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PDF | Research | Week of May 19 2025

Quote of the Week

“If investors want a floating-rate product, loans and CLOs are the easiest and most secure places to buy that.”

–  Wynne Comer, chief operating officer, AGL

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Letter from Kuala Lumpur (Second of Two Parts)

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New: Episode 10: Jess Larsen, CEO of Briarcliffe Credit Partners


Mid-market lending will continue and will always be the core income component of a private credit portfolio.” - Jess Larsen

Letter from Tokyo (First of a Series)

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We began our visit to Tokyo this week attending S&P’s Structure Finance Seminar 2025. Along with almost 200 Japanese bankers and investors, we heard senior ratings analysts and leading CLO market participants discuss trends and outlooks for global leveraged finance, CLOs and other securitized strategies. Our panel was entitled, “Private Credit, Middle Market CLOs and Fund Finance.” Here’s a summary of the discussion, with additional color. 


Private credit CLOs have seen a natural evolution. They began as balance sheet financing tools for specialty finance companies. Now they provide attractive financing within a levered fund, typically as replacement for asset-based facilities. 


While CLO technology has been around since the late 1990s, the structures and market have evolved considerably. Just ten years ago, the private credit CLO market was less than $20 billion. With fewer than ten transactions done annually, it was only 5% of the overall CLO landscape. Today PCLOs have grown to $135 billion, or 13% of the market (per Bank of America Global Research). So far this year, PCLOs comprise about 18% of new issue US transactions, and growing as the product and market gain more acceptance...


Chart of the Week

Collateralized Loan Observations

Since the Fed began its rate hike regime in March 2022, MM CLO activity has grown. 

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Source: PitchBook

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Bloomberg: Leveraged Lending Insights

Leveraged loans claw back tariff-driven losses in secondary market

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It has been a wild ride in the secondary market this year to date, driven by bouts of volatility due to uncertainty over US economic policy...


Contact: Vincent Daigger/ Bloomberg

PDI Picks

Can the asset class again prove its resilience? 

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Delegates at the recent Europe Summit heard views on how different parts of the market will weather the challenges. 

Our recent Private Debt Investor Europe Summit drew LPs, GPs and advisers from all corners of the globe, keen to discuss a rapidly changing environment and what they should be celebrating and fearing. While Europe has struggled on the fundraising front in recent years (see chart) there was plenty of optimism in the room...


Contact: Andy Thomson / Private Debt Investor

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

US$1.4bn of BDC loans were added to non-accrual status in 1Q25

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A total of US$1.4bn of BDC loans were added to non-accrual status in 1Q25, up from roughly US$1.2bn in the prior quarter...

Contact: CJ Doherty / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

PE AUM ($T) forecast*

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Within PE subcategories, we expect buyout funds to continue to garner the bulk of fundraising in the coming years, but growth funds have seen increasing LP interest and offer an alternative to the VC asset class...

Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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Fitch’s Privately Monitored Middle Market Portfolio Overview, 1Q25

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As audits for privately monitored rating (PMR) issuers continue to roll in, Fitch forecasts revenue growth of 5.7% for 2024. Revenue growth for 2025 is likely to be pressured by rising U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures...


Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Distribution of MFN Sunset Horizons

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

Loan bid-price collapse halts record-breaking refinancing volumes – DebtDynamics NorthAm

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The wave of repricing deals seen at the start of the year is not expected to return until the percentage of loans trading above par in the secondary market bounces back...


Contacts: Jayjeet Sharma, Alvaro Ledgard/ Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.