Dear Stuart,
Supply in June is up 23.8% year over year in Metro Vancouver which is 43.7% above the 10 year seasonal average while sales were down 25.8% below the 10 year seasonal average. The increase in supply and the decrease in demand are not as drastic as we saw in May so hopefully this is the start of a turnaround in the trend. 2025 has been an unusually weak real estate market and if this momentum shift continues, we may be looking at a more normal market again soon. These Metro Vancouver stats get a lot of press and are distinct from the west side market stats but we are facing similar trends here on the west side.
Westside detached home sales, when compared to the 10-year averages, are down by 23% for detached homes, down 23% for apartments and up by 15% for townhomes.
Compared to the 10-year average, supply is up 15% for Westside detached homes, while apartment supply is up 47%, and townhomes are up 66%.
We had 67 Westside Detached home sales in June, compared to 48 sales last month.
We had 281 Westside Apartment sales in June, compared to 290 sales last month.
We had 69 Westside Attached home sales in June, compared to 65 sales last month.
In June, the westside Detached Home average price was down 20% from the peak in August 2023.
The Attached home average price was down 16% from the peak in Dec 2024.
The Apartment average price was down 20% from the peak in January 2018.
The Sales to Active Listings ratio (SAL) is a key indicator of market balance and it helps determine whether the market favours Buyers or Sellers.
Generally, downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12% for a period of time. Upward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio surpasses 20% over several months. The range between 12% and 20% is considered a balanced market.
Market conditions are dynamic and can change rapidly due to various economic factors & the ratio can vary significantly depending on the property type.
Currently the SAL for Westside detached is 8.5%, attached is 16% and apartments is 13%.
So demand is up over the last few months for detached homes and town homes. This increased townhouse activity is a product of expanding the multi property zoning that is encouraging builders to make more and larger (3 br) townhomes in previously single family areas. Because they are cheaper than detached single family homes young families can sometimes get a foothold in that market. Demand for these townhomes is driving interest from builders in the land value detached homes so both segments are improving.
These are emerging signs that sales activity may be turning a corner, and the Sales to Active Listings ratio is improving which should help firm up prices. With the substantial current supply, there are buying opportunities and if the market really turns up, buyers will rush in, so now is a good time to buy while we have good supply and little competition
July & August will be prime for a summer rally given our very slow spring, so strategic pricing will be key to sellers achieving best results.
Thinking of Selling? Letβs Talk!
π Call me today to discuss your options and make the most of the upcoming selling season.
Hope you had a great Canada Day! π¨π¦
Best regards
Stuart β³ πΎ π¨π¦
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