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The Democrats hold a super majority in both Chambers. The Senate Democrats hold a 40-19 majority in the Senate. There are very few Senate races and even fewer competitive races, and MHA does not expect any changes to the majority. Both the Senate Democrats and the House Democrats have an overwhelming lead in fundraising. While the Senate Democrats have no competitive races, the House Democrats are using their funding advantage in an attempt to flip 9 Republican seats. The House Democrats already hold an advantage of 78-40. The Republicans face many headwinds, including the electoral map, a funding disadvantage, suburban candidate recruitment, and top of the ticket issues. The suburbs are dominated by women voters and while Trump does not play well in the suburbs, Harris will play well and provide dividends for House Democratic candidates.
HOUSE DEMOCRAT TARGETS
47th District – Rep. Amy Grant (R-Wheaton) vs. Jackie Williamson. Williamson lost to Grant by six points two years ago but was not funded. President Joe Biden won this district by 12.3 percentage points four years ago. Every statewide Democratic candidate won the district two years ago and JB Pritzker won it by 8 points.
48th District – Rep. Jennifer Sanalitro (R-Hanover Park) vs. Maria Vesey. Biden won the district by 2.6 points and all statewide Democrats except Treasure Mike Frerichs carried the district two years ago.
52nd District – Rep. Marty McLaughlin (R-Barrington Hills) vs. Maria Peterson. Peterson lost to then-Senate Republican Leader Dan McConchie by just a few hundred votes two years ago. Biden won the district by 6 points four years ago and all statewide Democratic candidates won it in 2022.
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