calculated until (1) we get more details on the proposals and (2) the probability of executing the new policies becomes clearer. Moving forward, a limited easing cycle from the Federal Reserve Bank is likely as they sit still and wait to see the incoming data.
For accounts managed by Benchmark, we have and will continue to adjust your exposure to international companies. If you have a 401(k), 403(b) or other accounts outside of Benchmark, you should reevaluate your asset allocation to be sure your international exposure is not excessive. Please schedule a meeting and we can assist with this exercise.
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