Civil Jury Project
Volume: 8| Issue 4
October - 2023
Opening Statement


“Therefore, we call on all AI labs to
immediately pause for at least six months
the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.”1

“I did not comprehend that ChatGPT could fabricate cases,”2

Since every legal publication that has come across my computer screen since our last newsletter has addressed AI, I weigh in with my two cents. The first quote is the lede from an article I wrote for Litigation News which is reprinted in this issue. The second quote comes from the now infamous hearing where an attorney was taken to task for relying too much on AI.

While fabricating cases has to be the most extreme example of how reliance on AI has dangers, the application of AI to jury trials may have benefits for the advocate. Since AI appears to be able to comb through massive amounts of data, could it assist in crafting persuasive arguments to juries? Already, those in the creative arts are concerned about AI writing scripts.3

In this issue, we announce the publication of The Jury: A Very Short Introduction by Professor Renée Lettow Lerner, one of our academic advisors. We look forward to Professor Lerner's discussion about her work in our next issue.

With 2024 being upon us soon, I will go out on a limb here and declare it the year of the trial. I cannot remember a year where there were more stories in both the news and the business sections of the newspaper outlining the trials that will take place next year. Never in my memory have I read so many paragraphs devoted to just the scheduling of trials, both juries and bench. 2024 will be a year to watch and we will be watching.

If interested, please email me directly at markd56.md@gmail.com.
  1. Cade Metz & Gregory Schmidt, “Elon Musk and Others Call for Pause on A.I., Citing ‘Profound Risks to Society”, N.Y. Times (Mar. 29, 2023).
  2. Benjamin Weiser & Nate Schweber, "The ChatGPT Lawyer Explains Himself" N.Y. Times (June 8, 2023).
  3. James Poniewozik, "TV’s War With the Robots Is Already Here",
N.Y. Times (May 10, 2023).

Sincerely,

Hon. Mark A. Drummond (ret.),
Executive/Judicial Director

Upcoming Events



The Jury: A Very Short Introduction

By Renée Lettow Lerner



This compact, illustrated volume shows how and why societies around the world and at different times have used juries. Even lawyers and judges may be surprised to learn that the civil jury arose before the criminal jury in England, and was the inspiration for it.

The book describes different methods of jury selection and the
ever-changing relationship between judges and juries. Renée Lettow Lerner reveals why the Anti-Federalists were so insistent on including a right to civil jury trial in the federal Constitution, and why some states put the language of Magna Carta directly into their new constitutions as a guarantee of jury trial. Colorful trial lawyers such as Melvin Belli inaugurated a new era of civil jury trial. The book illuminates the decline of civil jury trial in the United States and offers thoughts about how the institution can be revived.

Oxford University Press, 2023, 130 pages, $11.95

In our next newsletter Professor Lerner will discuss the book in more detail.
Renée Lettow Lerner is the Donald Phillip Rothschild Research Professor of Law at George Washington University Law School and an academic advisor to the Civil Jury Project. For three decades, she has researched and written about the jury in the United States and other legal systems. She studied legal history at Oxford University as a Rhodes Scholar. After graduating from Yale Law School, she was a law clerk to Justice Anthony M. Kennedy of the U.S. Supreme Court and to Judge Stephen F. Williams of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. From 2003 to 2005, she served as Deputy Assistant Attorney General in the Office of Legal Counsel at the U.S. Department of Justice. She was a witness in a murder case in Paris, France, before a mixed panel of professional judges and lay jurors. Lerner is also the author of History of the Common Law: The Development of Anglo-American Legal Institutions (2009).
Happenings Past, Future and AI

By Hon. Mark A. Drummond (ret.)
Executive/Judicial Director of the Civil Jury Project


Congratulations Judge Henning

We congratulate one of our judicial advisors, Judge Patti Englander Henning, on her retirement as a circuit judge from the 17th Circuit in Florida in March of this year. In 1980 Judge Henning became the youngest elected judge and, over 42 years, later retired as the longest serving elected judge in that state. Judge Henning provided valuable insight and assistance to our working group for pandemic trial protocols and remote trials. She has assured us that she wants to keep active in the CJP and we look forward to her continued involvement.
Our founder, Steve Susman, lamented the lack of real trial lawyers and real trial judges as a factor in the decline of civil jury trials that was relatively easy to change. Here is what we are doing to help.

ABA/NITA Legal Services Training
Butler Snow
Memphis 2023

This training session is invaluable and the best such program I have ever attended, bar none.”

Above is just one of the comments received regarding the 2023 ABA Litigation Section/NITA trial advocacy training for legal services attorneys that was held at the law firm of Butler Snow in Memphis on August 17 and 18. Attorneys from Tennessee, Mississippi, Missouri and New Jersey attended the training. Program Director Hon. Mark Drummond (ret.) thanks everyone at Butler Snow for their hospitality and for making their offices available. 

Past ABA Litigation Section Chair Danny Van Horn enlisted his partners at Butler Snow to assist in the training in addition to Butler Snow Pro Bono Counsel, Linda Seely, who was instrumental in organizing the training. Thanks to Christine McHugh, Public Service Programs Coordinator, for The National Institute for Trial Advocacy (NITA).

Judge Drummond thanks Hon. Bernice Donald (ret.), Hon. Andre Mathis, Janika White, Peter Gee, John Hutchins and Butler Snow partners Danny Van Horn, Amy Pepke, Will Perry, Keenan Carter and Brent Siler for sharing their knowledge and expertise with the attendees.

Welcome back, Mike
With this issue we welcome back one of our previous Research Fellows, Michael Elias Shammas. Mike was the author of one of our most quoted pieces on the constitutionality of remote jury trials. Since leaving the Civil Jury Project after his first stint here from 2019-2020, Mike completed a clerkship on the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals from 2020-2021 and taught Legal Research & Writing at Tulane Law School from 2021-2023.
Future Events

October 4, 2023
We look forward to meeting virtually with Mark Farrant and his team to discuss the recent work on juror mental health initiatives in Canada which we reported on in our July 2021 newsletter.

April 4 & 5, 2024
We will assist in training the next generation of trial lawyers in legal services at the Bradley firm's office in Birmingham, Alabama. Anne Marie Seibel, chair of the Litigation Section of the ABA, has graciously offered her firm to host the 2024 training.

AI and the Future

“Therefore, we call on all AI labs
to immediately pause for at least six months
the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.”

Well, that stopped me. I was about to download the latest artificial intelligence (AI) system that might help me with this column. For years my “technology” has been the thesaurus. However, after reading that more than 1,000 technology leaders and researchers were urging a pause, my download was on hold.

Images of HAL 9000, the Terminator, and Robocop gave me pause. I could just see the New York Times lede: The takeover of NORAD, our entire electric grid, and the distribution system for Krispy Kreme donuts has been traced to an AI download by a columnist writing for Litigation News.

But seriously, after reading what seemed to be an article a day on AI, there are some real concerns. Concerns that impact the work we do as attorneys. In my 40+ years as an attorney, we have gone from carbon paper to Xeroxing to email. The pandemic then drastically changed the way we do things. Little did I think that we would see yet another sea change so soon.
Each concern begins with a sentence from a news article followed by some scenarios on how AI might affect trial practice. My apologies for the number of question marks. I don’t have many answers, only questions.

Law School
“GPT-4 didn’t just pass the bar exam—it scored in the 90th percentile.”
The bar exam I took was pass/fail. Not sure if I was in the 90th percentile. Probably not. Already there are do-it-yourself programs such as LegalZoom. These programs, combined with competent and ethical AI, would be a powerful combination. This could be an asset for those whose legal needs are underserved. However, “human” attorneys should vet these before clients start linking things like bank accounts to these platforms.
What algorithm will handle the balancing of ethical issues, such as the outer limits of “zealous representation”? Ethics opinions from different states can vary on the same subject. How will the gray areas be addressed? Who will create the algorithm?

The Truth
“A brain wave reader that can detect lies.”
Will AI eventually replace the judge…or the jury? Someone once told me that there was an app for everything. One “lie detection” app touts, “Our fine-tuned, artificial intelligence engine now gives you an ability to see the likelihood of anyone’s lie.”

Not so fast, cautions Jake Bittle, who writes, “In reality, the psychological work that undergirds these new AI systems is even flimsier than the research underlying the polygraph.” However, Bittle’s article was written in 2020. It appears that the capability of AI systems has grown at an exponential rate.

I contacted Bittle by email, and although he has not done any further research on this topic, he responded, “My impression is that even with very advanced AI systems like the ones that have debuted in the past year, there would still be a ‘garbage in, garbage out’ problem. Facial expressions and vocal fluctuations are only of limited use as indicators of a subject’s inner psychological state, just as the galvanic skin response measured by a polygraph doesn’t always indicate that a subject is lying.”
Some law enforcement agencies are already using AI to profile people. One algorithm uses nationality to profile dangerous drivers. Will AI technology be used by law enforcement as one component of probable cause for an arrest?

Jury Selection
“Other companies sold…sentiment analysis software, in which an algorithm determines a person’s mood from facial expressions.”
In the movie Runaway Jury, Gene Hackman portrays an unethical jury consultant. He watches jury selection through a hidden camera. He provides advice via a hidden earpiece. Given how compact and powerful phones have become, will judges have to scrutinize all electronics brought into the courtroom?
Will attorneys try to convince judges that these AI tools be allowed? If allowed, will this favor those parties who can afford it? If some courts allow this and others do not, does this result in a patchwork justice system? How would jurors react if they knew that their every micro-expression and eye movement were being fed into an AI algorithm?

Evidence
“The new video-generation systems could speed the work of moviemakers and other digital artists, while becoming a new and quick way to create hard-to-detect online misinformation, making it even harder to tell what’s real on the internet.”
With just a few words AI can now generate pictures and videos. “Tree branch hiding stop sign” could give you a realistic image of just that. I realize that exhibits could be fabricated the old-fashioned way. But AI makes it much easier to fabricate and much less easy to discover the ruse.
Will courts place any limitations on the use of AI during depositions? With the entire casefile loaded, AI can now propose questions for the attorney that leave no stone unturned. Could AI also listen in and prompt objections for the defending attorney? What about the party that cannot afford this technology? Going one step further, could attorneys use AI to try and detect deception with the camera on a laptop or a phone? Again, will courts be uniform in addressing these issues?
With the power to create any scene, perhaps judges should enter a standing order in all cases that counsel has an ethical duty to disclose if AI was used to create any exhibit or as part of any deposition. The usual sanctions of costs, fees, barring of claims, dismissal, and referral to disciplinary commissions should be used for violators.

The Bottom Line
No one questions using the power of AI to tackle cancer or climate change. This powerful tool could have great value for our world and the future. However, it will also affect our legal world. Already employers and law enforcement are using powerful AI tools. The results of using these tools will necessarily flow into our courtrooms. How are the algorithms constructed? Who constructs them? Are we ready for this?
Some would argue I am overreacting. Some argue that AI just helps attorneys sift through words more efficiently. I chuckled at this from a recent article: “Law is seen as the lucrative profession perhaps most at risk from the recent advances in AI because lawyers are essentially word merchants.” This “word merchant” is still holding off on his AI download.

Resources

Published in Litigation News Volume 48, Number 4, Summer 2023. © 2023 by the American Bar Association. Reproduced with permission. All rights reserved. This information or any portion thereof may not be copied or disseminated in any form or by any means or stored in an electronic database or retrieval system without the express written consent of the American Bar Association.

As always, if your court or bar association is interested in a presentation on jury trials, the Civil Jury Project or jury improvement tools please call me at (217) 430-7459 or contact me at markd56.md@gmail.com.
The Hon. Mark A. Drummond (ret.) is the Executive / Judicial Director of the Civil Jury Project. He was a trial lawyer for 20 years before serving on the bench as a trial court judge in Illinois for 20 years. He is a program director and co-director for Teacher Training for The National Institute for Trial Advocacy. For over 25 years he has written the Practice Points column for Litigation News, a publication of the Litigation Section of the American Bar Association. He has returned to the practice of law and is currently licensed to practice in Illinois and has applied to be licensed to practice in New York.

Look out for the January 2024 Newsletter!
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