Greetings!
Supply in July is up 19.8% year over year in Metro Vancouver which is 40.2% above the 10 year seasonal average while sales were down 13.9% below the 10 year seasonal average. The increase in supply and the decrease in demand are not as drastic as we saw in May & June so hopefully this is a turnaround in the trend. Spring 2025 has been unusually weak in the real estate market and if this momentum shift continues, we may be looking at a more normal market again soon. These Metro Vancouver stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside detached home sales, when compared to the 10-year averages, are down by 15% for detached homes, down 15% for apartments and up by 17% for townhomes.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 13% for Westside detached homes, while apartment supply is up 41%, and townhomes are up 65%.
We had 61 Westside Detached home sales in July, compared to 67 sales last month.
We had 292 Westside Apartment sales in July, compared to 281 sales last month.
We had 42 Westside Attached home sales in July, compared to 69 sales last month.
In July the westside Detached Home average price was down 24% from the peak in August 2023.
The Attached home average price was down 14% from the peak in Dec 2024.
The Apartment average price was down 19% from the peak in January 2018.
The Sales to Active Listings ratio (SAL) is a key indicator of market balance and it helps determine whether the market favours Buyers or Sellers.
Generally, downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12% for a period of time. Upward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio surpasses 20% over several months. The range between 12% and 20% is considered a balanced market.
Market conditions are dynamic and can change rapidly due to various economic factors & the ratio can vary significantly depending on the property type.
Currently the SAL for Westside detached is 7.9%, attached is 9.7% and apartments is 14.3%.
So demand is up over the last couple of months for detached homes, it is down for attached town homes and it has been stable for apartments. This increased activity in the detached market is due to the low SAL putting downward pressure on house prices making them better value. Decreased demand for Attached homes has caused their SAL to drop and the price will follow if demand does not pick up. Apartment prices have remained stable (within 7.5%) since Aug. 2024 because the SAR has remained close to a balanced market range between 12 & 20% since then with a couple of short drops which have not been sustained long enough to shift the price trend.
These are emerging signs that sales activity may be turning a corner, and the SAL ratio is improving which should help firm up prices. With the substantial current supply, there are buying opportunities and if the market really turns up, buyers will rush in, so now is a good time to buy while we have good supply and little competition
Sellers need to be the best value in their cohort to attract a buyer so strategic pricing is the key to achieving a sale.
Thinking of Selling? Let’s Talk!
📞 Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Hope you had a great BC Day!
Best regards
Stuart ⛳ 🎾
|