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Stocks Mixed
U.S. stock indexes posted mixed weekly results, flattening out after three consecutive weekly gains pushed the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ to record highs. Strong results for semiconductor stocks lifted the NASDAQ to a 1.5% weekly gain; the S&P 500 finished fractionally higher while the Dow ended slightly lower.
U.S. growth stocks outpaced their value counterparts for the fourth week in a row, chipping away at the value style’s year-to-date performance lead over growth. A growth benchmark gained more than 16% over the four-week stretch versus just 8% for its value counterpart.
Approaching the midpoint of earnings season, a handful of U.S. mega-cap technology stocks are expected to continue generating a disproportionate share of overall earnings growth. Analysts expect the group of stocks known as the Magnificent Seven to post average first-quarter growth of 22.8%, according to FactSet. In contrast, the other 493 companies in the S&P 500 are projected to produce growth of 10.1%.
Prices of U.S. government bonds fell, sending yields higher ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. The 10-year U.S. Treasury finished the week at a yield of 4.30%, up from 4.24% at the end of the previous week. Even with the rise, the yield was well below a recent high of 4.44% on March 27.
Bond market trading ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s next meeting continued to support expectations of a policy pause in the wake of recent rate cuts. Friday’s trading in rate futures markets implied a 99% probability that the Fed would keep rates unchanged when it concludes its two-day meeting on Wednesday, April 29, according to CME FedWatch. At its most recent meeting in mid-March, the Fed held steady after approving three rate cuts in late 2025.
Shifting narratives about Middle East conflict and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz buffeted oil prices. U.S. crude was trading around $95 per barrel on Friday afternoon, up from roughly $83 at the end of the previous week. Even with the weekly rise, oil was well below its year-to-date peak of around $113 reached on April 7.
A monthly gauge of U.S. consumer sentiment extended a recent decline amid conflict in the Middle East and the resulting spike in energy prices. The University of Michigan’s survey results released on Friday showed that sentiment fell to a final April reading of 49.8. While that was slightly higher than a preliminary reading, it was down sharply from readings in March and February.
U.S. retail sales surged in March, but the increase was driven largely by higher gasoline prices. The overall rise of 1.7% followed a 0.7% increase in February and marked the fastest one-month gain in more than three years. Excluding gasoline, sales rose 0.6% in March relative to February.
Source: John Hancock Investment Management
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