October 4, 2024

 


Good Friday morning!



The markets continue to trade in a range bound manner and while it can be frustrating for some as it is happening, there is light at the end of the tunnel. When price consolidates and compresses for a few days, as we are now going on day #4, the beautiful thing is that once it breaks out of this range, the long or short trade will literally jump out at you and be blatantly obvious.


As you can see in the profile pic below, the rectangle shows you where the balance is and there is a high probability of breaking out of this range today because we have a very important economic data point coming out today @ 8:30 AM EST...the Jobs Report! Consensus is for 132,000 new jobs added so when the actual number comes out, traders and investors will make moves.....either buy the good news or sell the bad.



As always, keep an eye on the key levels and profile pic below as these will greatly help your directional bias today!! Mark them off on your charts. Stay safe and have a great day.


VPOC Update: No new VPOC's were added or taken out yesterday. So we still have 23 untested Points of Control below.





TARGETS AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:




/ES upside target is: 5785 - 5795



Key Levels: 5772 then 5748 1/2 back then 5745 POC



downside target is: 5725 - 5720




/NQ upside target is: 20,120 - 20,150


Key Level: 20,060 bottom of spike then 20,020 Value Area High


downside target is : 19,925 - 19,900




/RTY upside target is: 2210 - 2220



downside target is: 2185 - 2175




Economic Data:




Employment Situation @ 8:30 AM ET


John Williams Speaks @ 9:00 AM ET


Baker Hughes Rig Count @ 1:00 PM ET





More Color....... By Analyst Rich Rickus




  •   /ES - Demand $5724 -35 with Supply above at $5785-70 



Bearish 


Buyers trapped below $5775 after a pullback below $5770 looking to play SHORT targeting $5750 then $5740 



 Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $5780 after a break and retest above $5785 playing LONG targeting $5805 then $5820 





  • SPY -  Demand at $566-565 w / Supply at $575 574 and then at $571



Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $571 after a break and retest above looking to play LONG targeting $573 then $574 



Bearish 


Buyers trapped below $570 after a retest from $569 targeting $567 then $566 





  • /NQ - Key Demand at $19850- 19870 with Supply $20100 


Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $20100  looking to play long targeting $20155 then $20200



Bearish

 Buyers trapped below $19870 and holding , looking to play short from $19850 targeting NEW LOD  





  • QQQ  - Key Supply at $485- 484 with Demand below at $480-479 


Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $479 looking to play long from a break and retest at $480 targeting $481 then $483. Or Supply flips demand intraday and holds above $485 I will look LONG 



Bearish

 

Buyers trapped below $480 after a break and retest below $479 looking to play short targeting $478 then $477 




Also watching … 



  • NVDA  Supply flipped to Demand at $121-122 with Supply above at $125 


 

Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $121 playing a break and retest from $122 looking to target $124 then $125 


Bearish 


Buyers trapped below $121 after a break and retest from $120 looking to play short targeting $119 then $117 





  • AMD   Key Demand at $162 - 163 with Supply at $168 HOD 


Bullish 


Sellers trapped above $162 after a break and retest from $163 looking to target $165 then $166 


Bearish 


Buyers trapped below $161 after a break and retest from $160 targeting $158 then a break down into $157 follows by $156 






Have a great day and an awesome weekend!






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