Declarer now had a read on the spades so he cashed Dummy’s ♠K and led the ♠J. Partner ducked, hoping in vain Declarer would somehow misread the situation, but Declarer of course didn’t. He let the jack ride. He then came to his hand and cashed his top clubs, conceding the 13th trick to my ♣Q. (Had declarer held onto all 4 of his spades, pitching both clubs instead, he would likely have made all 13 tricks.)
So, what was the best lead? The ♦7. It holds Declarer to “only” 11 tricks. Leading either black suit also allows him to make 12 tricks.
Opening leads are a challenge, but it may help one to know that, like baseball batting averages, if you make opening leads that succeed 40% of the time, you are a bridge prodigy. Peter Weichsel, an American world class player, said that at the highest levels of bridge, opening leads can be a dominant factor in the outcome of matches.
Two books on opening leads by David Bird and Taf Anthias* strongly imply that even a 35% success rate is astounding. So, do not beat yourself up when your opening lead fails. But if it was a poor choice, do learn from it—100% of the time.
*Winning Notrump Leads (2011), Winning Suit Contract Leads (2012)
Postscript: I would note that the opening lead problem above is not one you will encounter frequently. Moreover, there are some very standard opening leads that are important to learn; there is no need to reinvent the wheel regarding them. If you struggle with which card to lead, Caroline Sydnor (yes, she was my mother) created a “Flashcard of Opening Leads” that is available from Baron Barclay. Here’s the link.
If you need, or want more help, THE book in my opinion is Eddie Kantar Teaches Modern Bridge Defense, the first two chapters of which cover opening leads, while the rest of the book will teach you everything you need to know to excel in defense until you become an advanced player. For a focus on just opening leads, two top authors with books on opening leads are Larry Cohen (Kindle version only) and Michael Lawrence.
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