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March 15, 2015 - In This Issue:
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Keeping up with the (Dow) Joneses and one look at Return On Investment for college

We specialize in providing personal financial planning and asset management to successful families and high net worth individuals.

 

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Andrew & Jeff
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INDEX CHURNING

Apple of Your Dow

 

Most people think of the major stock indexes as a stand-in for a certain sector or category. The S&P 500 represents large companies, the Russell 2000 tells you what small capitalization stocks are doing, and the Dow represents broad economic sectors. You see tables showing the return of these indices over decades of time, and you might assume that they are made up of the same stocks during that time period, instead of trading in and out of stocks like a mutual fund. 

 

Image is from Apple's Investor Relations homepage, investor.apple.com

But in fact, all of these indices are somewhat actively-managed, in the sense that they move stocks in and out of the index on a regular basis. This became news when the Dow Jones Industrial Average decided to add the biggest company in the world-Apple-to its mix of 30 stocks, replacing AT&T. The Dow has changed slowly but regularly over time; of the 12 stocks in the index when it was announced in 1907, only General Electric remains on the list. Only four companies remain from the 1935 list: GE, DuPont, ExxonMobil and Procter & Gamble. 

Sometimes these changes are dictated by the structure of the index itself. Microsoft and Apple were once small cap stocks appropriate for the Russell 2000. They have long since graduated out of small cap status.  

Other times, the index is adjusted to more closely represent the overall economy. The S&P 500 famously added tech stocks in the late 1990s in an effort to catch the fever of the times. In fact, many people might be surprised to discover how much the index changes each year. Looking at the 500 stocks in the current S&P 500 list, you find that 159 firms were not included in the 1970 version. More recently, the index seems to be trading stocks in and out at a faster clip, swapping in 10 stocks in 2010 (NRG Energy, Cablevision Systems, F5 Networks, Netflix, Newfield Exploration Co., Tyco International, Ace Limited, QEP Resources, CarMax and Cerner Corp.); 18 in 2011 (WPX Energy, TripAdvisor, BorgWarner, Perrigo Co., Dollar Tree, AGL Resources, Cooper Industries, Xylem, Inc., TE Connectivity, Ltd., The Mosaic Co., Accenture PLC, Marathon Petroleum, Alpha Natural Resources, Chipotle, Blackrock, Edwards Lifesciences, Covidien Plc., and Joy Global, Inc.); 20 in 2012 (AbbVie, ADT Corp., Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Delphi Automotive, Dollar General, Ensco, Garmin, Ltd., Kinder Morgan, Kraft Foods, Lyondell-Basell, Mondelez International, Monster Beverage, Pentair, LTD, PetSmart, Phillips 66, Blackrock, Joy Global, Covidien, Edwards LifeSciences and Seagate Technology): 13 in 2013 (Allegion, Ametek, Delta Air Lines, General Growth Properties, General Motors, Kansas City Southern, Macerich, Nielsen Holdings, PVH Corp., Regeneron, TransOcean, 21st Century Fox and Vertex Pharmaceuticals) and 11 in 2014 (Affiliated Managers Group, Avago Technologies, Cimarex Energy, Discovery Communications, Level 3 Communications, Mallinckrodt, PLC, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Martin Marietta Materials, United Rentals and Universal Health Services). So far in 2015, the index has dropped Safeway and Covidien, and added HCA Holdings, Endo International. 

Since 2010, some notable names were dropped: The New York Times Company, Tribune Co, Office Depot, Eastman Kodak, Qwest Communications, Bethelehem Steel, Owens-Illinois, Novell, Radio Shack, National Semiconductor, Janus Capital Group, Sara Lee Corp, Sears Holding Corp., H. J. Heinz, Sprint Nextel, Advanced Micro Devices, J.C. Penney, Abercrombie & Fitch, U.S. Steel Corp., and Safeway, Inc.  

How will substituting Apple for AT&T affect the Dow? Since the Dow is weighted according to the share price of each stock, we can expect movements in Apple stock to greatly affect how the Dow performs going forward. When Visa International undergoes its anticipated four-for-one stock split, Apple's $100 shares will become the biggest component of the Dow, and a $10 drop or rise could lead to a 100-point movement in the overall index. A $33 stock like AT&T would have been far less likely to rise or fall by that dollar amount. 

Bigger picture, when you look at the long-term performance of an index, remember that this is not achieved with the same mix of stocks throughout that history. The indices may "trade"more slowly than most mutual funds, but they're turning over their portfolios over time as well. 


 

Sources:   

http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20150306/FREE/150309932/apple-joining-dow-could-leave-clients-overexposed-to-tech-giant?NLID=daily&NL_issueDate=20150306&utm_source=Daily-20150306&utm_medium=in-newsletter&utm_campaign=investmentnews&utm_term=text 

http://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/marketsexchangeindices/a/dow-jones-industrial-average.htm?utm_term=what%20stocks%20are%20in%20the%20dow%20jones&utm_content=p1-main-1-title&utm_medium=sem&utm_source=msn&utm_campaign=adid-0ab65503-ca11-4a7d-b1d6-cd786bfd6d2c-0-ab_msb_ocode-22879&ad=semD&an=msn_s&am=broad&q=what%20stocks%20are%20in%20the%20dow%20jones&dqi=how%2520many%2520stocks%2520in%2520the%2520dow%2520jones%2520industrial%2520average%253F&o=22879&l=sem&qsrc=999&askid=0ab65503-ca11-4a7d-b1d6-cd786bfd6d2c-0-ab_msb 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_S%26P_500_companies 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average

 

RETURN ON COLLEGE
College and Degree ROI

Let's say you're giving your niece or grandson some advice on which major to select in college. Do you tell them to get an art degree, or take courses in social sciences? Or should they focus on business and finance? 

The decision should not ignore their natural abilities and interests, of course. But if they're looking for the best return on their tuition dollar, then they might consider spending their time in the computer sciences and math buildings.  girl-book-sm.jpg

This information comes from a report published by PayScale.com, which helps people manage their careers and figure out what they're worth on the job market. PayScale's research team tracked the median salary for people who completed its salary survey online. They then compared the 20-year earnings of people following different careers with what was earned, on average, by competing workers with a high school diploma but no college degree. Then they subtracted the cost of 4 years of college tuition, to arrive at a return on investment figure-the additional money the degree provided. Advanced degrees like law and medicine were excluded; the survey focused on bachelors degrees. 

The results were striking. Business and finance majors came away with a respectable $331,345 average ROI over 20 years, but they actually finished a distant third on the list, just ahead of sales, marketing and public relations ($318,212). The highest ranking majors, by this metric, were computer and math, whose degree-holders saw a net return on their tuition investment of $584,339 over the 20 years after graduation. These nerdy individuals nosed out the architecture and engineering graduates, whose average ROI came to $561,475. 

Life, physical and social sciences majors fared somewhat less well, earning almost exactly $250,000 more than their high school diploma competition. Graduates with an arts, design, entertainment and related degree came in last in the survey; they are expected to make a little over $125,000 as a result of their college training. 

Interestingly, the PayScale website also tracks the average return on tuition investment for different colleges. Graduates of Harvey Mudd College in Claremont, CA can expect to earn nearly $1 million over the 20 years after graduation, with a typical starting salary north of $75,000-with a 4-year college investment of $237,700. Numbers 2-10 on the rankings include the California Institute of Technology ($901,400 earnings, $221,600 cost); The Stevens Institute of Technology in Hoboken, NJ ($841,000; $232,000), the Colorado School of Mines in Golden, CO ($831,000; $112,000); Babson College in Wellesley, MA ($812,800; $230,200); Stanford University ($809,000; $233,300); the Massachusetts Institute of Technology ($798,500; $224,500); Georgia Institute of Technology ($796,300; $86,700); Princeton University ($795,700; $217,300); and the Virginia Military Institute ($767,300; $95,700).  

You can look up your own alma mater here: http://www.payscale.com/college-roi/

Sources:
 

http://www.payscale.com/college-roi/

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-05/the-career-with-the-biggest-financial-payoff?hootPostID=293b20e2f9470947cb0facdcea7f70ea

Jeff McClenning 

Jeff McClenning, CFP
Managing Partner
770.441.3553

 

  

Securities and advisory services offered through The Strategic Financial Alliance, Inc. (SFA), Home Office: 678.954.4000, member FINRA, SIPC.  Jeffrey D. McClenning, CFP�, MS, is a registered representative and investment advisor representative of SFA which is otherwise unaffiliated with The Keen Insight Group.