International stocks lure investors seeking bargains
US stock indexes are mostly higher to start 2023, but investors are increasingly looking for bargains overseas. They have added a net $14.4 billion to US mutual and exchange-traded funds that buy international stocks this year, while pulling $34.1 billion from domestic stock funds, according to data from Refinitiv Lipper through March 1. The rush into international stocks has helped propel a rally in shares of overseas companies. (The Wall Street Journal | Mar 8)
Fed's Powell: No call made yet on size of March rate rise
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that officials have not yet made a call on the size of the rate increase they are almost certain to deliver at their upcoming policy meeting. "We have not made any decision about the March meeting, we are not going to do that until we see the additional data" that will come between now and the March 21-22 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, Powell told a House panel as part of testimony on the economy and monetary policy. (Reuters | Mar 8)
Deepest bond yield inversion since Volcker suggests hard landing
The bond market is doubling down on the prospect of a US recession after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned of a return to bigger interest-rate hikes to cool inflation and the economy. As swaps traders priced in around a full percentage point of Fed hikes over the next four meetings, the yield on two-year Treasury notes touched 5.08% on Wednesday, its highest level since 2007. Critically, longer-dated yields remained in check, with the 10-year rate under 4% and the yield on 30-year bonds lower. (Bloomberg Markets | Mar 8)
The debt ceiling is the risk Wall Street doesn't want to ponder
Conventional wisdom says the US will avoid a devastating federal payments default later this year. But conventional wisdom has proved spectacularly wrong months ahead of shocks that upended the world in recent years: the failure of Lehman Brothers, the 2016 US election, the global spread of Covid-19. The source of this potential shock is a procedural quirk of the US government that’s intersected with soaring partisan hostility. (Bloomberg Businessweek | Mar 7)
Wall Street concedes there is finally an alternative to stocks
For years after the 2008 financial crisis, investors held on to the belief that “there is no alternative” to stocks. Bond yields had hit rock bottom — they were even in negative territory in Japan and much of Europe. The stock market, especially in the US, seemed to be the best place to seek robust returns. Then came last year’s market selloff. Stocks slumped and bond yields soared to levels not seen in more than a decade. (The Wall Street Journal | Mar 5)
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