August 21, 2025

 



Good Thursday morning,





That was a vicious attack by the bears yesterday; however, the bounce shook their confidence a bit, as futures rallied off the 11:00 a.m. EST lows and basically didn't stop until the bell rang to close the day. Fortunately for them, sellers have re-engaged this morning, and futures are off across the board. Price is now below key data points, so let's get into the important levels to watch today.





📊 In the profile pic and key levels, futures are below the POC at 6,414 and also yesterday's half-back at 6,396. Any price that stays below this range will give the edge to the bears, so look for further liquidation. A loss of the overnight low and VAL (Value Area Low) at 6,386 would then open up lower targets at 6,360 - 6,350. Further selling could see 6,335, then 6,305. Now if buyers take out 6,396, then take out the POC at 6,414, then look for a further short squeeze to upper targets at 6,420 - 6,430.




Futures are currently trading at 6,388 at the time of this writing.





🧭 VPOC Update: A VPOC was taken out yesterday at 6,367.50, and a new one was added above at 6,432.75. We now have one above and four below the current price.



Current VPOCs: (BOLD is above current price)



  • 6,432.75
  • 6,264.50
  • 6,146.00
  • 6,091.00
  • 6,050.00



 

TARGETS AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:




/ES upside target is: 6,420 - 6,430


Key Levels: 6,396 1/2 Back then 6,386 VAL & ONL



downside target is: 6,.360 - 6,350




/NQ upside target is: 23,375 - 23,400


Key Level: 23,233 1/2 Back


downside target is : 23,125 - 23,100




/RTY upside target is: 2,275 - 2,280



downside target is: 2,245 - 2,235





Economic Data : RED STAR EVENTS



Jobless Claims @ 8:30 a.m EST


Philly Fed Manufacturing Index @ 8:30 a.m EST


PMI Composite Flash @ 9:45 a.m EST


Existing Home Sales @ 10:00 a.m EST


Leading Indicators @ 10:00 a.m EST


Natural Gas Inventories @ 10:30 p.m EST




More Color By : Rich Rickus



1. /ES - Key Demand $6350 Supply above at $6485


Bullish : Sellers trapped above $6350 looking to play a break and retest above $6355 long targeting $6415 then $6430



Bearish Buyers trapped below $6350 looking to play short after a break and retest below $6340 targeting $6315 then a break down into $6300



2. SPY Key demand at $634-635 with Supply above at $640


Bullish Sellers trapped above $640 looking to play a break and retest from $641 long targeting $643 then a breakout into high $645



Bearish Buyers trapped below $635 after a break and retest below $634targeting $632 then a breakdown into $631



3./NQ Key demand at $23300 with Supply above at $23700


Bullish Sellers trapped above $23700 looking to play a break and retest above $23724 long targeting $23850 then a breakout back into low $24100


Bearish Buyers trapped below $23300 looking to play short from below $2375 targeting $23100




4. QQQ Key Demand at $560/561 with Supply at $569-570


Bullish Sellers trapped above $570 looking to play a break and retest from $571 targeting $573 then a breakout into high $575


Bearish Buyers trapped below $568 looking to play a break and retest below targeting $565 then $564




Have a great day!


 
 

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