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PDF | Research | Week of Apr 14 2025

Quote of the Week

“There is real pressure across the globe to sell Treasuries and corporate bonds if you are a foreign holder.”

– Peter Tchir, head of US macro strategy, Academy Securities. (FT)

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Private Credit in a Post-Rate World (Last of a Series)

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Letter from Down Under (Second of Two Parts)

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“Manager performance is the beta of private credit. The alpha is client support. Transparency and timeliness of information is critical, especially at the outset.” – Australian investor.


As the Australian market has matured, it has geared a variety of private credit products to different investor types. These embrace institutions, family offices, high-net-worth, and ultra-high-net-worth individuals. And as the asset class has become more sophisticated globally, investment structures were developed to meet the diverse needs and requirements of LPs. 


In that regard, private credit users find a menu of options available for liquidity (evergreen or closed-end), fees (flat or performance-based), fund size (SMAs vs. commingled), and diversity of capital (credit vs. equity). Any manager worth their salt must be equipped with all these to offer...

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Chart of the Week

Middle Market Breakdown

Despite other views, the middle market has three parts, each with their own features.

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Source: Churchill Asset Management

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Bloomberg: Leveraged Lending Insights

Launch Drought Extends to 14 Days, Setting Bleak New Record

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  • Click here to access Bloomberg's US Leveraged Finance Chartbook


Wednesday, April 16th was the 14th business day running without a leveraged loan launch, marking the longest such primary issuance draught since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 2013...



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Contact: Vincent Daigger/ Bloomberg

PDI Picks

Distress takes the fundraising limelight

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Q1 2025 saw a reversal in fortunes, with direct lending making a slow start to the year.

In recent years it’s almost felt as if direct lending has been the only game in town. Whenever Private Debt Investor collects global fundraising data, we always break it down by target strategy. Over the years, we’ve found direct lending to be the most favoured strategy, typically with around 40-45 percent of the fundraising total. Last year, its share soared to a remarkable 62 percent...

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Contact: Andy Thomson / Private Debt Investor

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

US institutional loans pipeline grinds down to US$5.1bn amid tariff whiplash

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Early in the second quarter, the institutional loan calendar stands at just over US$5bn, the lowest level in 5 years. Currently there are known 7 deals in market only two of which are M&A related and north of US$1bn in size...


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Contact: Maria Dikeos / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

Private debt rolling one-year horizon IRR by type

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Of the major substrategies, mezzanine funds led for five consecutive quarters until Q2 2024, when the strategy fell to third...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Inflows, Competition to Pressure Perpetual BDC Earnings, Asset Quality

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The elevated competitive underwriting environment for business development companies (BDCs) will persist in 2025 due to significant capital being raised, especially in perpetual, non-traded BDCs amid sluggish M&A activity...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Average EBITDA Adjustment Cap for

Synergies & Cost Savings

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

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The blue line in the chart is the current dividend yield of the *VanEck BDC Income ETF (currently at 12.1% as of 14 April) that tracks the overall performance of publicly traded business development companies (BDCs, are lenders to privately held middle-market businesses that tend to be below investment grade or not rated, with most lending comprising of senior secured loans)...

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Contacts: Suneet Chandvani/ Debtwire 

April Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.